gark

gark | Joined since 2012-07-25

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Stock

2014-03-14 17:28 | Report Abuse

anyway next week another battle :)

Stock

2014-03-14 17:22 | Report Abuse

good battle meh? looks like bloody battle only.. very red...

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2014-03-14 16:44 | Report Abuse

hhahaha like this also jeles ah... you really need to makan 'ubat' wei....

Stock

2014-03-14 16:41 | Report Abuse

Nothing jeles one... why need to jeles? :P

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2014-03-14 16:36 | Report Abuse

anayway bang leno, sudah makan ubat kah hari ini.. :D

Stock

2014-03-14 16:36 | Report Abuse

alah.. dont have ... just say dont have lar.. no need hide behind pretense. :P

Anyway down 2 sen again.. inari up 5 sen.. hmmm...

Stock

2014-03-14 16:21 | Report Abuse

oh back to promoting i see... kekeke good luck.

You still owe me your analysis...

Stock

2014-03-14 15:49 | Report Abuse

ok lah time to leave this thread.. got other stocks to analyze... :=D

Stock

2014-03-14 15:41 | Report Abuse

hahahaha leno.. leno... where is your secret method calculation.. i show all already de...:D

Stock

2014-03-14 15:34 | Report Abuse

hahaha yeah i agree...

Stock

2014-03-14 15:29 | Report Abuse

TP anyone also can give bullshit number de lah.... it matters of there is anything substantial behind the number...

Stock

2014-03-14 15:27 | Report Abuse

hahahahahaha .. i want to see if the stock promoters here got quality or merely cakap besar only

So............ where is your analysis? :P

Stock

2014-03-14 15:24 | Report Abuse

hahahaha leno now let us SEE your analysis... :P

Stock

2014-03-14 15:23 | Report Abuse

finish wat? :P

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2014-03-14 15:20 | Report Abuse

And leno.. no it not stolen from any 'professional' analysis....

and i still think it is value trap... kekekekekekekekekek

Stock

2014-03-14 15:20 | Report Abuse

Valuation - RNAV

Financial Services and credit
Asset : 389.3 Liability : 61.1
Valuation : 1 x BV = 328.2 mil

Property investment & development (Land bank)
Asset : 106 mil Liability : 19 mil
Revaluation surplus :44 mil
Valuation 1 x BV = 131 mil

Investment holding
At market value = 322 mil

Investment in associate company
At cost = 106 mil

Retail trading & rental
8x PE = 4.68 mil x 8 = 37.44 mil

IT & Tech
12x PE = 54 x 12 = 648 mil

RNAV = 1572 mil

Add cash = 363 mil

Minus borrowings = 133.2 mil

Total RNAV = 1,802 mil

RNAV/share = 2.68/share x 70% discount = 1.88/share

Stock

2014-03-14 15:19 | Report Abuse

Individual business review

Financial services & credit (M&A brokers and Insas Credit)
In the last Q, recorded a 14 mil external revenue and profit of 6 mil - showing very good margin, but overall this business is not stable with swings in profitability. In FY12, this division broke even.

Property investment & development
In last Q recorded revenue of 2 mil and loss of 800k. FY 12 is similar. This is due planned property development has not begun yet.

Investment holdings and trading
This business is very volatile with certain Q showing exceptional profit and other Q showing exceptional loss.
About 70 million is shares, of which 70% is traded in KLSE. Net cost to acquire these shares is about 97 mil, so it is showing a loss. Also holding 55 mil in bonds of which 90% is quoted outside of Malaysia, primary source of unrealized forex gain and stable interest income. Also holding 90 mil in associate companies traded in KLSE. This company also have an aggressive buy back but shares is indicated as 'investment' rather than treasury, also a great source of gains in last Q. This means they goreng invest in thier own shares for financial gains...

Retail trading and car rental (Dome cafe, Melium, Insas car rental)
Last Q revenue of 5.2mil and profit of 1.1 mil. FY12 showing 19,2 mil and profit of 6.2 mil. This is a stable business with good cash flows and good net margin.

IT related
This is the crown jewel and main contributor of stable consistent profits, last Q is 11 mil and FY12 is 15 mil, showing a very high YOY growth. This will be the driver for the entire stock valuation.

Stock

2014-03-14 15:19 | Report Abuse

Free Cash flow

As expected, FCF is very low or non existent, since most of the financial gains are from financial derivatives arther than ongoing business.

Although the company has recently started to pay dividend, it is expected the FY14 dividend yield to be low at 1-2% DY and growth will be minimal. Expect FY14 DPS will be about 1.5-2 cents max.

Stock

2014-03-14 15:19 | Report Abuse

2. Balance Sheet

Balance sheet is healthy, but have unusually high amount of investment assets as in bonds, stocks and other financial derivatives (some of them associated companies, with <20% holding like ho hup etc)

It is currently holding about 551.4 mil in cash ans AFS assets vs 168.43 mil in loans, which makes the company having net cash of 383 mil BUT is primary held in it's subsidiaries (like Inari). This indicated a net cash per share of 57 cents per share indicating cash holding of 60% of market cap.

Stock

2014-03-14 15:18 | Report Abuse

1. Profitability

Based on the multi year profitability, the profit has not been consistent having it ups and down for the past. The wild swings in EPS is due to investment holdings gains/loss. Recently the business is having a turnaround, in the IT, retailing, car rental and property business. It's stockbroking/money lending business is still not making any money.

However it's IT related business is showing a very good uptrend, and this will provide more consistent earning stability. Also trending up is it's retailing and car rental business. property business is beginning to show profit.

Current TTM13 EPS is about 13.6 cents.. indicating a PE of 7x. But some of the gains are due to investment holdings gain. In the last Quarter, a total of 49.15 mil gain consists of financial derivatives ( 8.6mil), unrealized forex gain (8 mil) and writeback on impairment of 15 mil.

If we disregard the one off gains and focus purely on ongoing business concern, the recurring EPS is expected to be about 37.6 mil per Q or 5.6 c. This will give a FY14 EPS of about 18-20 cents indicating a FY14 PE of 5x.

Stock

2014-03-14 15:18 | Report Abuse

hahahaha aiyo leno so deperate ah... ok lah let you see lor...

but warn you it is long

AND it is not too updated (analysis done on dec 13) so it is 1Q late...

Kekekeekekek

Stock

2014-03-14 15:09 | Report Abuse

hahaha call me whatever names you want.... i though you got calculation already :P

Not confident?

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2014-03-14 15:02 | Report Abuse

Aisey the more we talk the lower it falls.. hmmm

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2014-03-14 15:00 | Report Abuse

Dont worry will reveal in due time... in the mean time

still a value trap :P

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2014-03-14 15:00 | Report Abuse

kekekekekeke leno.. if direct to answer no fun nia.. anyone can also bullshit shout RM 2 RM 2,50 RM 3... who will believe?

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2014-03-14 14:57 | Report Abuse

matrix which plantation stock...

most important for plantation is look at unplanted land, young tree profile, FFB yield and OER...

Other like PE, PBV all nonsense

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2014-03-14 14:56 | Report Abuse

i already gave a big calculation on inari holding itself is 65.5 cents per share... how can drop to 50 sen calculation. ahahahahahahaha

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2014-03-14 14:55 | Report Abuse

hahaha later when got time.. cause it is very de long... :D

Includes RNAV for it's brokerage business, car rental, techinology, cafe & fashion business, plus its short term investment and cash holding.

Stock

2014-03-14 14:48 | Report Abuse

just to see if people just simply promote stocks.... kekekeke

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2014-03-14 14:47 | Report Abuse

hahaha welcome slts... your prediction of inari fall to 1.30.. is going very well right?

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2014-03-14 14:43 | Report Abuse

infact i did the entire RNAV for insas already... kekekekek

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2014-03-14 14:42 | Report Abuse

hahaha just having some fun leno.. jangan marah.. kekekekeke

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2014-03-14 14:17 | Report Abuse

Hehehe ... feeling wet already?

later got time then only reveal more calculation .... :D

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2014-03-14 14:15 | Report Abuse

Insas berhad owns 165.782 million Inari shares and 30.157 million Inari-WA

At current price of 2.30 per Inari share and 1.79 per Inari-WA, the total holdings is worth RM 435,281,852.

Based on Insas outstanding share of 664.2 million, that means each share of Insas is holding on to RM 0.655 woth of Inari & Inari-WA shares.

Also to look at it this way.. every share of Insas is EQUIVALENT to 0.295 shares of enlarged Inari share.

Stock

2014-03-14 14:13 | Report Abuse

Leno.. mana pergi..? here is some calculation to whet your appetite... :D

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2014-03-14 13:02 | Report Abuse

inari go main board, inari price will move up.. but will insas?

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2014-03-14 13:02 | Report Abuse

Hahaha leno.. it might be value play when it is at 40 sen.. that one i agree.

But is it still a value play now at 90 sen or a value trap?

Stock

2014-03-14 12:19 | Report Abuse

Ever heard of VALUE TRAP? :D

Ok time for lunch.. yum yum...

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2014-03-14 12:15 | Report Abuse

this one is related company mar.. so can compare.. directly cause one supposed to affect the other...

If want to compare insas to dutch lady.. where got link? aiyo....

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2014-03-14 12:12 | Report Abuse

just want to hear your views... hahahaha

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2014-03-14 12:10 | Report Abuse

Ok, then WHY do you think the sentiments of insas is so poor compared to it's subsidiary?

Any reasonable reason other then price pressed down purposely? :D And to what end?

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2014-03-14 12:09 | Report Abuse

hehehehe.. what i buy is mine alone. :P

Just putting a comparison for perspective....

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2014-03-14 12:04 | Report Abuse

wooo +8 sen already pulak... if you invest 1k in insas and 1 k in inari.. when both is unoticed..one you get slightly over 100% return.. the other one already 500% return... kekekeke

Stock

2014-03-14 12:01 | Report Abuse

Hahah leno.. that is because then inari shoot up from 40 sen to 80 sen...insas follow along due to good sentiments.

But after that inari keep shooting up to RM 2++ but instead insas coma liao....kekekekeke

Not to mention inari is generous with divvy, insas is tight like a miser... :D

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2014-03-14 11:53 | Report Abuse

+ 6 sen.. lalalala... but insas shareholder dont see it that way.

The stingy owner not gonna give much meat to minority holders.... :)

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2014-03-14 11:15 | Report Abuse

oops now inari is +4 sen liao.. insas still -1.. aiyah.. old man faster catch up! :D

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2014-03-14 10:58 | Report Abuse

think it tells you it is not canteeekk... :D

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2014-03-14 10:58 | Report Abuse

hahaha insas -1 sen.. but inari + 2 sen.... what does this tell you... :p

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2014-03-14 10:04 | Report Abuse

leno leno.. u turn now .. how? :D

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2014-03-13 18:00 | Report Abuse

Just helping the flow of conversation :) otherwise a boring comments section... hahahaha