kennethcheah

kennethcheah | Joined since 2015-09-18

Investing Experience -
Risk Profile -

Followers

0

Following

0

Blog Posts

0

Threads

505

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
505
Past 30 days
0
Past 7 days
0
Today
0

User Comments
Stock

2015-12-09 15:18 | Report Abuse

rm2.60@相信是红股日期公布的那个时候.

Stock

2015-12-09 14:16 | Report Abuse

Evergrn的Bonus Issue 日期是关键!
日期一旦公布,股价走势大家可想而知!

Stock

2015-12-09 10:07 | Report Abuse

Pohuat's PE 没达合理水平of 15x.
升破rm2.00都不奇怪。

Stock

2015-12-09 10:02 | Report Abuse

2 weeks ago, I managed to collected at rm1.47@Tecguan.
rm2.08 of Its BV.

Stock

2015-12-09 07:57 | Report Abuse

TP for 国际油价近期内达USD30,
Barrel@存货实在太多了!

Stock

2015-12-09 07:55 | Report Abuse

10% Private Placement SUDAH LAMA BERLALU,kawan.

一至两个星期+-内,
会公布EVERGREEN的红股日期。

Stock

2015-12-08 12:34 | Report Abuse

WHO KNOW,
THE GOD WILL KNOW.

Stock

2015-12-07 17:44 | Report Abuse

在PE 方面,Pohuat 处于不合理水平,
最合理PE为15。

看好Pohuat的PE近期可达12.5.

Stock

2015-12-07 17:19 | Report Abuse

Should be reach rm2.00 this week b4 result announce.

Stock

2015-12-07 12:10 | Report Abuse

不清楚。

Stock

2015-12-07 09:14 | Report Abuse

Anyway,得注意Correction Price。
happy trading today.

Stock

2015-12-07 08:50 | Report Abuse

Rm贬值,对家具股有利。
USD1.00 看上RM4.30-4.40不等 。

Stock

2015-12-07 07:27 | Report Abuse

Good Morning。
来个闲聊吧!

基本面强,品质好,赚幅率比去年2014来得高,
才会支掌家具股如HEVEA,EVEGREEN, POHUAT等等才会保持继续上扬。
除了美元走强之外,另一个原因之一就是欧美房市复苏。
(现在还保持这个好趋势!)


木材或家具股PE介于8至19。合理PE为15左右。
记住,PE超过20的话,估值就可能高了。
(在这里,PE不是唯一的估值方法for 家具股,
而且我们得看看全年2015净利vs 2014总净利,才来得更加实际!)

油价突然间失守跌破40美元大关!根据IEA:油价低迷至明年底。
接纳印尼回归OPEC,产量大增至120万桶,飚至4亿8940桶!
分析员们一致看淡接下来油价走势。

马币贬值只用了大约2-4星期时间从RM3.25 一直到RM4.00 ++++。
马币想要走强(回到RM3.25 水平),
除非美国不再自己生产油,改向出产油的中东国家买。
有这个可能吗?(还没计算其他因素呢)
更何况如今美国正朝向经济复苏,肯自己停止生产油?

您是否晓得每桶成本(Cost Per Barrel)多少吗?
好的,就算国际油价跌到USD20,出产油国家都是在赚着钱的。
(真的是要减产的话,以目前的产量过多来看,油价也不见的起很多。)

所以,Cost Per Barrel 是非常的低。当作每桶成本低于USD10,
假设国际油价跌至USD 20, 产油国都是在每桶净赚至少100%! (1倍)
目前USD40,每桶都赚400% (4 倍)
话说回来,油价越低,马币呢?可想而知。
(还没计算美国升息呢!)

POHUAT的出口主要是到北美洲 (美国与加拿大),
占了约75%, 欧洲与其他亚洲国家占了8%左右。

POHUAT ‘s PE 很低才10.56,
(相当地低,合理PE为:15左右)

PE 至少来到12至12.5
目前PE :10.56,价是 rm1.74.

Target PE: 12, 股价为rm1.97
Target PE: 12.5 , 股价为rm2.06
Target PE:13,股价rm2.14
Target PE:14,股价rm2.31
Target PE:15,股价rm2.47(共参考)
(Fair Value of POHUAT)
注意:POHUAT’s Upside + 41.95% from current price rm1.74!

POHUAT’s 2014年总净利达rm23,803,000
预料它的4th 净利达rm14,140,000
Fy2015 的总净利可达rm37,475,000
所以我们可以预测赚副率料57.44%.


Note:
来到年尾, 我们不是只当当留意4th 业绩如何,
反而,得Relook back over all from 1st to 4th Fy 2015 的净利 compared to
全年总净利Fy2014 。

看看POHUAT, HEVEA 和EVERGREEN’s EPS 的2015 vs 2014比较:
(注:还没有计算第四季报的EPS)

1. Pohuat 的EPS in Fy2014 是11.95 cent
2015目前为止EPS 是21.86
进步了82.93%

2. Hevea 的EPS in Fy2014 是31.81 cent
2015目前为止EPS 则是34.50 cent
进步8.46%

3. Evergreen 的EPS in Fy2014 是负-2.77cent
2015目前为止EPS 已来到13.94 cent
进步了503.25%

(Correct me if I’m wrong )

Happy Trading!
共勉之.

Stock

2015-12-07 07:23 | Report Abuse

早安。
来个闲聊吧!

基本面强,品质好,赚幅率比去年2014来得高,才会支掌家具股如HEVEA,EVEGREEN, POHUAT等等才会保持继续上扬。

除了美元走强之外,另一个原因之一就是欧美房市复苏。
(现在还保持这个好趋势!)

木材或家具股PE介于8至19。合理PE为15左右。
记住,PE超过20的话,估值就可能高了。

(在这里,PE不是唯一的估值方法for 家具股,
而且我们得看看全年2015净利vs 2014总净利,才来得更加实际!)

油价突然间失守跌破40美元大关!
根据IEA:油价低迷至明年底。
接纳印尼回归OPEC,产量大增至120万桶,飚至4亿8940桶!
分析员们一致看淡接下来油价走势。

马币贬值只用了大约2-4星期时间从RM3.25 一直到RM4.00 ++++。
马币想要走强(回到RM3.25 水平),
除非美国不再自己生产油,改向出产油的中东国家买。
有这个可能吗?(还没计算其他因素呢)
更何况如今美国正朝向经济复苏,肯自己停止生产油?

您是否晓得每桶成本(Cost Per Barrel)多少吗?
好的,就算国际油价跌到USD20,出产油国家都是在赚着钱的。
(真的是要减产的话,以目前的产量过多来看,油价也不见的起很多。)
所以,Cost Per Barrel 是非常的低。当作每桶成本低于USD10,
假设国际油价跌至USD 20, 产油国都是在每桶净赚至少100%! (1倍)
目前USD40,每桶都赚400% (4 倍)
话说回来,油价越低,马币呢?可想而知。
(还没计算美国升息呢!)


目前EVERGRN ‘s PE:14.2, Price closed at rm2.18
Target PE :15, rm2.30. (rm2.34 是Resistance price )
Target PE: 16, 股价为rm2.47
Target PE: 17 , 股价为rm2.60
Target PE:18, 股价为rm2.76
Target PE:19, 股价为rm2.92
Target PE:20,股价为rm3.07(共参考)
注意:EVERGRN’s Upside + 40.83% from current price rm2.18!

为何大胆预测EVERGRN 的PE 会走高呢?
答:因为赚幅率实在太惊人了!

全年2014总净利rm161,000 (Can check it in BURSA)

让我们很吝啬地 / 随便给EVERGRN

在第四季报Fy2015 只赚二千万令吉
那么,2015全年总净利是取得RM91,532,000.

在这里,2015 vs 2014 的总净利赚幅率竟然达56,752%!
(难怪集团作10% of Private Placement &
Bonus Issue too together in the same time!)

有哪一支家具股的总净利赚幅率2015 vs 2014 像EVERGRN?
答:没有.

HEVEA的2014全年总净利达rm30,478,000.
(Can check it in BURSA)
4th 净利Fy2015当作给HEVEA最高是rm25,000,000
那么,HEVEA 的2015全年总净利是rm73,134,000
HEVEA总净利赚幅率是140%. (这个赚副率其实相当好)

Note:
来到年尾, 我们不是只当当留意4th 业绩如何,
反而,得Relook back over all from 1st to 4th Fy 2015 的净利
compared to全年总净利Fy2014 。

看看POHUAT, HEVEA 和EVERGREEN’s EPS 的2015 vs 2014比较:
(注:还没有计算第四季报的EPS)

1. Pohuat 的EPS in Fy2014 是11.95 cent
2015目前为止EPS 是21.86
进步了82.93%。

2. Hevea 的EPS in Fy2014 是31.81 cent
2015目前为止EPS 则是34.50 cent
进步8.46%。

3. Evergreen 的EPS in Fy2014 是负-2.77cent
2015目前为止EPS 已来到13.94 cent
进步了503.25%。

(Correct me if I’m wrong )

From CEO of EVERGREEN:
EVERGREEN will certainly press ahead with its business expansion &
reorganisation plans for the company.
2016 is Expected to be Another Exciting year for EVERGREEN.

Happy Trading!
共勉之.

Stock

2015-12-07 07:17 | Report Abuse

早安。

WMG HOLDINGS 是一家新成立的特别用途公司,
取代TEKALA 上市地位

TEKALA 获得WMG HOLDINGS 倒置收购
已经成为铁一般的事实,不是谣言。

这项交易超过TEKALA的10倍。
(TEKALA有向BURSA报告此消息,您可以到那巡查)

双方都已经签署建议倒置收购协议!
这当中,包括收购:
1. RITAI SDN. BHD.
2. COSMOPOLITAN CAMPANY
3. 远东发展私人有限公司
4.VELDA 发展
5. WAH MIE 房产公司股权
目的是进行发展多元化业务至房产发展。

从前,有一个老翁,他拥有很多产业,地皮及机械。可是他偏偏就是在这5年过着贫穷的日子。每餐清茶淡饭。

他手中的产业没有被利用来发展用途,有等于没有,和普通老百姓一般。

有一天,来了一个集团。向他倒置收购他手中所有的产业,地皮及机械。集团以10倍的价钱收购老翁的所有资产。

老翁听了,想了想一下,反正自己没有能力/缺乏知识/没有机会去运用自己的产业,地皮及机械为社会带来发展。

后来,老翁他签署了建议倒置收购协议。自从那一天,老翁身份再也不像老百姓一般了。一夜之间,便了凤凰。

同学们,相信你们都有听过没有免费的午餐这句话,

可是以上的故事则相反。老翁的确手中持有产业,地皮及机械。

集团是以10倍价向他倒置收购的。

有一个同学问道:“老翁在未来不是会更加富有吗,老师?”

老师答:“对的,如果你的父亲拥有资产,可是没有用来做商业用途,也是等于一片荒地“
什么是荒地,;老师?

荒地就是他有一片地皮,长满了野草,没有进行栽种,没有去耕耘,怎么会有利润呢。

Happy Trading.
共勉之。

Stock

2015-12-06 16:50 | Report Abuse

明早会有information in Tekala i3incestor.

Stock

2015-12-06 16:46 | Report Abuse

就得看大家是否能一起配合。

Stock

2015-12-05 18:45 | Report Abuse

Esos: 其实就是公司前景靓丽,
才给机会员工们买股。
他们也为VS Industry 付出很多。

Stock

2015-12-05 18:42 | Report Abuse

Weekend is my family days. :-)

Stock

2015-12-05 18:41 | Report Abuse

Not only Pohuat can buy more.

Stock

2015-12-05 14:49 | Report Abuse

COREECT,
RM 开始时走低!

Stock

2015-12-05 11:29 | Report Abuse

我已经做了分析。
(关于家具股的Pe&全年2015总赚幅 vs 2014)
我很惊讶这个赚幅度
In between 3 selected 好品质的 furnitures stocks
迟一些才告诉你们大家。

Stock

2015-12-04 22:04 | Report Abuse

防备有心人的“攻击”。
您一定要理智。

Stock

2015-12-04 22:02 | Report Abuse

现在呢,

EVERGRN's current price movement
完完全全与10 % of Private Placement (rm2.05)没关系了!

Stock

2015-12-04 21:56 | Report Abuse

您说对了,cl1122.
这是一个symptom for POHUAT today price movement.

我的remisier有一个说法:
1。就是有一些人套利。
2。就是有心人(POHUAT's directors)不要给股价涨地过多,
也许还想再ACQUIRED POHUAT share。

看,看回HEVEA吧,ok?
Hevea 在还没share split前,也不是经过多次的套利。
(RM1.45 至RM3.80 )
结果呢?现在股价也不是堂堂正正地展示在您面前。

Stock

2015-12-04 21:45 | Report Abuse

NO, 完全不是像xox。
(不晓得大家是否还记得Fututech这支股吗?)
Fututech以前是低于RM1.00,
消息一出,马上脱离RM1.00 水平!
当时,我要追都没机会。来不及了!

Fututech Acquired construction firm for RM400 mil。
(两间公司)

TEKALA现在处于非常美好的状态,怎么说呢?
WMG Holdings 现在是以RM5.1 亿倒置收购TEKALA。
不是5千万令吉。
以下的link已经很清楚了为您解答:
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/genzinvestor/87590.jsp

相信WMG HOLDINGS 公司在近期内会有刊登在报章。

Stock

2015-12-04 16:58 | Report Abuse

您手中的票别乱乱丢@TEKALA.

Stock

2015-12-04 16:52 | Report Abuse

forget the ?.
(按错刚才)

Stock

2015-12-04 16:41 | Report Abuse

RM0.475都有可能是今天的closing price。

Stock

2015-12-04 16:37 | Report Abuse

最后20minutes.

Stock

2015-12-04 16:36 | Report Abuse

Rm0.45!!!!!

Stock

2015-12-04 16:36 | Report Abuse

说实在的啦,其实foreign funds 已经陆陆续续卖出了很多。
(从?September to Now.)

Stock

2015-12-04 16:33 | Report Abuse

那就得看RM 对USD.

Stock

2015-12-04 16:31 | Report Abuse

哇, 现在这么便宜。

Stock

2015-12-04 15:46 | Report Abuse

今天KLSE下跌,
如果明天反弹,TEKALA将会开高走高!(我预算罢了)

Stock

2015-12-04 15:23 | Report Abuse

Tekala的 Volumn蛮高的。
推高了VOLUMN了!
近rm0.45可许发生。

Stock

2015-12-04 15:20 | Report Abuse

This Dec 中至第三个星期会揭晓POHUAT‘s 4th quarter report。

Stock

2015-12-04 14:59 | Report Abuse

RM2,485 mil of VS's Market Cap,
相等于什么价位,你们自己去算算吧!

Stock

2015-12-04 14:56 | Report Abuse

迈向明年上半年初 2016
VS INDUSTRY BERHAD的 市值至少将升至
RM2,485 mil !

Stock

2015-12-04 14:54 | Report Abuse

WHAT ARE VS INDUSTRY's PLANS FOR FY2016 AND
GOING FORWARD?
The Group has remained relevant to and adequately
supported customers’ EMS requirements for over three
decades. To this end, VS will continue putting in our best
efforts to be our customers’ partner whether it be developing
and designing new products, or ramping up production to
enable them expand their market share and/or penetrate
into new markets.

South East Asia is becoming increasingly
attractive as an outsourcing destination, with relatively affordable
labour costs, protection of Intellectual Property
rights, and propensity to achieve high standards of product
quality. VS believe that our proven capabilities and track
record of serving renowned market leaders sets the platform
for expanding our clientele even further.

In addition to that, THE GROUP intend to place greater emphasis on
capturing higher value-added activities in R&D and designing,
so as to collaborate even more effectively with customers in
achieving superior features and/or greater cost-savings. VS
trust that working hand in glove with customers to innovate
and create new product offerings and prototypes would help
in sustaining our growth momentum well into the future.

Finally, with our expansion-ready financial position, VS also
considering the merger & acquisition (M&A) route of related
businesses to complement our organic growth.

While mindful of the challenges that lay ahead, backed by
these growth plans, VS are confident that the coming years
would surely be an exciting phase for THE GROUP,
mark in the global EMS sector.

Stock

2015-12-04 14:53 | Report Abuse

Proposed Bonus Issue of Warrants.

On 19 October 2015, VS proposed a bonus issue of warrants
of up to 290.8 million free warrants, on the basis of one
bonus Warrant for every four existing shares held.

Assuming the 1-for-4 bonus warrants are fully exercised,
the enlarged issued and paid-up share capital of VS
would be 1,454 million shares, with potential proceeds of
approximately RM479.8 million which would be utilised for
working capital purposes.

The 1-for-4 bonus warrants exercise is pending approvals
from shareholders and regulatory authorities, and is
targeted for completion by 1st Quarter2016.
(这个DECEMBER 2015 即将公布业绩就是1st Quarter2016.)


VS’s FUTURE PROSPECTS

According to International Monetary Fund, global growth
is expected to strengthen to 3.8% in 2016, compared to
the 3.3% projected for 2015. Even so, the future remains
largely uncertain, what with the fast-changing technological
evolution in EMS sector.

As VS enter the financial year ending 31 July 2016 (FY2016), VS
intends to sustain efforts on reinforcing and strengthening
our expertise in the EMS sector. Furthermore, the Group will
be focusing on enhancing our Research and Development
(R&D) capabilities to capture higher-value added processes
and establish a sharper competitive edge over other players.
VS believe that this steadfast focus on constant skill
enhancement and value-add will bode well for our longterm
sustainability.

For one thing, VS continued to gain customers’ trust, which
is reflected in the Group securing larger sales orders, be
they for existing or new product lines.

VS focused on enhancing our overall
competitiveness by maintaining rigorous cost-control and
striving to become more efficient in production. The higher
sales volume, coupled with past investments in advanced
manufacturing capacities and capabilities, enabled us to
enjoy a greater degree of efficiency and economies of scale.

Furthermore, as the majority of the products by VS were
eventually exported to the United States, Australia, Japan
and European countries, we leveraged on the weaker Ringgit
versus the US Dollar to improve our competitive edge.

The moderated pace of growth in global economies is quite
likely to be reflected in the dampened consumer spending
worldwide. Given this, VS do anticipate to witness a keener
level of competition in the EMS sector, in light of a potentially
demand-constricted environment.

Stock

2015-12-04 14:33 | Report Abuse

请您去打开Hevea的i3invesors,
看看其他人的comment,
之后/之前Share split or Bonus Issue
买入才对。

Stock

2015-12-04 14:26 | Report Abuse

忘了它的过去,向前看。