Central banks emerge as significant buyers of gold, suggesting that their purchases are motivated by security concerns and a long-term insurance position.
"Looking at the returns from six months before the start of the recession to six months after the end, we can see that gold has returned 28% on average and outperformed the S&P 500 by 37%."
Day said “there’s no doubt in my mind” the Fed will cut interest rates this year, and if gold gets to $2,100 an ounce, “people are going to start coming back very rapidly I think.”
The main reason for the Fed to introduce QE would be more incoming bank failures, according to Prins.
"I do see the potential for a massive crisis in the banking sector. We are not out of the woods there. If that happens, it will be remedied by QE, and that will help this particular sector by creating liquidity," Prins said.
The overall consumption of the yellow metal increased by about 3% to 4,899 tons last year, backed by solid demand in the opaque over-the-counter market (OTC) and buying by central banks worldwide, especially in China and Poland.
A technical recession in the United Kingdom is helping to drive physical bullion demand as consumers look to protect their wealth, according to the latest comments from the British Royal Mint.
Amid calls for the overnight policy rate (OPR) to be raised, the Prime Minister believes that increasing it to strengthen the ringgit’s value will not help the people, says Fahmi Fadzil. Back the MYR with gold ? 😄😄😁
You know GOLDETF (0828EA) is radie a bullish wave, hitti all-time highs in gold prices, and not much chatter, maybe due to diverse interests or focus on other assets. Gold is a go-to during economic uncertainty, and its current all-time high is worth noting. So,staying informed is crucial for smart investment decisions, especially with gold hitting milestones
On a long term basis : all currencies including USD = always depreciate to 0 value as they are printed from NOTHING. gold = always on uptrend with no upper max. limit, continuing hitting all-time high non-stop forever ! 😍🥰🤩
Central banks have been solid gold buyers for more than a decade; however, their appetite has become insatiable in the last two years as global reserves have risen by more than 1,000 tonnes in both 2022 and 2023.
Gold rose to over $2,080 per ounce on Friday, marking an all-time high and heading for its second consecutive weekly gain, fueled by the weakening of the dollar and lower Treasury yields, amid softening US economic data.
New York Fed President John Williams recently expressed his expectation of an interest rate cut later this year, emphasizing the easing inflation and robust economy, noting that the current economic conditions do not necessitate a rate hike.
https://www.tradeplus.com.my/ - DATED 01/03/2024. TODAY 04/03/2024 IS HIGHER THAN THOSE UPDATED ON 01/03/2024. AHBAH, HOW MANY OUNCES IS OUR ETF HOLDING NOW?
Fund’s Net Asset Value USD 13,528,104.30 Units in Circulation 20,796,600 units and my estimation is USD13,528,104.30/Market Price USD2044-00 on 1/3/2024 equal 6,618 oz in our ETF's Vault.
Gold has indeed been an interesting topic lately. Let’s delve into the price projections for this precious metal:
2024 Forecast: J.P. Morgan Research predicts that gold prices will continue to be influenced by Fed rate cuts and geopolitical tensions. The expected range for gold by the end of 2024 is between $2,100 and $2,300 per ounce. This reflects both economic uncertainties and the enduring appeal of gold as an investment. Kitco, another reputable source, suggests a similar range, estimating gold prices to be between $2,100 and $2,300 per ounce by the end of 2024. Additionally, based on chart readings, gold is expected to fluctuate between $2,000 and $2,200 throughout 2024, assuming supply and demand remain relatively stable. Longer-Term Outlook: Looking beyond 2024, J.P. Morgan anticipates a forecasted peak of $2,300/oz in 2025. The gradual increase in gold prices seems plausible due to anticipated Fed rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. While the short-term technical analysis points to a potential target of a couple of hundred dollars higher, the longer-term view suggests levels around $2,700 to $2,800 over the next year or two. In summary, gold appears to be in a favorable position from both a technical standpoint and as a safe-haven asset. Keep an eye on the market dynamics, and remember that unforeseen events can always impact gold prices in the long term.
Gold has been a noteworthy investment over the long term, but its performance varies depending on the time period analyzed. Let’s delve into the details:
Historical Performance: Durable Store of Value: Gold has long been considered a durable store of value and a hedge against inflation. Mixed Returns: Over the long run, both stocks and bonds have generally outperformed the price increase in gold on average. Shorter Time Spans: However, over certain shorter time spans, gold may come out ahead. Inflation and Geopolitical Uncertainty: Gold tends to rise during periods of high inflation and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent Highs: In 2020, gold reached an all-time high of nearly $2,075 as the COVID-19 pandemic spread, and it spiked again above $2,000 per ounce during the Russia-Ukraine conflict in early 2022. Comparison with Stocks and Bonds: Over the longer term, stocks seem to outperform gold by about 3-to-1. However, over shorter time horizons, gold may win out1. Specific Data: From 1990 to 2020, the price of gold increased by around 360%. Over the same period, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained 991%. Considering the 15-year period from 2005 to 2020, the price of gold increased by 330%, roughly the same as the 30-year period mentioned earlier. During this time, the DJIA increased by only 153%. In recent years, 2021 and 2022, gold has outperformed stocks due to geopolitical uncertainty and inflation worldwide. Annual Returns: Between January 1971 and December 2022, gold had average annual returns of 7.78%, which was only slightly behind the return of commodities with 8.3% average annual returns. In 2022, the annual average return of gold was 0.4%. Notably, in 2020, the annual average return of gold was 24.6%, making it the second-highest return among a range of assets that year, following silver. In summary, while gold has its place as a safe haven and hedge, its performance relative to other assets can vary significantly based on the time frame considered. Investors often include gold as part of a diversified portfolio, especially when it acts as a hedge against a falling stock market
Gold could hit $2,500 an ounce in 2024, after snapping an all-time high of $2,195.15 on March 8, Head of Global Commodities Strategy at JPMorgan Chase & Co. Natasha Kaneva told Bloomberg TV.
She noted that the yellow metal is deemed the bank's No. 1 pick in the commodities market.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ahbah
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Posted by ahbah > 2024-01-01 13:05 | Report Abuse
Geopolitics and central banks could keep gold demand hot in 2024, World Gold Council says