We maintain our BUY call on Sapura Energy (Sapura) with an unchanged fair value of RM0.55/share, based on a 25% discount to our estimated diluted book value of RM0.72/share, assuming completion of the proposed rights issue of up to RM4bil.
Sapura has secured 3 rig drilling charters and 2 offshore jobs worth RM760mil as follows:
2-year charter for semi-submersible tender assisted drilling rig Sapura Jaya to work in Angola from Chevron Corp’s Cabinda Gulf Oil Co Ltd which includes 2 possible extensions of 6 months;
Charter extension for semi-submersible tender assisted drilling rig Sapura Esperanza Drilling to drill 3 wells off Sarawak for Shell;
Charter extension for semi-tender assisted drilling rig Sapura Berani to drill 2 more wells at the Sumandak facility, offshore Sabah, from Petronas Carigali Sdn Bhd
Engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning (EPCC) contract from Petronas Floating LNG 1 (L) Ltd to relocate and tie-in PFLNG Satu (Petronas floating liquefied natural gas) by 3QFY20, currently located in the Kumang Cluster, offshore Sarawak; and
Additional scope for offshore transportation and installation under the existing contract for the provision of EPCC plus installation for full field development Phase 2 facilities, North Malay Basin from Hess Exploration and Production Malaysia B.V., to be completed by 2QFY20
Including the US$353mil (RM1.5bil) contract to survey, design, build, transport, install and commission the central processing platform & living quarters of KW-DWN-98/2 project development offshore platform, which was awarded on 6 Dec 2018, Sapura has secured massive new orders worth RM9.3bil for FY19 to date, which translate to 2.3x the RM2.8bil jobs clinched in FY18.
We maintain FY19F-FY21F earnings as this new award is within our FY19F new win assumption of RM9bil, raising the group’s outstanding order book by 4% to RM17.7bil – 3x FY20F revenues).
As highlighted in our past reports, Sapura’s order book prospects have improved significantly with the massive new offshore rollouts globally.
Recently selected as one of Saudi Aramco’s 4 new long-term agreement programme contractors for a 6-year firm period (excluding 2 optional extensions of 3 years), we expect substantive expansions from Sapura’s current tender book of US$8.5bil and prospective bids of US$14.3bil.
The stock currently trades at half its ex-PBV of 0.5x for a group with a rising order growth momentum.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....