We maintain our HOLD recommendation on Sunway REIT (SREIT) with a revised fair value of RM1.69 (from RM1.68) after rolling over our 6% target yield from FY19 to FY20. We are revising our FY19–21 distributable income downwards by 5.2%, 4.0% and 3.1% respectively by factoring higher finance charges into our forecasts.
SREIT recorded its 1HFY19 revenue of RM282.6mil (+0% YoY), mainly contributed by stronger performance by retail (+1%) and office segment (+16%) but offset by weaker performance in hotel segment (-12%) as a result of disruption in income due to the closure of the Sunway Resort Hotel & Spa (SHRS) grand ballroom and meeting rooms; higher room preventive maintenance cost and lack of demand in group corporate bookings which impacted Sunway Putra Hotel. Meanwhile, PBT fell by 7.2% YoY as a result of higher finance expenses (+19.7%) due to higher principal loan amount, mainly to fund acquisitions and capex.
SREIT’s 1HFY19 distributable income of RM140mil (-5.9% YoY) came in slightly below expectation at 47% of both our full-year forecast and the full-year consensus estimates respectively. YTD NPI increased marginally by 0.2% to RM214.7mil due to lower operating expenses. SREIT recommended a DPU of 2.25 sen as compared with 2.38 sen YoY (QoQ: 2.48 sen).
The retail segment reported a 1HFY19 revenue of RM210.2mil (+1.4% YoY) supported by Sunway Pyramid Shopping Mall but partially offset by Sunway Putra Mall. Meanwhile, its NPI grew by 3.0% YoY to RM153.6mil due lower A&P expenses in Sunway Pyramid. Sunway Pyramid Shopping Mall’s revenue and NPI rose by +3.4% and 2.4% to RM161.0mil RM126.7mil respectively. YTD occupancy rates at Sunway Pyramid, Carnival and Putra Mall remained stable at 99.0%, 98.2% and 91.0% respectively (vs. 98.4%, 96.2% and 89.4% YoY).
The hotel sector’s 1HFY19 revenue and NPI slid by 12.5% and 17.2% to RM40.2mil and RM36.4mil respectively, mainly due to weaker performance in SHRS. SHRS recorded softer average occupancy rate of 64.2% in 1HFY18 versus 82.1% YoY, mainly attributable to the ongoing refurbishment of the grand ballroom and meeting rooms which has been completed by 2QFY19.
The office sector’s 1HFY19 revenue and NPI expanded by 16.0% and 34.4% to RM18.4mil and 10.3mil respectively on the back of improved performance from Sunway Putra Tower and Wisma Sunway, with commencement of new tenants and expansion from existing tenant, respectively.
Debt-to-total assets ratio increased to 38% vs. 33% YoY mainly due to higher investing activities. Nevertheless, it is still below the regulatory threshold of 50%.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....