We maintain our HOLD recommendation on Infomina with the same fair value of RM1.51/ share, pegged to FY24F PE of 25x, in line with its closest industry peers' average forward. The FV also reflects an unchanged neutral ESG rating of 3 stars.
Infomina has been appointed by the Companies Commission of Malaysia (CCM) as the service provider for an online platform over a 6-year tenure from 31 March 2023 to 30 March 2029.
The platform will facilitate the public in searching, extracting and purchasing data on companies and businesses registered with CCM. Currently, there are 2 existing providers that provide similar services to CCM, which are SSM e-info and MyData-SSM.
According to CCM’s data, total annual transactions provided by both services providers rose by a 3-year CAGR of 9.3% to 5.1mil in 2022 (exhibit 1).
We positively view this contract which will provide a new recurring revenue stream for Infomina as it can charge a service fee based on the actual consumption of the platform for 6 years.
The contract could potentially contribute up to 2% of Infomina’s earnings from FY23F to FY29F assuming that the company secures 25% of total transaction volume of 5.1mil and charge RM4 per purchase of company data. Currently, peers charge RM3 to RM5 per transaction depending on the type of documents.
Pending further clarifications on the details of the contract from management, we maintain our earnings estimates for now given the slight potential impact.
We gather from Infomina that it is targeting to obtain more contracts from local and overseas customers over the next 3 to 6 months.
Infomina is set to release its 3QFY23 results on 13 April 2023. We expect the company to report stronger QoQ results for the quarter on the back of a more profitable sales mix and higher margins from its renewal segment.
However, we view that the positive developments have been priced in with the stock currently trading at a premium FY24F PE of 27.5x, compared to Bursa Technology Index’s 5-year forward average of 26.8x.
Key risks to our call and earnings forecasts are termination of contracts from major customers and a sharp dip in orderbook value.
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