Random Trading

KNM - Bearish breakout!

Random Trading
Publish date: Tue, 16 Sep 2014, 05:30 PM
Too dumb to be an expert, too green to called a veteran and certainly not an insider. what's left..... RANDOM!

Disclaimer - I'm too dumb to be an expert thus all the contents of this blog are just my random thoughts and may be incomplete or contain any informational errors. It is certainly not recommendation to buy or sell. You'll be responsible for your own decision. Please consult your investment consultants before making any investment decision.

 

Chart : KNM daily chart as of Sep 15 2014 (source: ChartNexus)

 

KNM's share price has soared from around 40 sen to peak around RM 1.14 for the past one year backed by the improved financial performance of the company. But the uptrend may be come to an end. The counter fell by 5.5 sen or 5.79% with heavy volume to closed at 89.5 sen on Monday. The fall caused the share price to broke its uptrend line as well as its immediate horizontal support line at 91.5 sen.
 
The timing of the decline of the share price is rather interesting. The share price peaked and started decline somewhere around early August which is when the company made an announcement regarding material contract that involved its subsidiary regarding the Pengerang Integrated Complex Project. The details of the announcement is here :
 
 
The supposed good news not only didn't pushed the counter higher instead the share price started decline after that. The potential contract value for KNM for this RAPID job is estimated to be around USD 300 Million. The latest 'relatively' healthy quarter earning  announced on Aug 27 also can't stop the share price from further declined. 
 
The selling could be due to temporary profit taking since the stock has more than doubled in 1 year time but the bearish breakout is just something that the investors can't ignore. It could be just a false signal but if the share price do not stabilize or rebound in the next few days then it could be the end of its run for the last 1 year.
Discussions
5 people like this. Showing 11 of 11 comments

BumbleBee

Good article. Hmm...you say "temporary profit taking" ?? Only time will tell

2014-09-16 23:15

Frank Soweto

I hope it's a false signal otherwise damn u EPF &^%$ - take my hard earned savings to gamble on this ^%$# longkang share. EPF should sacked the trader(s) who punt on this!

2014-09-16 23:26

Frank Soweto

People who like this
BBB79, yungshen1, BumbleBee

huh Master Sifu YS1 why u like this article? it said BEARISH breakout la NOT BULLISH breakout LOL oh o.k2 I see u want to collect more izzit LOL

2014-09-17 01:25

speakup

when a fearful article like this comes out, it is time to buy KNM.

buy when others fear!

2014-09-17 07:27

Frank Soweto

Thank You speakup -
pls buy more -
pls dun let the price fall anymore
we need more brave hearts like u
to have retirements funds for me n u :)

2014-09-17 08:18

ryan_och

FrankSoweto: EPF gila one, buy high sell low in supermax

2014-09-17 10:43

Ryan Chong

it is more like correction A

2014-09-17 16:21

trincylim

I'm heavily into this stock since the beginning of May, should have sold off earlier... Errrr.....

2014-09-17 20:15

ryan_och

uptrend breakdown, not a good sign

2014-09-17 20:21

ryan_och

next should be 0.83

2014-09-17 20:22

amason

too many support levels have given way ..... stay away

2014-09-17 20:30

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