We maintain our BUY call on Hong Leong Financial Group (HLFG) with an unchanged fair value of RM17.70/share based on SOP valuation. We tweaked our earnings for FY18/F19F by -1.0%/+0.5% by adjusting our assumptions for credit cost and CI ratio.
HLFG reported net profit of RM259mil in 4QFY17 which declined 38.2%QoQ, underpinned by a lower contribution from Commercial Banking and Investment Banking divisions coupled with a higher tax expense. The increase in taxes was due to tax deductions claimed under HLA Holding and a subsidiary of Hong Leong Bank which were disallowed by the authority. This had a RM170mil impact on its net profit. NOII rose 12.7%QoQ, attributed mainly to a higher net income from insurance business (+87.8%QoQ) as well as stronger income from Treasury operations and dividends from investments
12MFY17 net profit grew 10.9%YoY to RM1.5bil, attributed to higher contribution from all business segments (Commercial Banking, Investment Banking, Insurance). Cumulative earnings were within expectation, making up 91.4% of our and 93.7% of consensus estimates.
HLFG's 64.4%-owned subsidiary, Hong Leong Bank (HLBB) reported a higher PBT of RM2.75bil (+15.4%YoY) for 12MFY17, driven by an increase in operating income as well as a rise in share of profit from it associate, Bank of Chengdu and Sinchuan Jincheng Consumer Finance JV.
HLBB's operating income continued to outpace OPEX, resulting in positive JAW of 4.1%. CI ratio for HLBB improved to 44.1% for 12MFY17.
12MFY17 saw a higher allowance for loan losses due top rudent credit management and provisioning which led to higher net credit cost of 0.13% for HLBB compared to 0.04% for 12MFY16.
HLA Holdings, the group's insurance division recorded a higher pre-tax profit of RM337.8mil, a rise of 71.0%YoY, contributed by higher life surplus fundsof RM61.3mil, higher revenue of RM45.2mil and share of profit from associate of RM4.2mil. Gross premiums of Hong Leong Assurance (HLA) grew 8.1%YoY to RM3.01bil in 12MFY17. New business regular premiums (NBRP) grew by a commendable 8.3%YoY, contributing to a growth in new business embedded value of 11.0%YoY.Meanwhile, HLA's management expense ratio remained low at 5.5% for 12MFY17, reflecting its cost efficiency.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....