We maintain our BUY call on RHB Bank with an unchanged fair value of RM6.00/share. Our fair value is based on FY18F ROE of 9.1% leading to unchanged P/BV of 1.0x. No change to our earnings forecast.
3QFY17 net profit was RM489mil (-2.4%QoQ: -3.3%YoY). On a QoQ basis, earnings were flat with a higher total income,offset by an increase in operating expenses (OPEX) and provisions for loan losses.
The group reported a profit of RM1.49bil (+4.9%YoY) for 9MFY17, supported by higher net fund-based income and lower impairment on securities, but partially offset by a decline in net non-fund based income and rise in OPEX. Cumulative earnings were within expectations, making up 72.2% of our and 73.7% of consensus estimates respectively. Annualised ROE for 9MFY17 of 8.9% was close to our estimate of 9.1% for the full FY17.
The group continued to record a negative JAW for 9MFY17 (1.8%) with growth in OPEX outpacing that of its total income. CI ratio was 49.6% in 9MFY17, close to our projection of 49.0% for FY17.
Gross loan growth picked up pace slightly, and continuing to grow modestly by 3.3%YoY. The expansion in credit was driven largely by mortgage and SME loans.
NIM was stable at 2.19% in 3QFY17. This was due to group's management of funding cost which saw the redemption of its sub-debts and senior notes in 2QFY17.
Customer deposit growth improved compared to 2QFY17, but continued to be slow at 1.5%YoY. This was due to the group's conscious decision to reduce its more expensive money market term deposits (MMTD).CASA growth remained healthy at 11.9%YoY while CASA ratio stood at 27.1%.
Annualised credit cost in 3QFY17 was higher at 0.37% vs. 0.08% in 2QFY17. The increase in provisions in 3QFY17 was due to a write-back in allowance for a loan impairment in 2QFY17 which did not recur as well as higher provisions made for a number of unrelated loans. Nevertheless, for 9MFY17 credit cost was stable at 0.26% for (9MFY16: 0.25%), still within our assumption of 0.30% for FY17.
3QFY17 saw an uptick in group's GIL ratio to 2.31% compared to 2.29% in 2QFY17. Nevertheless, the ratio was still an improvement from 4QFY16's 2.43%.
The group raised its loan loss cover (including of regulatory reserves) to 93.6% in 3QFY17 vs. 81.4% in 2QFY17. RM477.1mil was transferred from retained earnings to its regulatory reserves.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....