CEO Morning Brief

Ringgit Eases Further at Close Versus US Dollar

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Publish date: Wed, 19 Jul 2023, 08:51 AM
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TheEdge CEO Morning Brief

KUALA LUMPUR (July 18): The ringgit eased further against the US dollar at the close on Tuesday (July 18), in tandem with regional currencies on lingering concerns over China’s economic growth, despite the softer greenback.

The US dollar languished near its lowest level since April 2022, touched last Friday after the soft US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index reports, said an analyst.

At 6pm, the local note stood at 4.5375/5420 against the greenback compared with 4.5340/5405 at Monday’s close.

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist and social finance head Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said the ringgit continues its range-bound trade against the greenback on Tuesday as concerns over China’s weakening economic prospects appeared to be taking root in the currency market.

China’s central bank is likely to cut its policy rate again as the country’s inflation has turned to 0% year-on-year in June.

On another note, he said the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to change its tact and will soften its hawkish stance as the US disinflationary trend has become prevalent recently.

The US CPI had moderated to 3% in June 2023 after reaching a 40-year high of 9.1% in June 2022, Mohd Afzanizam said.

“Clearly, the Fed is on track to achieve the 2% inflation target, leading to thoughts of excessive monetary tightening is unwarranted.

“For now, we think the ringgit should linger around RM4.53 to RM4.54 against the US dollar which is slightly lower than the immediate resistant level of RM4.5491. The immediate support level is currently located at RM4.4872,” he told Bernama.

The ringgit was traded lower against a basket of major currencies at Tuesday’s close.

It fell vis-a-vis the euro to 5.1038/1088 from 5.0971/1044 at Monday’s close, slipped against the British pound to 5.9450/9509 from 5.9359/9444 and eased versus the Japanese yen to 3.2835/2870 from 3.2815/2864.

The local note also traded lower against other Asean currencies.

The ringgit fell against the Thai baht to 13.2586/2768 from 13.0984/1225 on Monday, declined versus the Singapore dollar to 3.4346/4383 from 3.4315/4366 previously.

It inched down vis-a-vis the Philippine peso to 8.34/8.35 from 8.33/8.35 and slid against the Indonesian rupiah to 302.5/302.9 from 301.9/302.5 on Monday.

The market will be closed on Wednesday in conjunction with Awal Muharram.

Source: TheEdge - 19 Jul 2023

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