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FCPO FKLI S&P Soybean oil Futures Analysis 18 - 22 March 19

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Publish date: Tue, 19 Mar 2019, 10:13 AM
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Let's check out what's in store for us this week.  

Video version:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LA4gCh7iwMQ&t=459s

  

Emini S&P 500


 

First up is the Emini S&P 500. Since early of the year, the market has been creating this sort of higher highs market structure.......Currently the market is above the 2,816 structure high. This tells us that the market is still in a bullish trend. All buyers need to do is to maintain prices above 2,816. As traders we can look for buying opportunities to ride on this opportunity. First uptrend target is 2,870. The second uptrend target is the historical high of 2,947. 

However this uptrend is ended if sellers manage to force a close below 2,727. In addition, a close below 2,727 could spark a healthy correction. We could potentially see prices went down and retest previous structure low of 2,636. If the sellers are still strong and destroyed that support, we could see prices went down to 2nd target of 2,575. That being said, this downtrend analysis is ruled out when prices close above 2,816. 

FKLI

 

So this is our Emini S&P analysis, let's check out the next market: FKLI. Last month, after reversing to the 200 MEAN, FKLI had a significant sell off afterwards. And then hitting a strong support at 1,656-1,660. As you can see from the market structures I drawn, FKLI is in a sideways mode with a bit of upward momentum. 

If you know me for awhile, you will notice that I always identify the market structure 1st. Unfortunately, some people will say: "aiya...market structures are too basic for us traders, this method is not sexy or complicated...and etc...etc...". My fellow traders, if we don't understand the main structure of the market, how can we make money?" Yes market structures are too basic. But we trade the markets to make money; not to impress ourselves and others with complicated things. I don't care is this method complicated or not. I will call it a good method as long as it can help me make money. Besides that, market structures saved me from many low quality trades. 

Back to FKLI. As long as prices able to sustain above 1,674, FKLI will have plenty of room going upwards. First uptrend target is at 1,706. If by then buyers are still in the game, we could see FKLI retest the EMA 200 level or 1,721. 

However if the buyers failed to hold this level 1,656-60 level, there's a pretty good chance FKLI will experience a strong sell off. This sell off could produce a retest of 1,646 or or even a retest of the december 2018 structure low of 1,636. So keep an eye out for this scenario as well. 

 

FCPO

 

The 3rd market we going to check out is FCPO. The market structure is still downtrend. This is because it has been shows higher lows for past weeks.

Therefore the momentum for FCPO now is favors the sellers. A rule of thumb, prices need to remain below 2,114 or this structure. Since the market is showing this, we could potentially see FCPO go down to the previous structure low of 2,037. If that structure fails to stop the selling momentum, we could then see prices go further down towards 1,987, roughly around December 2018 level.   

On the other hands, for traders looking for buying opportunities, it is best to wait for prices to secure a close above 2,114. When this happen, only then we can look for buying opportunities to trade in line with the potential uptrend. First uptrend target is 2,157. The second uptrend target is at Mar structure high of 2,217.  

 

Soybean Oil Futures

 

The last market for the day is the Soybean Oil Futures. The market structure is higher lows. so who's in control of the market?...Yes...sellers. So as long as prices below $29.50, we are anticipating for the market to continue trading lower and lower. First target is $28.95 while second downtrend target is at $28.15. 

 

However we need to understand that anything can happen to the market. The buyers are back in control only when prices sustain above $30. When it happens, we can trade our way upwards. These are the uptrend targets we can shoot for $30.59 nearest structure high and the $31.17 major structure high.  

Alright, that wraps up this week's analysis. I hope my analysis can give you a clear picture. Remember, we are in the trading business to make money; not to judge whether a method is complicated enough to make money. Trade well my friends!

 

Let’s work together

That concludes this week market analysis. Hope you guys can benefits from it. If you like to trade local or foreign futures under me and my team’s guidance, feel free to reach out to us here (Click here). We are looking forward to work together with you. Have a nice days. 

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