[duit] Half yearly review 2017 Stock Pick

[duit] 2017 Stock Pick - Half yearly review

duitKWSPkita
Publish date: Mon, 31 Jul 2017, 12:29 PM
Dear Fellow Friends,

I would like to review my stock pick 2017 and comment on the f=uture of these particular stocks.

You may raise your comment as it would be useful for my 2nd half investment focus.

Cheers,
duit

Dear Fellow Friends,

It has been half year + 1 month over and it's time to review my 2017 stock pick. Last year I set my own target of Top 35 ranking and this year do stringent target to Top 25.

7 months passed and my result is not encouraging at this moment (3 losses out of 8) but I do forsee to achieve the Top 25 is do-able till year end.

Normally when I study one's porfolio I will at first click on the "Average cost" sorting from Top to bottom. This is because I want to learn from him/her what stock/industry focus the most. Same go too me I will explain my stock pick from top-bottom counter.

I will discuss in point form so easy for our further discussion. My comment/remarks as below:

  1. Fact 3/8 success rate till July 2017.... scoring 62.5% consider average result
  2. This year is the starting of big harvesting year of new economic cycle from (July' 2016 - Sept 2022). According to economic cycle as per compiled I go bigger portion into Finance(Investment) and one of the rising commoditiy (Oil & gas).
  3. Finance (investment) INSAS-WB and OSKVI consist of 24.8% in total
  4. Oil & Gas Pantech-WA and EATECH size up 30.5% the biggest participation. (will explain in next blog named DIY Stock Portfolio)
  5. TDM and TMCLIFE-WB are the old cards from previous 2016 stock pick because of the long overdue catalyst reason
  6. REXIT and Accsot are the FINTECH and E-commence theme play respectively
  7. The total selection of stocks has been reduced to 8 if compared to 2016 stock pick to increase the focus on potential gainers.

 

Here we go ...............

Pantech-WA:
Purchased price of RM0.120 and it touched RM0.300 before retracted to current price. Pantech is the prime beneficial of oil & gas industry reviving play. It has big room to grow from current business performance regardless of shale oil rig count or crude oil demand as long as WTI stand firm above USD46. Continual ESOS exercise actually stop the price from going up but good is the company reward the employees for long term career advancement.To expect much stronger move (>RM0.690) we need to see big increase in productivity. Can invest for dividend purpose.

EATECH:
A weak baby that need extra care at this moment. It's so adorable yet so manja. 31% down since beginning of year as the business contracts not really convincing us as investor.


Start to observe the buying interest but we want to see solid EPCIC contracts in coming months to confirm on the 2nd half prospect. At this junture if the Aug result show trimmed down in losses I will add stake for long term investment. Directors acting aggressively to acquire from month too month. For long term investment iinvest 20% every 2 weeks and wait for Aug result for the next 30% while last 30% once announcement on contracts award.

OSKVI:
Achieved my target! Do not expect winfdall gain from it till November.

REXIT:
My first pick of FINTECH stock in Bursa Malaysia and it delivers 49% till present mainly hit by exclusion of Syariah list in May. REXIT has big profit margin which can create advance competitive edge to become market leader. RM0.950 is not impossible on the sustained profit performance.

TDM:
If you need quick gain to fund your other quicker investment instrument then this stock will not featuring it. TDM is building foundation for its oil palm business as well as healthcare. Disappointing point is it failed to enter Syariah list in May 2017 and hope to see some light in November 2017. The exclusion was not due to earning or poor company record but non compliance in exceeded the cash interest clause. ANother booming catalyst is their plan to list Healthcare when business structure is ready. Very defensive counter and can expect RM0.920 when back to syariah list whilst CPO price close at RM2,650 average throughout this year.

INSAS-WB:
Needless to comment much. Pros and Cons or CANTEK plus all Condolences RIP stories can be obtained at INSAS thread. My highlight here is we still have another one round of strong wave before end of 2017. RM1.40 target of mother remain intact. Too many experts there so I leave it to them since my INSAS-WB is no much from 200% gain.

Accsoft:
A real silent counter that deliver loudest result among all my counters. They are not only selling shoes but what I can say is their supply chain and tracebility features for the goods is amazing.... This is what ATAS people in China looking for. They will replicate the same winning strategy to other country like Malaysia and Singapore soonest. It has record of 185% gain versus Jan' 2017 price but it's good to see it back too fair value. Bear in mind that to win a sale we need to create outstanding features and tracebility beside fulfill the fundamental requirement. If some one can further make up one product from "need + expectation" become "need+expectation+features" you will be champion. For example phone give you "need" of calling and at the same time fulfill your "expectation" of fast surfing, strong front camera, multi tasking software but if "feature" of health monitoring added on then it is very ATAS product. Friend of mine is venturing this software like watch that monitoring pulse and analyze trend which link up to virtual doctor at one of the Hosiptal to determine stroke, heart attack and cardial arrest............  This is ATAS! I am so impressed by Accsoft e commence features since they launch the product last few year.  Humble but PROMISING!!!!!!!!!!!

TMCLIFE-WB:
Although price plunge more than 32% but I am still calm and let Peter Lim and Johore Sultan to drive for me. Healthcare business will only fail if all humans become illproof tomorrow. Big CAPEX for bed and wad expansion shall see a slower return in ROI. There is logic to wait for another 2 quarters. I will treat it as long term investment (more than 5 years).

 

Conclusion: I will continue to back test my economic cycle study and to improve on my stock portfolio organization. First target is to see all 8 counters back to black and then heading to Top 25 in Dec' 2017. I will do another blog about DIY Stock Portfolio for new bie who plan to start their mid term (6-9 months) or long term investment.

Discussions
11 people like this. Showing 18 of 18 comments

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

Happy lunching all! Back only discuss with you.

2017-07-31 12:29

VenFx

Like first,
uncommon profits from uncommon counters ; still can't figure it out What are iLui gor's Golden Blue for above selection criteria.

2017-07-31 13:06

Russell

Duit no sunzen already?

2017-07-31 13:08

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

Sunzen was verified & confirmed later after Chine New Year.... so it cant join the 2017 Stock Pick.....

Anyway, SUNZEN is my top focus in 2017 for long term investment

2017-07-31 13:29

paperplane2016

good review, how about HENGYUAN+PETRONM.

2017-07-31 13:57

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

Paper bro....

No time to cover Petronm and Hengyuan but I believe you all make fantastic profit hence, no need to review..... kekekekeke...

If can get a real Musang King with RM28/kg sure I wont ask the seller why why why why????? will quickly buy and cabut... U know wat I mean..

I have some comment about Petronm actually. But I'm not in best position to share.

2017-07-31 13:59

paperplane2016

please duit bro, your comment is always good one. share with us your view. Insas-WB still 0.75 huh? why no revised upward one. must be 0.80-1.00 mah.

2017-07-31 14:00

probability

RM8/kg now...

2017-07-31 14:01

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

paper bro..

I boh lat liao..... after lose in FGV warrant and HSI-H2C////// mentally boh lat liao... need to recharge.....

Need more red bull drink only can come back..... No la... I am not doing well as many already achieved 100% success rate in stock pick.. Mine still 3 out of 8 only..... Big mess there

2017-07-31 14:08

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

Probability,

The Probability to get quality MUSANG KING at RM8/kg is as low as 0.08 only...

Posted by probability > Jul 31, 2017 02:01 PM | Report Abuse

RM8/kg now...

2017-07-31 14:09

Russell

thanks duit for always updating us here

2017-07-31 14:15

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

Russell,

Not to mention.. U always treat me Brussel beer and Mussel so I must update U frequently.....

2017-07-31 14:20

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

好故事可以开启人生:http://yuedu.mipang.com/lizhi/huayu/gushi/::


穷人与富人的故事
01.
有个穷人,因为吃不饱穿不暖,而在佛祖面前痛哭流涕,诉说生活的艰苦,天天干活累的半死却挣不来几个钱。哭了半晌他突然开始埋怨道:“这个社会太不公平了,为什么富人天天悠闲自在,而穷人就应该天天吃苦受累?”佛祖微笑的问:“要怎样你才觉得公平哪?”穷人急忙说道:“要让富人和我一样穷,干一样的活,如果富人还是富人我就不再埋怨了。”佛祖点头道:“好吧!”说完佛祖把一位富人变成了和穷人一样穷的人。并给了他们一家一座山,每天挖出来的煤当天可以卖掉买食物,限期一个月之内挖光煤山。

穷人和富人开炲一起开挖,穷人平常干惯了粗活,挖煤这活对他就是小菜一碟,很快他挖了一车煤,拉去集市上卖了钱,用这些钱他全买了好吃的,拿回家给老婆孩子解馋。富人平时没干过重活,挖一会停一会,还累的满头大汗。到了傍晚才勉强挖了一车拉到集市上买,换来的钱他只买了几个硬馒头,其余的钱都留了起来。

第二天穷人早早起来开始挖煤,富人却去逛集市。不一会带回俩个穷人来,这两个穷人膀大腰圆,他们二话没说就开始给富人挖煤,而富人站在一边指手画脚的监督着。只一上午的功夫富人就指挥两个穷人挖出了几车煤去,富人把煤卖了又雇了几个苦力,一天下来,他除了给工人开工钱,剩下的钱还比穷人赚的钱多几倍。

一个月很快过去了,穷人只挖了煤山的一角,每天赚来的钱都买了好吃好喝,基本没有剩余。而富人早就指挥工人挖光了煤山,赚了不少的钱,他用这些钱投资做起了买卖,很快又成了富人。

结果可想而知,穷人再也不抱怨了。成功,不在于你能做多少事,而在于你能借多少人的力去做多少事!学会用智慧去借力吧!善借别人的力,善借工具的力,善借平台的力,善借机会的力!那么你便找到了杠杆的着力点,甚至可以去撬动整个地球!

2017-07-31 17:00

Russell

when sunzen huat, i am always free to treat you mussels at brussels cafe

2017-07-31 17:26

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

Good thanks. Very soon to huat for you

I rather patience pay

2017-07-31 20:29

Tulip

Thanks abang duit. As a newbie, I'm looking forward to your DIY stock portfolio...

2017-07-31 22:19

稻田·* 片片绿青~粒粒芳香

Tulip. Yes. I plan to present in my blog. Hope I am.fre for it this week so we all can discuss and learn together

2017-07-31 23:09

paperplane2016

duit. come come quick quick. Hengyuan selling down liao. got catch dead chicken now!

2017-08-01 14:11

Post a Comment