probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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User Comments
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9 hours ago | Report Abuse

The above is not a dream... it is ACTUALIZED by similar capacity neigbouring r...

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9 hours ago | Report Abuse

Gross Profit at above derived present refining margin of US $29.3/brl

= (10.7...

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9 hours ago | Report Abuse

Correction:
...........

we shall use Mogas 95 instead of Mogas 92 with a prem...

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9 hours ago | Report Abuse

Natural Gas Shortage Fears Buoy US Market as Winter Reserves Lag

https://www....

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12 hours ago | Report Abuse

Germans brace for two ‘stressful’ winters amid gas shortage

https://www.thevi...

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20 hours ago | Report Abuse

sometime we suspect certain syndicates..because they are the only want we know...

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20 hours ago | Report Abuse

LOL! Wang Zhuode entertain uncle Koon? no way...he he

Posted by Sslee > A...

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21 hours ago | Report Abuse

Thanks Zhuge

Posted by Zhuge_Liang > Aug 18, 2022 10:32 AM | Report Abuse...

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

tomorrow is going to be shocking

Posted by probability > Aug 17, 2022 8:0...

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

Russia cuts diesel exports amid rising prices

17 August 2022

https://24.kg/e...

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

Refining margin is exploding....you are going to see a pleasant surprise tomor...

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

@sslee, last time when Petron Corp delivered 5.6 billion peso in Q1 2017, the ...

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

Guys, good news again, live data shows margins had spiked further.

You will s...

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

wei, EPS 80 cents, you still want to sell meh? terrible la you all... even glo...

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

how to calculate weighted average refining margin:
..............................

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1 day ago | Report Abuse

well said, its all about future earnings

Posted by Sslee > Aug 17, 2022 8...

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

wednesday crack spread will be up again

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

However, margin above is not accurate as they have petrochemical & retails

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

The above is in Australia, and the below is in Vietnam

https://www.hydrocarbo...

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

Look at Ampol refinery's historical refining margins:

4Q 2021 Lytton Refi...

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

Jangan lihat harga minyak, klu turun lagi mantap!

Tengok crack spread saja ud...

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

even if i try to give up for Q2 results, Q3 results is still giving hope unfor...

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

If a refinery situated in Australia is basing Singapore platts margin, why can...

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

@NoviceJ & @ValueInvestor88, best of luck... I am with you

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2 days ago | Report Abuse

Great thing about the above news is, Ampol also reported about the same gross ...

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3 days ago | Report Abuse

by the way live data indicates margins are exploding again at the moment.... t...

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3 days ago | Report Abuse

u mean they always have big jump in gross profit from qtr to qtr but hedging w...

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3 days ago | Report Abuse

nobody knows for certain the results, when some shares an opinion, it means he...

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2016-03-27 18:27 | Report Abuse

Fantastic - oil price dropping and crack spread rising on live data!

This wha...

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2 weeks ago | Report Abuse

Morgan Stanley Upgrades Thai Oil Public Listed Co. to Overweight as Refining U...

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4 days ago | Report Abuse

If gasoline crack drops too low, simple refiner will reduce output (or even st...

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4 days ago | Report Abuse

Well summarized John, thanks

Any higher GP reported than $1,056 will result e...

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4 days ago | Report Abuse

No gloves stock had hit such high EPS we are estimating and unlike gloves, no ...

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4 days ago | Report Abuse

So, if you ask me what i will bet as the PBT as the most closest figure, i wou...

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4 days ago | Report Abuse

Take note to take out about 80 million MYR from the gross profit as the cost o...

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4 days ago | Report Abuse

However, my derivation above of 956 million (after hedging loss) is based on d...

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4 days ago | Report Abuse

@john, as you are aware Q2 PAT (gross profit after taking out the hedging loss...

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5 days ago | Report Abuse

spot on, thanks
Posted by stockwin > 17 seconds ago | Report Abuse

As we a...

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5 days ago | Report Abuse

If any of you doubt that HY could have increased its Diesel yield to 46% as it...

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5 days ago | Report Abuse


Guys, as predicted crack spread had hit above 40 USD/brl

https://www.trading...

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6 days ago | Report Abuse

DIESEL crack spread is again exploding on live data, you will likely see the c...

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6 days ago | Report Abuse

They also mentioned efficiency of the plant will significantly improve with th...

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6 days ago | Report Abuse

EV/EBITDA at current price is way more attractive than when Shandong Hengyuan ...

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6 days ago | Report Abuse

Noted Anthony. Thanks for all the warnings when price is low and earnings pros...