FY14 gross revenue of RM70.25m (+1.9% yoy) was translated into normalised net profit of RM34.15m (-1.1% yoy), accounting for 98.1% and 96.8% of HLIB and consensus FY forecasts, respectively.
Deviations
Broadly in-line
Dividends
As expected, second interim dividend of 4.28 sen was declared during fourth quarter with ex-date on 4 th Feb 2015.
YTD dividend amounted to 8.38 sen per unit (FY13: 8.38 sen) accounting for 98.9% of our full year DPU assumption.
Highlights
Full year gross revenue inched up by 1.9% yoy on the back of higher rental rates and recoveries. However, as a result of higher increase in property operating expenses (+7.5% yoy), net property income was only up by a paltry 0.3% yoy.
We are positive on the management’s ability to retain 97% of tenancy leases due in 2014 and we believe this was a result of built-to-suit strategy being adopted by QCT. As such, we opine that a huge chunk of 26% of total NLA due for expiry in 2015 will face no major issue for renewal this year.
We are also pleasantly positive as we gathered that QCT’s weighted average lease expiry (WALE) stood at around 5.7 years, well above 3.53 years of WALE for M-REITs under our coverage.
In the light of sluggish outlook for office segment in Klang Valley, QCT managed to maintain occupancy rates at 91% throughout 2014; compared to average occupancy for office market in Klang Valley of 83%.
We believe that Platinum Sentral is on track for completion in 1Q2015, upon which will bring the total asset value to RM1.58bn from RM837.70m currently.
We are of the view that in the event of interest rate hike, QCT will be able to shield itself from high finance cost better than its peers, as 100% of its borrowings is on fixed rate since 4Q2011.
Risks
Management continuity following the entry of MRCB.
Slow rental reversion rate.
Failure on execution of Platinum Sentral acquisition plan.
Forecasts
Unchanged.
Rating
BUY , TP: RM1.34
Positives
(1) higher possibility of asset injections fromMRCB and EPF, following the injection of Platinum Sentral, resulting in MRCB taking control of QCM and major unitholder of QCT; (2) Resilient earnings growth with undemanding valuations – 8.0% DY (FY15E).
Negatives
(1) Small asset base; (2) illiquid; (3) lack of retailassets.
Valuation
Maintain BUY with a higher TP of RM1.34 (previously RM1.30) as we roll forward our valuation to FY15.
Targeted yield remains unchanged at 7.5 % based on historical average yield spread of QCT and 7-year MGS.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....