In an announcement to Bursa Malaysia, Pharmaniaga stated that its subsidiary Pharmaniaga Logistics Sdn Bhd had entered into a Supply Agreement with Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM) to undertake the services of purchasing, storing, supplying and delivering to UKM drugs and nondrugs approved by UKM (Approved Products).
The contract will commence from the date of the supply agreement 10th March 2015 and will end on 30th November 2019.
Recall that Pharmaniaga also entered into a similar supply agreement with Universiti Sains Malaysia on 13th February 2015.
Similar to the supply agreement with USM, total value of the agreement will depend on actual volume, agreed unit price of Approved Products and scope of services rendered from time-to-time during the agreement period.
As stated in our previous report dated 16th February 2015, we reiterate that the supply agreement will spur more potential business opportunities with other university hospitals in Malaysia.
We believe this should provide Pharmaniaga with more room to supply its products and services to other university hospitals of UKM, thus, creating a long term partnership with the university.
Overall, we are positive on this new development to supply pharmaceutical products to university hospitals. This should widen its market reach and provide additional boost to the company’s earnings base.
Catalysts
Gaining market share in non-concession and private sectors, synergistic benefits from acquisition, favorable FOREX, continuous effective operational strategy.
Risks
Political / regulatory / competitive / FOREX risks, failure / delay in drug delivery under CA, compliance to production standards / contamination and drug patent disputes.
Forecasts
Maintained.
Rating
BUY , TP: RM6.21
Positives
Synergy from acquisition, quarterly dividend,secured business outlook thanks to CA.
Negatives
FOREX, high level of stock and gearing.
Valuation
Reiterate BUY with higher fair value of RM6.21 (+3.5% from RM6.00 previously) based on higher FY16 P/E multiple of 15x, 15% discount (from 10% previously) to US peers (see Figure #1) as we see improving prospects for the company, especially after recent developments.
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