Journey to Wealth

Will REITs Continue To Rally ???

kiasutrader
Publish date: Fri, 11 Jan 2013, 10:17 AM

REIT as a whole did well in 2012 amid the external and domestic uncertainties. The sector had outperformed the FBM KLCI.

The undercurrent of caution has persisted coming into early 2013. Although outlook for the global economy has brightened, uncertainties stemming from the much delayed GE are now (Jan 2013) the overriding concern, at least the near term.

Until we pass this milestone, investors may well continue to take a defensive approach. This in turn would bode well for REITs. However we may not see a repeat performance in terms of gains in 2013 - given the sharp yield compression in 2012.

The three largest retail REITs - Sunway REIT, Pavilion REIT and CMMT - chalked up returns in excess of 30% including yield from income distributions.

AS a result, these trusts are now (11 Jan 2013) trading at relatively lofty 1.4 to 1.5 times their book values while average net yields have fallen to 4.1% to 4.6%. There is thus, little room for further compression - with yield spread against risk free investments such as one year fixed deposits having narrowed to just about 1.35%.

Fresh acquisition may still drive investor interest but as they are, gains may be limited to rental income growth estimated to be single digit.

M-REITs ...
Average Yield = 6.427%
REIT
Period
DPU (sen)
Price (RM)
Yield
NAV (RM)
Assets Type
AmFirst
2H - Mar12
4.83
1.050
9.200%
1.4400
Office
UOA
1H - Jun12
5.53
1.380
8.014%
1.4303
Office
AmanahRaya
Q2 - Jun12
1.80
0.920
7.826%
1.0493
Retail
Tower
1H - Jun12
5.48
1.480
7.554%
1.6651
Office
Hektar
FY11 - Dec
10.50
1.480
7.095%
1.4900
Retail
Al-Hadharah
1H - Jun12
4.50
1.900
6.579%
1.7956
Diversified
Atrium
Q3 -Sep12
2.20
1.270
6.929%
1.1278
Industrial
Quill Capita
1H - Jun12
4.10
1.240
6.613%
1.2965
Office
Al-AQAR Healthcare
1H - Jun12
3.26
1.380
6.109%
1.1000
Plantation
Starhill
2H - Jun12
3.62
1.120
6.473%
1.1460
Diversified
Axis
Q2 -Sep12
4.30
3.130
5.495%
2.1154
Office
Sunway
Q1 - Sep12
2.03
1.560
5.205%
1.0968
Diversified
IGB REIT
FY12 - IPO
6.38
1.360
4.691%
0.9960
Malls
CMMT
1H - Jun12
4.20
1.820
4.615%
1.1481
Malls
Pavilion
FY12 - IPO
5.73
1.430
4.007%
0.9500
Malls
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