YTD 2Q FY17 total revenue decreased 2.1% vs YTD 2Q FY16; local sales decreased by 4.1% whilst overseas sales decreased by 0.3% over the same period. YTD 2Q FY17 operating margins came in at 16.9% vs 18.0% in YTD 2Q 2016. Export sales now account for about 46% of total sales down from about 50% earlier in the year. Local sales are weakening as consumers are tuming more cautious. YTD 2Q FY17 PBT decreased 6.7% vs YTD 2Q FY16 mainly due to lower demand for beverage products, higher foreign exchange loss and impairment on trade receivables.
Risks to our recommendation and target price include: i) rising trends in material costs, ii) an increase in the general level of interest rates, and iii) a sharp slowdown in the general level of economic activity in Malaysia or in the economies of the company's major 'own brand' export markets China/HK and the Middle East.
We maintain our HOLD recommendation on Cocoaland Holdings Bhd and reduce our fair value to MYR 2.98. It is possible that the share price will surprise on the upside; sales growth and capacity utilisation may accelerate more quickly than we expect. Cocoaland has very little debt on the balance sheet as well as plenty of cash. Cocoaland has a clean balance sheet and a good record of growing overseas sales. The top three overseas market regions are Eastern Asia, Southeast Asia and Middle East. However, consumer sentiment is visibly weaker in many coun-tries, including Malaysia.
Cocoaland Holdings Bhd is ranked approximately in the middle of the thirty listed companies in the Malaysian snack food industry. The company is one of the few home grown Malaysian consumer firms that have successfully penetrated regional markets. Cocoaland Holding's predecessor company, MFESB, was formed in 1980. This company and others were consolidated and converted to a public limited company in 2000 under the name Cocoaland Holdings Bhd, prior to listing in 2005.
Source: Wilson & York Securities Research - 28 Aug 2017
Chart | Stock Name | Last | Change | Volume |
---|