MIDF Sector Research

Daibochi - Second Half Could Be Stronger

sectoranalyst
Publish date: Wed, 16 May 2018, 09:39 AM

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS

  • Revising prices for higher raw material costs to cushion impact
  • Further expansion for Daibochi Packaging Myanmar
  • Malaysia unit targets more MNC orders
  • BUY with unchanged TP of RM2.59

Revising prices for higher raw material costs to cushion impact. Higher raw material prices had impacted Daibochi’s margins in 1QFY18 qoq. The company reviews some of its contracts with major MNC customers on a half yearly basis. As the review periods for the agreements vary, we expect margins to recover gradually as Daibochi adjust prices for its contracts. Hence, we anticipate for margins to improve more substantially in the second half.

Further expansion for Daibochi Packaging Myanmar. Daibochi Packaging (Myanmar) Co Ltd (DPM) is still at a high growth stage and is on track to contribute as much as RM100m to Daibochi’s topline by FY19. Recall that DPM recorded sales growth of 27%qoq to RM10.7m in 1QFY18 due to wider customer base and higher production. The momentum for this growth is expected to continue as DPM is undergoing expansion of its existing factory, which is expected to be completed by year end. Management has allocated RM8m for new machineries for DPM.

Malaysia unit targets more MNC orders. Meanwhile in Malaysia, Daibochi has started to export flexible packaging to an MNC in the ANZ region in April, which is expected to contribute positively to 2QFY18 earnings. On top of that, it is also exploring new contracts with existing and potential customers to further boost sales. The new flexographic printer it acquired is expected to be installed in May. The new machine could help reduce ink usage and wastage while cutting setup time between jobs that lead to higher efficiency and productivity.

BUY with unchanged TP of RM2.59. We maintain our BUY recommendation as we make no changes to our earnings estimates. Our valuation method, based on the dividend discount model with a terminal growth rate of 3.2%, is unchanged. We like Daibochi as a proxy to the consumer industry while more than 80% of its sales are contributed by reputable multinational companies.

Source: MIDF Research - 16 May 2018

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