Review

• Stripping off some one-off items of RM0.2mn, GADANG’s 1HFY24 registered lower core earnings of RM7.8mn (-6.9% YoY), which was disappointing as it accounted for only 36.6% of our full-year projection. The negative variance was mainly underpinned by: (i) slower-thanexpected work progress for certain projects, and (ii) higher operating expenses in the construction and utilities divisions.

• YoY, 1HFY24 topline increased 13.1% to RM291.9mn, thanks to higher sales recorded and improved work progress in the property division. However, its core PBT plunged by 7.7% YoY to RM12.7mn due to higher operating costs for its 9MW mini-hydro power plant and margin erosion in the construction division caused by higher raw material and labour costs.

• QoQ, the 2QFY24’s revenue jumped 25.5% to RM162.4mn, largely driven by: (i) higher construction work progress, (ii) improved property sales, and (iii) the commencement of commercial operation of the 9MW minihydro power plant. Despite this growth, the core PBT was halved down to RM4mn, compared to RM8.7mn in 1QFY24, due to escalating operating costs incurred in both construction and utilities divisions.

Impact

• Considering the weaker-than-expected results, we adjusted our revenue recognition and margin assumptions for certain ongoing projects. Consequently, our earnings forecasts for FY24-26F are revised downward by 20.7%/15.9%/12.0%, respectively, reflecting the challenging operating conditions.

Outlook

• As of end-Nov 2023, the group’s construction order book and unbilled property sales stood at RM1.1bn and RM280mn, respectively, providing a clear earnings prospect for the group over the next two years. Additionally, the property division anticipates a better sales contribution in the upcoming quarters, supported by compelling sales package incentives.

Valuation

• Following the earnings revision, we lower our TP to RM0.23 (from RM0.28) based on the SOP valuation. Maintain Sell call due to the stretched valuation.

Source: TA Research - 26 Jan 2024