THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

THE LOGIC OF BUYING INTO BULL RUN STOCKS TO PROFIT DUE TO CATALYST FACTORS IN THEIR TIME, Calvin Tan Research

calvintaneng
Publish date: Thu, 07 Oct 2021, 08:38 AM
calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Good morning Friends,

The Law of motion tells us for every action there is a reaction.

In year 2019 Petronas pumped in Rm30 Billions for OGSE Upstream

And Upstream O&G Maintenance stocks like Carimin, Penergy, Uzma & Dayang jumped as high as 500%

Calvin lived through the exciting Bull years of OGSE in 2019

Many missed then chasing stocks of lesser momentum (But don't chase OGSE stocks now as Petronas will reduce capex & also pivot some funds to green solar energy now)

 

In year 2020 Corona Virus Worldwide Triggered the Once in a Century Glove Superbull

Topglove, Harta, Kossan & Supermax powered up more than 1,000%

Calvin went through that supersonic run when we bought Supermax at Rm1.73 chun chun & rode it to the peak of Rm24.44 (Over 1,000% upside)

Again many missed because they were preoccupied with Stocks of lesser catalyst or no catalyst at all

(And don't chase glove at wrong time now as there is HUGE GLUT Plus the China Factor)

 

Will You Be Missing The Palm Oil Bull Run?

 

THE CATALYST FOR PALM OIL BULL RUN ARE MANY (For OGSE the Single Capex of Petronas Rm30 Billions Cash infusion & Glove Bull catalyst was the raging coronavirus)

1) USA & BRAZIL DROUGHT CAUSED SHORTFALL IN CORN & SOYBEAN - LEADING TO VERY HIGH PRICES (AND PALM OIL A PROXY TO SOYBEAN OIL ALSO RISE IN TANDEM)

2) FAILURE OF CANADA'S CANOLA CROP DUE TO DROUGHT

3) CHINA'S VORACIOUS DEMAND FOR ITS DEPLETED SWINE HERD DUE TO SWINE FEVER

4) INDIA'S CROP FAILURE DUE TO MONTH LONG FARMER PROTEST & CROP FAILURE BY MONSOON FLOODS

5) RISE OF BIOFUEL REFINERIES IN USA AS THEY PIVOT TO GREEN ENERGY

6) NO MORE CONVERSION OF FOREST LANDS TO PALM OIL IN MALAYSIA & MORATORIUM IN INDONESIA

7) WHILE LANDS FOR PALM OIL STOPPED POPULATION GROWTH OF 80 MILLION PER YEAR CONTINUES (1% GROWTH OUT OF 8 BILLIONS MEAN 80 MILLION BABIES ARE BORN EACH YEAR

8) BEING A CONSUMER FOOD 50% OF ALL SUPERMARKET ITEMS CONTAIN PALM OIL

SO THERE IS ONLY ONE REASON FOR OGSE BULL RUN: ALSO ONE REASON FOR GLOVE BULL RUN

THERE ARE MANIFOLD REASONS WHY PALM OIL IS NOW GOING UP INTO A BULL RUN TIME AS CPO PRICES CROSSED RM5,000 A TON

ACTUALLY NO NEED RM5,000 : RM3,000 A TON ALREADY SUFFICIENT

RM5,000?

THAT IS AN EXTRA ORDINARY SUPER BONUS

Will you miss the Bull Run?

After missing OGSE Bull for 2019?

And missing Glove Bull last year?

Better stop & THINK

 

Best regards

Calvin Tan Research

 

Please buy/sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your remisier/fund manager

 

NOTE:

For CYCLICALS - RIGHT TIMING IS OF OUTMOST IMPORTANCE

Sell too early is bad

Buy too late also bad

You Should Buy A Cyclical At The Beginning of Upturn

Then Sit Still & Ride Through It

Buy during pessimism & Sell into Peak Euphoria

As of now only 20% to 30% of the Market is bullish on Palm Oil

So we can still safely buy 

When 90% of the people are bullish on palm oil?

Then we must Refrain from buying & go contrarian & sell to Euphoria!

To do this needs lots of discipline & against the feelings & opinions of the masses - the masses of 80% who eventually lose in the market

 

 

 

 

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 7 of 7 comments

Thomas Chan Yeu Wai

not sure why KYY is silent on palm oil. I recalled in the past, cant recall exactly when but i think it was 2 years ago, he was bullish on Jaya Tiasa or WTK and palm oil in general.

2021-10-07 11:02

stockraider

Just buy lah!

Farmland very safe mah!

2021-10-07 11:11

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2021-10-07 21:52

calvintaneng

Identifying a bull run stock a person's mind must be free from being beclouded by prejudice

Many did not believe in the Ogse bull run of year 2019 never realising that Petronas Rm30 Billions Cash Infusion into Ogse upstream maintenance companies could trigger bull run of strong earnings

By the time they found the truth it is already too late to chase.

2021-10-08 03:07

calvintaneng

Again there were those who failed at TIMING

Last year when Topglove suddenly surged up to cross Rm8.00 there were those who SOLD too early and failed to see Topglove cross Rm25.00 later

But alot more timed it very wrongly buying Gloves just before the last leg of the downcycle

So they either made the mistake of letting go too early and again made the silly mistake of buying at the tail end of the Sliding Bull

Wrong on both counts because they failed to know Timing is of Utmost importance in a Cyclical

2021-10-08 03:13

calvintaneng

Very happy morning

Yesterday in USA soyoil closed over Usd61 again

That means Fcpo prices will now find a new base at Rm5,000 a ton

And from new found level Fcpo will continue to move up into UNCHARTED TERRITORY

WILL THIS PALM OIL BULL RUN BE AS EXCITING AS LAST YEAR'S GLOVE SUPER BULL?

IT REMAINS TO BE SEEN BUT PROBABILITY IS GOOD

2021-10-08 07:44

stockraider

Go for it loh!

High cpo price loh!

Farmland very cheap now mah!

Plantation a protection against inflation mah!

2021-10-08 13:32

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