THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

IF MKHOP IPO IS WORTH 62 SEN WITH P/E 20.3: THEN TSH RESOURCES WITH P/E 16.56 SHOULD BE RERATED FROM RM1.14 TO FAIR PRICE OF RM1.40, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 24 Apr 2024, 06:23 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,799
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends of i3 Forum


People are going GaGa over MKHOP as it is an IPO!

Now TSH RESOURCES has better fundamental than MKHOP but P/E only 16.56

So there is a Discount in TSH RESOURCES (No need to chase MKHOP 8.43 Times Over!)


Let's SEE TSH last 4 qtrs results TO KNOW


SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

31 Dec 2023

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

31 Dec 2023
31 Dec 2022
31 Dec 2023
31 Dec 2022
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
260,928
281,585
1,066,516
1,305,999
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
58,402
66,542
197,639
557,297
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
31,907
50,685
125,667
524,993
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
25,426
44,168
94,961
456,407
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
1.84
3.20
6.88
33.07
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
2.50
2.50
2.50
10.50
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.4831
1.3772


1.84 sen profit



SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30 Sep 2023

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2022
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2022
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
298,720
262,652
805,588
1,024,414
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
57,506
294,439
139,234
490,755
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
39,244
296,443
93,758
474,308
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
29,542
258,428
69,533
412,239
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
2.14
18.72
5.04
29.87
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.4841
1.3772

2.14 sen profit



SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30 Jun 2023

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

30 Jun 2023
30 Jun 2022
30 Jun 2023
30 Jun 2022
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
256,570
424,413
506,868
761,762
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
27,503
80,467
81,728
196,315
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
16,580
71,165
54,513
177,864
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
10,562
57,335
39,990
153,810
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
0.77
4.15
2.90
11.14
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.5129
1.3772

0.77 sen profit



SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

31 Mar 2023

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

31 Mar 2023
31 Mar 2022
31 Mar 2023
31 Mar 2022
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
250,298
337,349
250,298
337,349
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
54,225
115,849
54,225
115,849
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
37,933
106,700
37,933
106,700
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
29,428
96,476
29,428
96,476
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
2.13
6.99
2.13
6.99
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.4449
1.3772


2.13 sen profit


TOTAL 4 QTR PROFITS


1.84

2.14

0.77

2.13


Total: 6.88 Sen


TSH RESOURCES 

Current price Rm1.14


To get P/E


Divides price by earnings


So Rm1.14 divides by 6.88


= 16.56 P/E


If we benchmark TSH performance at MKHOP's 20.3 P/E


Then it will be


20.3 divides by 16.56

Multiply by Rm1.14 (current price)

= Rm1.397

Nearest decimal

= Rm1.40

So TSH Resources Fair Value should be Rm1.40


So TSH is a mispriced, misplaced & overlooked bargain


See


Quoted from

THE RELENTLESS PURSUIT OF VALUE


THE RELENTLESS PURSUIT OF VALUE.

In Year 1949 Warren Buffet bought “THE INTELLIGENT INVESTOR” By Benjamin Graham. He called it the best investment he made in life. It was this relentless pursuit of Value Investment that made his Berkshire Hathaway so successful and those who invested in his shares became millionaires.

I Think There Are 8 Things About Value:-

1) Value Is  Mispriced By The Market.

Benjamin Graham seeks for Shares With High NTA. NTA stands for High Net Tangible Asset as a Margin of Safety. Usually these Securities are In Some Form of Trouble with negative connotation. Or they are dull and uninteresting – so rejected by the Market.

I remember Mr. Liew of Helang Camar Used Car telling me how he searched for mispriced Auction of Repossessed Cars. He found a Proton Saga 1.5 labeled as 1.3 when it was displayed for Auction. How did he detected the difference? In the Displayed Notice The Proton was stated with 1.3c.c. engine. But when he checked with the RoadTax Disc he clearly saw that it has a 1.5c.c engine. And there is a price difference of RM3,000 between a 1.3 & a 1.5 liter Proton in those days. So he bid a higher price for a 1.3 Proton but got a Value Buy.

2) Value Is Misplaced.

One of my favourite past time is to look for good durians when they are in seasons. There are many classifications for Durians like D24, D12, D10, Hoong Har, Mai Sang Wong or just ordinary kampung ones.

Sometimes during collection and sorting and distribution one or two higher grade durians are misplaced into the lower end kampung pile. With training you can pick out these Value  buys because they have been misplaced.

3) Value Is Overlooked.

In Year 1977 to 1980 Early Mitsubishi Sigma 1.6 was manufactured. For 4 years they did some cosmetic upgrades. But in Year 1980 End to 1983 Mitsubishi came out with a Completely New Model called Mitsubishi Galant 1.6GLS. One Day I went to submit a tender for a 1980 Mitsubishi Car advertised by a Finance Company. The Officer In Charge told me to view the Mitsubishi Sigma Car and submit a tender.

To my glad delight it was actually a MITSUBISHI GALANT 1.6GLS. So I submited a quotation. And as I was the sole tenderer I got it! You see, the Bank Officer did not bother to go to the Store Yard to check out the Model – Old or New. So Value is Overlooked.


THE RELENTLESS PURSUIT OF VALUE - TA ENTERPRIZE NOW TOP VALUE BUY (Calvin Tan Research) | I3investor



NOW IF ON 30 APRIL 2024 DURING MKHOP's Official Listing If people "Goreng" Up MKHOP

You better buy some precious TSH RESOURCES better!


Best & Warmest Regards


Calvin Tan


Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/ Fund Manager

​​

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 4 of 4 comments

kianhinong

MKHOP is very overpriced! At an IPO price of 62 sen and PER of 20.3X, it is commanding a value higher than giants like KLK and IOI! It defies logic!

It may find its true value after the initial euphoria. If based on a PER of 16X (like TSH), it should be worth 49 sen.

The answer will be known at 9.00 am on 30 April.

1 week ago

calvintaneng

Hahaha!

Actually PALM OIL STOCKS WERE PRICED AT 25 P/E IN YEARS 2005 TO 2012

SO MKHOP P/E 20.3 STILL OK IN VIEW OF HISTORIC P/E

MOST TECH SHARES GOT P/E 40 TO 60 ARE REALLY EXPENSIVE

BETTER AVOID TECH & BUY PALM OIL BETTER!

1 week ago

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