SmartyAlek

SmartyAlek | Joined since 2016-10-07

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Stock

2017-12-31 11:58 | Report Abuse

sapu the 4% premium CH first thing tues morning. How can HY still be RM16 in June 2018

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2017-12-31 08:03 | Report Abuse

Hard sell or high sell? haha

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2017-12-31 07:54 | Report Abuse

it is oil play in 2018. if China fund doesn’t come there are a lot of other oil funds around the globe looking for cheap and quality stock like hengyuan. Hengyuan should quickly shoot up to pe10. The 1 day correction was necessary to fulfil and satisfy the technical analysts

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2017-12-31 07:27 | Report Abuse

You guys still don’t understand how this chart works. Tp RM 25 by CNY.

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2017-12-31 00:09 | Report Abuse

HY true value will unlock very fast. Q4 is much much better than Q3.

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2017-12-31 00:07 | Report Abuse

Tuesday try to make it limit up.

News & Blogs

2017-12-30 11:31 | Report Abuse

It is true that someone was collecting yesterday.

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2017-12-30 00:14 | Report Abuse

In case you lost confidence due to the sudden attack by certain parties who try to gain from this deliberated thrown down of shares, reread tthis again so you know what you are buying. Hengyuan Refining sets new high amid improving oil price outlook. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201712/26/WS5a42017da31008cf16da38b4.html

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2017-12-29 23:48 | Report Abuse

One sudden sharp fall you think is shark ? You still don’t know who have gotten your tickets

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2017-12-29 18:04 | Report Abuse

this is interesting . let's see on tuesday. i believe this correction will push it to new high before CNY.

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2017-12-29 17:24 | Report Abuse

those holding over the weekends will be rewarded

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2017-12-29 16:21 | Report Abuse

the bankers release some overbought news and throw down. now they collect all your warrants

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2017-12-29 16:02 | Report Abuse

Remember is PE10 we are aiming for.

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2017-12-29 15:54 | Report Abuse

one TA analyst scare everyone

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2017-12-29 15:44 | Report Abuse

TA is playing something there. Mr Koon get your armies ready

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2017-12-29 15:21 | Report Abuse

investment banks working hand in hand to collect

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2017-12-29 14:13 | Report Abuse

In fact, HY might quickly shoot up to Rm 30 and slowly up or down depending on next Qr annoucement.

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2017-12-29 14:10 | Report Abuse

technical analysis cannot beat fundamental. HY true value is unlocking. TP 30 by march.

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2017-12-29 14:06 | Report Abuse

i say tp rm30 by march 2018. its values unlock faster than expected as more funds managers learn about this counter due to news coverage in china.

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2017-12-29 13:41 | Report Abuse

i tell you this hy is worth at least rm30 at current earning. if you dont buy foreign funds will

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2017-12-29 13:27 | Report Abuse

like kyy shared, if nx qr shows improvement we add more. if qr drop we sell a bit.

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2017-12-29 13:13 | Report Abuse

3iii maybe you can try reprojecting the cf with 30% growth for the next 5 years then 10% for remaining years. and use discount rate of 6%. what is the intrinsic value ? i dont believe in this kind of dcf projection but since u believe it would be interesting to know

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2017-12-29 13:04 | Report Abuse

how do you derive the discount rate of 14%? why not 6%?

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2017-12-29 13:03 | Report Abuse

why do you think the cf will only grow at 5% for the next 10 yrs?

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2017-12-29 13:01 | Report Abuse

note the word assumptions. your cashflow projections assumes a lot of things. i would rather look at the eps of the last few quarters to see if it is improving and the possiblity of this improving further. moreover the crack spread is improving. There are many oil funds around the world looking for undervalued companies like hy. as a fund manager will you invest in a pe 30 oil refinery or a pe<10?

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2017-12-29 12:54 | Report Abuse

3iii there are many methods to value a company. you can spend the whole day coming out with complicated models, making all sort of assumptions in discounting your cashflows or whatever. in the end you will realize that simple ratios like pe growth, p/naps are most useful. complicated models are always flawed.

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2017-12-29 12:47 | Report Abuse

pe 10 is being conservative. moreover next qr is expected to give 180eps. now is time to buy. when it hits 40 then you can reconsider your options. fund managers without hy in the portfolio should be fired with immediate effects

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2017-12-29 12:36 | Report Abuse

Where in the world you can find refinery under pe10. Even in India you see pe7.

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2017-12-29 12:27 | Report Abuse

this is a situation to average up. get ready for PE10

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2017-12-29 01:57 | Report Abuse

Sapu all the warrants tomorrow. Especially 6 months ci and ch. ci has lowest 3% premiums followed by ch 5%. 3mths cd is a good choice also with 0 % premium. In one day mother HY can up 8% but these sons are only trading at 0-5% premiums. We should be aiming at 20% premiums at least. Short term (Cny) hengyuan tp revised to rm25. I believe next qr must be extremely good (180eps) judging by the high crack spread in nov and dec.

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2017-12-28 22:24 | Report Abuse

fund managers who think that HY is expensive and not buying should be fired with immediate effects.

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2017-12-28 22:21 | Report Abuse

PE 10 will be achieved by June 2018. next qr eps will definitely be higher than 120. what is the tp then? hahaha

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2017-12-28 18:15 | Report Abuse

Thank you Mr Koon for sharing what company is considered undervalued

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2017-12-28 17:58 | Report Abuse

selling BAT & nestle, all in HY.

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2017-12-28 12:59 | Report Abuse

if next qr is good then keep topping up. see you rm30

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2017-12-28 12:57 | Report Abuse

keep buying till next qr

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2017-12-28 12:57 | Report Abuse

kyy said only sell when qr profits drop. else keep buying

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2017-12-21 09:30 | Report Abuse

CH is still value buy. expiring 6months later and still low premium. Next QR EPS should be 170.

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2017-12-21 09:28 | Report Abuse

I think today 14.88 is good enough. tomorrow 15.88

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2017-12-21 09:12 | Report Abuse

what is the magic closing number today?

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2017-12-20 17:01 | Report Abuse

what is the magic number on Friday?

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