If the momentum continues..............

Oct 29, 2014 10:41 AM | Report Abuse

Use SUMATEC to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of SUMATEC to be traded at 0.42 in 30 days.

Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of SUMATEC to move over 0.42 or more in 30 days from now is about 7.28%. Probability of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price to stay between its current price of 0.35 and 0.42 at the end of the 30-day period is about 54.31%
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, SUMATEC has beta of 0.9915 . This suggests SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, SUMATEC is expected to follow.

Looiks...no worries.....I can see from here....the route .....but cannot reveal everything maaaaa......ha...ha..ha...

See how lah......

Use SUMATEC to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of SUMATEC to be traded at 0.42 in 30 days.

Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of SUMATEC to move over 0.42 or more in 30 days from now is about 7.28%. Probability of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price to stay between its current price of 0.35 and 0.42 at the end of the 30-day period is about 54.31%
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, SUMATEC has beta of 0.9915 . This suggests SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, SUMATEC is expected to follow.

steveooikp .....that is why I said keep NG for medium term to long term......now is the best time to accumulate.....I am not sure if we can get at this level in the future.......

noted bro strategist.......thks...

ressistance level 0.1133...Support 0.1046.........Let's see what happen after it breaks 0.12.....

the way I look at it no investors give a damn about the court case drama.....Fundamentals speak....

YkJohn11 .......can deliver tongat ali to HS office?.....need morning caffin....

resistance at 0.3611........see how lah......can break or not ....

No problem...bros 3abdul/komnas...my pleasure....stay positive....I am keeping NG as my long term portfolio......SURE MONEY......0.20 is peanuts...aim higher......

nomanland....I think it will be very interesting to see it breaks 0.45..

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Posted by nomanland > Oct 28, 2014 10:20 PM | Report Abuse

@Sang-Jero, @Ozzie75, need your opinion

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/nomanland/62723.jsp

bro strategisst...good morning....just to get your opinion......is it a wise move for investors that acquire Sumatec share below 0.34 to excercise the RI price at 0.40 or just Hold for long term.......Most old timers here are holding below 0.30.....The only thing that the investors that bought below 0.34 is missing is the free warrant........Apa pendapat bro?

musashi6.....FYI....Please reconcile with other charts.....Do your own analysis as well....cheers

Bollinger Bands are intervals drawn on SUMATEC price chart at standard deviation levels above and below the corresponding moving average. This produces an effect of having the bands widen during periods of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD higher volatility and contract during less volatile periods. Bollinger Bands indicate the relative supply and demand for SUMATEC. If SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price moves close to the top of the interval then it indicates that there is strong demand for the asset, alternatively if SUMATEC hugs the bottom of the trading range then it indicates that there is oversupply of the asset. The current lower band of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD 30 days horizon is 0.24. The upper band for the period is currently at 0.43. Given the current price of 0.34, the overall demand for shares of SUMATEC is increasing.

who?

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march He is now protecting his most bet... yeah in glotec... his TP is 1.40 ... haha trapped forever
28/10/2014 17:55

Thanks March.....Good Luck to you too......

Purely Technically speaking.....

Bollinger Bands .......The current lower band of NEXGRAM HOLDINGS BERHAD 30 days horizon is 0.07. The upper band for the period is currently at 0.13. Given the current price of 0.11, the overall demand for shares of NEXGRAM is increasing......UP Trend.....No worries...

Use NEXGRAM to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences upward sentiment.. ..

Technically speaking.......

Bollinger Bands ........ The current lower band of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD 30 days horizon is 0.24. The upper band for the period is currently at 0.43. Given the current price of 0.34, the overall demand for shares of SUMATEC is increasing.

Uptrend........Good Luck to all Sumatec investors......

What news?

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StarBorn91 Holly big! Later 2.30 shoot 12.5 or 13 when news out. Watch!!!
28/10/2014 14:01

Ogre....Thank you so much for the info......It really helps...I strongly suggest all investors to read line by line...comprehend...and make your own analysis.....

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Posted by ogre > Oct 28, 2014 03:52 AM | Report Abuse

@SANG-JERO; @ozzie75
You may refer to the link below; though it is an old document, it gives the idea of typical cash flow breakdown wrt all the taxes applicable and price per barrel.
Pls refer to page 443 @ 28/141; Figure 1-13

http://www.insage.com.my/ir/cmn/downloading.aspx?sFileName=13165000006618&sReportType=CIR

noted..thks.....I believe they did a prudent forecast which is achievable .....

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Posted by ozzie75 > Oct 27, 2014 10:19 PM | Report Abuse

SJ: It is possible that the projection would/could have considered foreseeable and possible downsides in their line of business, though we have no information on the assumptions of the 69m profit forecast.

Weakening oil prices could also translate into reduction in operating costs and potentially lower cost of production/barrel.

Purely Technically speaking......

Bollinger Bands are intervals drawn on NEXGRAM price chart at standard deviation levels above and below the corresponding moving average. This produces an effect of having the bands widen during periods of NEXGRAM HOLDINGS BERHAD higher volatility and contract during less volatile periods. Bollinger Bands indicate the relative supply and demand for NEXGRAM. If NEXGRAM HOLDINGS BERHAD price moves close to the top of the interval then it indicates that there is strong demand for the asset, alternatively if NEXGRAM hugs the bottom of the trading range then it indicates that there is oversupply of the asset. The current lower band of NEXGRAM HOLDINGS BERHAD 30 days horizon is 0.07. The upper band for the period is currently at 0.13. Given the current price of 0.105, the overall demand for shares of NEXGRAM is increasing.

Potential to move up...patient....keep in the freezer.....

Ozzie...

For the financial year ending December 31 2014, Sumatec is projecting RM69 million in profits.

Am I correct to say that Sumatec forecast their revenue/profit using stretch target (worse scenario) of USD 50/barrel......Very prudent....

If this is the case.....No worries if oil price fall to USD 60-USD 70/barrel...

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ozzie75 @savana: just to add one point on the production cost/barrel. I believe that Chris Dalton did mention USD 50/ barrel, as opposed to what I infer from the above as USD 70/barrel. But, being prudent is good. Cheers.
27/10/2014 21:41

Bollinger Bands.... The current lower band of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD 30 days horizon is 0.23. The upper band for the period is currently at 0.43. Given the current price of 0.355, the overall demand for shares of SUMATEC is increasing.

Bro strategisst .....I think this will be a long rally......technically speaking....ha..ha..ha..

Based on normal probability distribution.......Probability of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price to stay between its current price of 0.355 and 0.4375 at the end of the 30-day period is about 61.49%
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1999 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average.

High Risk High Return......

Depends on your risk appetite.......Good Luck....

travolta and ozzie.......No problem bros.....Good luck to all.....

As market goes up, Sumatec is expected to significantly outperform it. Given the current price of 0.335, the overall demand for shares of SUMATEC is increasing...High Risk...Very High Return...

Depends on your Risk Appetite.....

Support at 0.33.......

Road Block every where........BUY & SELL......

bro strategisst......Pagi nampak cerah.....Petang selalu hujan.....Malam sejuk-sejuk....ha..ha...ha

btw.....the RI price proposal remain at 0.40.....right?

let's see what happen at closing today......Good luck...

Bro strategisst...The RI price remain status quo at 0.40 ...right?....

Surprises Happens!!!!!!

Up trend for Sumatec.......but not sure of the speed.....fast or slow.....

I think it is under control..

Disclaimer: THIS IS NOT A BUY /SELL CALL;
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
THE ANALYSIS IS PURELY TECHNICAL.

Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of SUMATEC to stay above 0.3168 in 30 days from now is about 90.62%. Probability of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price to stay between 0.3168 and its current price of 0.33 at the end of the 30-day period is about 6.79%.

SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, SUMATEC is expected to follow.

Technically speaking.......

Bollinger Bands are intervals drawn on SUMATEC price chart at standard deviation levels above and below the corresponding moving average. This produces an effect of having the bands widen during periods of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD higher volatility and contract during less volatile periods. Bollinger Bands indicate the relative supply and demand for SUMATEC. If SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price moves close to the top of the interval then it indicates that there is strong demand for the asset, alternatively if SUMATEC hugs the bottom of the trading range then it indicates that there is oversupply of the asset. The current lower band of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD 30 days horizon is 0.23. The upper band for the period is currently at 0.42. Given the current price of 0.33, the overall demand for shares of SUMATEC is increasing.

bro strategisst.....minyak dah panas.......berasap-asap kat dapur.......ha...ha..ha...

SUMATEC returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As market goes up or down, SUMATEC is expected to follow

Agreed but I am not sure if Sumatec team has any defense strategy to defend itself from external factors...

As at now I am cautious with US Propaganda as well..( Yes & NO)

Yet to be seen.
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Posted by DickyMe > Oct 24, 2014 12:07 AM | Report Abuse

http://money.cnn.com/2014/10/23/investing/oil-price-go-to-70-jeffrey-gundlach-doubleline/
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He maybe right, just have contingency plan

nomanland.....on the other note, Dr.Nazri Khan use to say....anything below 0.40 is a BUY call for Sumatec...Please refer to my previous posting...cheers...

nomanland

An advise from bro strategist to travolta keong...yesterday...I agreed..

personally I never touch warrant unless I get it free..

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Oct 23, 2014 05:44 PM | Report Abuse

bro travolta, my opinion - better not to dwelve in warrant when RI is pending ... :)

The current lower band of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD 30 days horizon is 0.23. The upper band for the period is currently at 0.42. Given the current price of 0.34, the overall demand for shares of SUMATEC is increasing.

Good morning....Use SUMATEC to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences upward sentiment.. Check odds of SUMATEC to be traded at 0.425 in 30 days...

Disclaimer:

Trade at your own risk
Anything can happen in Stock Market.

Good Luck to all :-)
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Oct 23, 2014 12:43 PM | Report Abuse

Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of SUMATEC to move over 0.363 or more in 30 days from now is about 62.38%. Probability of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price to stay between its current price of 0.33 and 0.363 at the end of the 30-day period is about 9.16%
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, SUMATEC has beta of 0.341 . This suggests as returns on market go up, SUMATEC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD will be expected to be much smaller as well.

cheers..

Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk.....Anything can happen in stock market....

Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of NEXGRAM to move over 0.125 or more in 30 days from now is about 48.01%. Probability of NEXGRAM HOLDINGS BERHAD price to stay between its current price of 0.1 and 0.125 at the end of the 30-day period is about 51.27%
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, NEXGRAM HOLDINGS BERHAD has beta of -1.4508 . This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding NEXGRAM HOLDINGS BERHAD are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, NEXGRAM is expected to outperform its benchmark.

Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk....Anything can happen in stock market..

Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of SUMATEC to move over 0.363 or more in 30 days from now is about 62.38%. Probability of SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD price to stay between its current price of 0.33 and 0.363 at the end of the 30-day period is about 9.16%
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, SUMATEC has beta of 0.341 . This suggests as returns on market go up, SUMATEC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD will be expected to be much smaller as well.

cheers..

Disclaimer: Trade at your own risk.....Anything can happen in stock market....

ozzie75.....Noted..thks.....

ozzie75....Thanks....the numbers help....I think you know why I look for this numbers....cheers bro.....

thanks ozzie...btw...do you know the total number of shares inclusive of the RI?

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Posted by ozzie75 > Oct 23, 2014 11:24 AM | Report Abuse

SJ: NPV of some USD 683 mill was also indicated for the Buzachi Neft oilfields' future production, based on 10% discount rate.

-Both above and below values extracted from Page 7 of multiple proposal details announced on 28/08.

ozzie75 SJ: I think there was an indicative USD406 mill for the Buzachi Neft oilfields mentioned in the earlier multiple proposal details.

looiks ...by any chance...do you have the Nett book Value of the assets that Sumatec wanted to acquire via RI?.....I want to crunch some figures.....if you don't mind...thks...