shpok4574

shpok4574 | Joined since 2013-12-27

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Stock

2019-04-24 15:55 | Report Abuse

so many shorties

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2019-04-24 15:39 | Report Abuse

q sell 500 lot at 0.26 now

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2019-04-24 10:47 | Report Abuse

15mil shares, wont sell it anymore

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2019-04-23 14:54 | Report Abuse

knm same par with armada now. what a sad story

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2019-04-23 11:10 | Report Abuse

pearlwhite come again

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2019-04-23 10:23 | Report Abuse

lock in another 2 mil shares at 0.20.

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2019-04-23 07:25 | Report Abuse

waiting at 0.20

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2019-04-22 15:49 | Report Abuse

q buy again at 0.20

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2019-04-22 15:49 | Report Abuse

disposed 2 mil shares at 0.205

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2019-04-22 14:50 | Report Abuse

total holding now 15 mil shares

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2019-04-22 10:45 | Report Abuse

all in 5 mil shares today

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2019-04-22 09:53 | Report Abuse

bot 1 mil shares at 0.19

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2019-04-22 08:33 | Report Abuse

all in 0.19 today

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2019-04-18 17:39 | Report Abuse

how to stay tune now? goreng grp

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2019-04-12 14:03 | Report Abuse

investorking, wat happening to u

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2019-04-12 11:37 | Report Abuse

juz sold 1 mil shares at 0.21, now q buy again at 0.205

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2019-04-11 04:45 | Report Abuse

total holding is 12 mil shares now. 5 mil shares are traded for short term.
short term 5 mil shares will be diaposed between 0.24 and 0.30. the rest will be depended on the trend

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2019-04-10 21:43 | Report Abuse

i whack all in at 0.195, now q sell 2 million at 0.240 for 1 month period

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2019-04-09 20:32 | Report Abuse

The PR engine of the Main Shareholder were put into speedy action by "people with knowledge on the matter". Look at the words "Billionaire Ananda Krishnan is said to near US$500m loan deal". Such a catchy phrase!

With this latest FIASCO yet again, the below statement is now appended to now read (numbers relating to debt has gone up and revenues have gone down): -

Based on the financial review of Armada, it was determined that: -

PROOF – ARMADA REVENUES ARE NOT ENOUGH TO SETTLE DEBT
PROOF - 14 YEARS TO FULLY SETTLE DEBT IF REVENUE STABLE FOREVER BUT ITS FIRM IS ONLY UP TO 6.75 YEARS!
PROOF - NOT ENOUGH TO SETTLE INTEREST AND TAXES
PROOF – ARMADA CANNOT GET ANY MORE FINANCING

Armada’s ability to secure new contracts is likely to be 0%

PROOF - Armada has lost the momentum as a major player since 2014.
PROOF - Armada has been without a business development / sales team since 2014.
PROOF – Armada embroiled in various allegations from various countries including EU and INDONESIA.
PROOF – Armada’s strategic direction is uncertain due to controversies with its major shareholder.
PROOF – Armada’s behavior as a contractor has been one of litigation.
PROOF - You cannot bid for contracts if you do not have donor tankers.
PROOF – Armada’s recent FPSO is a lemon.

6.75 years to go or 27 Quarters to go. RM80 million net profit per Quarter optimistic assumption. That means RM2.1 billion in profits.

Rm20.5 billion confirmed sales for next 6.75 years. Actual operations profit from Rm20.5 billion is around Rm8.5 billion. Rm8.5 billion has to pay for everything under the Gross Profit line. And this doesn't include principle debt payments of Rm12.5 billion. Q results don't matter. And when oil industry recovers in 2030, Armada's assets are nearly 20 years old. End of life.

It is enough to pay off the RM13 billion debts (excluding interest)?

HOW TO MEET THE RM5.5 BILLION DEFICIT???

How much ADDITIONAL new revenue is needed for Armada?

=================================
Around RM13 billion in new sales / revenue.
=================================

That is not going to be achievable for Armada since it no longer has the reputation to get new contracts.

So it’s the crunch time now. What are the options available to the shareholders?

1. Take Armada private
2. Sell Armada
3. Dispose assets to continue to try to survive

1. Taking Armada private

Do you think that the main shareholders want to do so when Armada is an endless money pit with gutter reputation? Finance 101, get rid before you incur more losses.

2. Sell Armada

No one is buying Armada in this market until 2030. And the new shareholders have to deal with an incompetent management.

And new owners have to come up with an additional RM5 billion to pay off its debts.!!

3. Dispose assets to continue to survive

Assets are worth nothing as long as the market doesn’t recover until 2030. The asset are still being valued too high. Disposing assets wouldn’t be enough to settle Armada’s debts anyway.

With the review of the latest results, it was exceeding our expectations. Our view is now further reinforced that Armada will default. How much time left before Armada defaults? It would be next year when it defaults.

Despite the enthusiasm on the following: -

Speculated improvement in cash flows - Insufficient in 2020
Speculated settlement on Claire - Circa 25% of the asking compensation by Armada
Speculated award of new contracts - Nil probability
Speculated sale of assets - Highest bidder bidding at 10% of current NBVs

Armada would not be aggressively pursuing debt restructuring negotiations if the above were not in positive light. A highly anticipated default will still happen.

Given that the option to take private, to sell out and sell assets are not viable for Armada, what route will Armada take in such a event? PN17 and administrators will come in for sure.

We expect that Armada will be broken into many pieces. For the FPSOs, it would be taken over by their respective JV partners and other assets will be sold off to the highest bidder.

We expect institutional funds to lose all investments and creditors will not be paid 80% what is owed to them while debtors will be taken to court wherever possible.

As for the main shareholder, they have already clawed back their investments when they part disposed in 2011/12.

Looks like its "ride the train for as far as you can" before it breaks down.

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2019-04-09 14:38 | Report Abuse

calculating the bilis shares

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2019-04-08 22:34 | Report Abuse

all in now. the biggest gamble in my life

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2019-04-08 21:56 | Report Abuse

juz reload some at 0.195 today

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2019-04-08 21:26 | Report Abuse

too many bilis, how to go up?

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2019-04-06 06:12 | Report Abuse

i start q sell at 0.24 everyday next week

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2019-04-05 12:47 | Report Abuse

asking pearl white now

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2019-04-05 12:25 | Report Abuse

Based on the financial review of Armada, it was determined that: -

PROOF – ARMADA REVENUES ARE NOT ENOUGH TO SETTLE DEBT
PROOF - 14.25 YEARS TO FULLY SETTLE DEBT IF REVENUE STABLE FOREVER BUT ITS FIRM IS ONLY UP TO 6.5 YEARS!
PROOF - NOT ENOUGH TO SETTLE INTEREST AND TAXES
PROOF – ARMADA CANNOT GET ANY MORE FINANCING

Armada’s ability to secure new contracts is likely to be 0%

PROOF - Armada has lost the momentum as a major player since 2014.
PROOF - Armada has been without a business development / sales team since 2014.
PROOF – Armada embroiled in various allegations from various countries including EU and INDONESIA.
PROOF – Armada’s strategic direction is uncertain due to controversies with its major shareholder.
PROOF – Armada’s behavior as a contractor has been one of litigation.
PROOF - You cannot bid for contracts if you do not have donor tankers.
PROOF – Armada’s recent FPSO is a lemon.

6.5 years to go or 27 Quarters to go. RM80 million net profit per Quarter optimistic assumption. That means RM2.1 billion in profits.

Rm20.5 billion confirmed sales for next 6.5 years. Actual operations profit from Rm20.5 billion is around Rm8.5 billion. Rm8.5 billion has to pay for everything under the Gross Profit line. And this doesn't include principle debt payments of Rm12.5 billion. Q results don't matter. And when oil industry recovers in 2030, Armada's assets are nearly 20 years old. End of life.

It is enough to pay off the RM13 billion debts (excluding interest)?

HOW TO MEET THE RM5.5 BILLION DEFICIT???

How much ADDITIONAL new revenue is needed for Armada?

=================================
Around RM13 billion in new sales / revenue.
=================================

That is not going to be achievable for Armada since it no longer has the reputation to get new contracts.

So it’s the crunch time now. What are the options available to the shareholders?

1. Take Armada private
2. Sell Armada
3. Dispose assets to continue to try to survive

1. Taking Armada private

Do you think that the main shareholders want to do so when Armada is an endless money pit with gutter reputation? Finance 101, get rid before you incur more losses.

2. Sell Armada

No one is buying Armada in this market until 2030. And the new shareholders have to deal with an incompetent management.

And new owners have to come up with an additional RM5 billion to pay off its debts.!!

3. Dispose assets to continue to survive

Assets are worth nothing as long as the market doesn’t recover until 2030. The asset are still being valued too high. Disposing assets wouldn’t be enough to settle Armada’s debts anyway.

With the review of the latest results, it was exceeding our expectations. Our view is now further reinforced that Armada will default. How much time left before Armada defaults? It would be next year when it defaults.

Despite the enthusiasm on the following: -

Speculated improvement in cash flows - Insufficient in 2020
Speculated settlement on Claire - Circa 25% of the asking compensation by Armada
Speculated award of new contracts - Nil probability
Speculated sale of assets - Highest bidder bidding at 10% of current NBVs

Armada would not be aggressively pursuing debt restructuring negotiations if the above were not in positive light. A highly anticipated default will still happen.

Given that the option to take private, to sell out and sell assets are not viable for Armada, what route will Armada take in such a event? PN17 and administrators will come in for sure.

We expect that Armada will be broken into many pieces. For the FPSOs, it would be taken over by their respective JV partners and other assets will be sold off to the highest bidder.

We expect institutional funds to lose all investments and creditors will not be paid 80% what is owed to them while debtors will be taken to court wherever possible.

As for the main shareholder, they have already clawed back their investments when they part disposed in 2011/12.

Looks like its "ride the train for as far as you can" before it breaks down.

Even the conclusion of the so-called new-debt to settle debt doesn't change anything.

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2019-04-05 10:27 | Report Abuse

q sell at 0.205 today

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2019-04-04 20:39 | Report Abuse

short term share will make me gain this few months, shoot up shoot dowm is fine for me

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2019-04-04 19:53 | Report Abuse

enough buy now, 0.5 cent can make alot

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2019-04-04 19:18 | Report Abuse

still got cash in hand, come give me 0.19 tomorrow

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2019-04-04 19:10 | Report Abuse

some still stuck at high price

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2019-04-04 19:07 | Report Abuse

still havent cover back.my losses

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2019-04-04 19:07 | Report Abuse

operator made the price up down up down, indirectly from there i made almost 200k this few months

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2019-04-04 19:04 | Report Abuse

refinance my bungalow, 1 year ago

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2019-04-04 18:10 | Report Abuse

too many bilis eat 0.195.

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2019-04-04 14:47 | Report Abuse

armada finally kena goreng, up 0.19 become buyer

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2019-04-04 09:14 | Report Abuse

knm not far away from armada now. really sohai operator

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2019-04-04 08:47 | Report Abuse

too many bilis, operator reluctant to push up

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2019-04-04 08:41 | Report Abuse

i advise dont play margin or contra, those money better settle ur bank loan

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2019-04-04 08:36 | Report Abuse

q,buy at 0.19 today. really sohai operator

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2019-04-03 18:09 | Report Abuse

knm lousy oredy goreng umtil 15.cent. armada not far away

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2019-04-03 13:48 | Report Abuse

i will trade my loan shares around 0.21-0.25.

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2019-04-03 11:31 | Report Abuse

q sell 2 mil shares at 0.21

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2019-04-03 09:18 | Report Abuse

bot some at 0.19 yesterday

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2019-04-01 22:33 | Report Abuse

The PR engine of the Main Shareholder were put into speedy action by "people with knowledge on the matter". Look at the words "Billionaire Ananda Krishnan is said to near US$500m loan deal". Such a catchy phrase!

With this latest FIASCO yet again, the below statement is now appended to now read (numbers relating to debt has gone up and revenues have gone down): -

Based on the financial review of Armada, it was determined that: -

PROOF – ARMADA REVENUES ARE NOT ENOUGH TO SETTLE DEBT
PROOF - 14 YEARS TO FULLY SETTLE DEBT IF REVENUE STABLE FOREVER BUT ITS FIRM IS ONLY UP TO 6.75 YEARS!
PROOF - NOT ENOUGH TO SETTLE INTEREST AND TAXES
PROOF – ARMADA CANNOT GET ANY MORE FINANCING

Armada’s ability to secure new contracts is likely to be 0%

PROOF - Armada has lost the momentum as a major player since 2014.
PROOF - Armada has been without a business development / sales team since 2014.
PROOF – Armada embroiled in various allegations from various countries including EU and INDONESIA.
PROOF – Armada’s strategic direction is uncertain due to controversies with its major shareholder.
PROOF – Armada’s behavior as a contractor has been one of litigation.
PROOF - You cannot bid for contracts if you do not have donor tankers.
PROOF – Armada’s recent FPSO is a lemon.

6.75 years to go or 27 Quarters to go. RM80 million net profit per Quarter optimistic assumption. That means RM2.1 billion in profits.

Rm20.5 billion confirmed sales for next 6.75 years. Actual operations profit from Rm20.5 billion is around Rm8.5 billion. Rm8.5 billion has to pay for everything under the Gross Profit line. And this doesn't include principle debt payments of Rm12.5 billion. Q results don't matter. And when oil industry recovers in 2030, Armada's assets are nearly 20 years old. End of life.

It is enough to pay off the RM13 billion debts (excluding interest)?

HOW TO MEET THE RM5.5 BILLION DEFICIT???

How much ADDITIONAL new revenue is needed for Armada?

=================================
Around RM13 billion in new sales / revenue.
=================================

That is not going to be achievable for Armada since it no longer has the reputation to get new contracts.

So it’s the crunch time now. What are the options available to the shareholders?

1. Take Armada private
2. Sell Armada
3. Dispose assets to continue to try to survive

1. Taking Armada private

Do you think that the main shareholders want to do so when Armada is an endless money pit with gutter reputation? Finance 101, get rid before you incur more losses.

2. Sell Armada

No one is buying Armada in this market until 2030. And the new shareholders have to deal with an incompetent management.

And new owners have to come up with an additional RM5 billion to pay off its debts.!!

3. Dispose assets to continue to survive

Assets are worth nothing as long as the market doesn’t recover until 2030. The asset are still being valued too high. Disposing assets wouldn’t be enough to settle Armada’s debts anyway.

With the review of the latest results, it was exceeding our expectations. Our view is now further reinforced that Armada will default. How much time left before Armada defaults? It would be next year when it defaults.

Despite the enthusiasm on the following: -

Speculated improvement in cash flows - Insufficient in 2020
Speculated settlement on Claire - Circa 25% of the asking compensation by Armada
Speculated award of new contracts - Nil probability
Speculated sale of assets - Highest bidder bidding at 10% of current NBVs

Armada would not be aggressively pursuing debt restructuring negotiations if the above were not in positive light. A highly anticipated default will still happen.

Given that the option to take private, to sell out and sell assets are not viable for Armada, what route will Armada take in such a event? PN17 and administrators will come in for sure.

We expect that Armada will be broken into many pieces. For the FPSOs, it would be taken over by their respective JV partners and other assets will be sold off to the highest bidder.

We expect institutional funds to lose all investments and creditors will not be paid 80% what is owed to them while debtors will be taken to court wherever possible.

As for the main shareholder, they have already clawed back their investments when they part disposed in 2011/12.

Looks like its "ride the train for as far as you can" before it breaks down.

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2019-03-27 07:01 | Report Abuse

q sell at 0.20 today