NEW YORK (Oct 14): It’s hard to be sympathetic when bank bosses effectively complain that their businesses are too safe and sound, and that customers are too conservative. Yet for the big US lenders who reported third-quarter earnings on Friday, that’s the reality. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Citigroup have what might be thought of as first-world problems.

Banks, then, are not the likely source of the next financial crisis. But that just means the real systemic threats lurk out of sight. Britain’s recent pension-fund margin call mini-crisis read more was an example of risk that financial regulators didn’t see coming, because they weren’t looking in the right place. The quest for sturdy and thoroughly scrutinized banks has pushed hazardous behaviour into the shadows. That makes the lenders’ solid balance sheets feel like less of a victory.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/breakingviews-big-us-banks-shoulder-firstworld-problems

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/breakingviews-big-us-banks-shoulder-firstworld-problems

NEW YORK (Oct 14): It’s hard to be sympathetic when bank bosses effectively complain that their businesses are too safe and sound, and that customers are too conservative. Yet for the big US lenders who reported third-quarter earnings on Friday, that’s the reality. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Citigroup have what might be thought of as first-world problems.

Banks, then, are not the likely source of the next financial crisis. But that just means the real systemic threats lurk out of sight. Britain’s recent pension-fund margin call mini-crisis read more was an example of risk that financial regulators didn’t see coming, because they weren’t looking in the right place. The quest for sturdy and thoroughly scrutinized banks has pushed hazardous behaviour into the shadows. That makes the lenders’ solid balance sheets feel like less of a victory.

Some index linked started to slowly move liao....may be will be pushed higher nearer to polling day for some feel good...

....retail investor will probably monitor how the crowd turn out at ceramah .....yesterday there was one..where 200 chairs were occupied by 50 ppl :p

Haha.... :p

Copied and paste from Contract Statement.

Securities NameGENTING
Securities Code No3182
Quantity60,000
Price Per Unit4.911700
Gross Amount294,702.00
Brokerage Rate (%)Min
Brokerage Amount103.15
Contract Stamp200.00
Clearing Fee88.42
Buying-in/Foreign Charges0.00
Amount (Excl. ST)294,310.43

Contract Date 19/07/2021
Buy / Sell Sell

Ask any successful individual, they would attribute some level of their success to being at the right place at the right time and meeting the right people.

No doubt, all things in life requires a fair bit of luck. It is that bit of luck that separates the extraordinary from the ordinary.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/10/15/bottom-fishing-luck-or-guts

@sifuATK.....no la, just plain luck only....haha :p

Investing is to make money and not to syiok sendiri by just cheering the stock...
...sharing certain stocks which one thinks has potential is nothing wrong....as long as one is not spreading fake news trying to "talk down" certain stock.

I sold some of this at 4.91 on 19-7-21 and switched to Maybank at 8.02.

Now, Maybank (plus 3 dividends since then 28+30+28) is 9.31
This one plus dividend 18 is 4.50...

Which is more profitable?
Boring?
Haha.......

Wow...so naive this one woman man who knows only one stock.

During pandemic in 2020, when this stock was trading at about 3, so was CIMB.....now, CIMB is firmly above 5...at 5.30.....this one still struggling below 4.50....which is more boring?
....and dividend is also higher....haha.....go do some homework before commenting.

UOB Kay Hian says GE15 could present trading opportunities and thus advocates focusing on liquid and fundamentally sound companies with reasonably cheap valuations.

These include GLIC banks like RHB Bank Bhd, CIMB Group Holdings Bhd and Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank).

@choysun....blue chips that are trading at low PE, low PB, high dividend yield and profit is anticipate to benefit from current rising interest rate :)

Kenanga Research notes if the election process results in a majority government (with more than 50% of seats in Parliament), the market could rally but if the polling outcome results in a minority government, it would significantly hit market sentiment.

Not surprising, the advice to investors is to stick to the defensive or value stocks that look set to gain from the expansion of the economy.

UOB Kay Hian says GE15 could present trading opportunities and thus advocates focusing on liquid and fundamentally sound companies with reasonably cheap valuations.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/10/15/election-play-in-the-market

Kenanga Research notes if the election process results in a majority government (with more than 50% of seats in Parliament), the market could rally but if the polling outcome results in a minority government, it would significantly hit market sentiment.

Not surprising, the advice to investors is to stick to the defensive or value stocks that look set to gain from the expansion of the economy.

UOB Kay Hian says GE15 could present trading opportunities and thus advocates focusing on liquid and fundamentally sound companies with reasonably cheap valuations.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/10/15/election-play-in-the-market

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/10/15/election-play-in-the-market

Fund managing firm Tradeview Capital Sdn Bhd and Phillip Research Sdn Bhd both hold the view that should a majority government be formed by the winning coalition in GE15, investors could see a rally on the FBM KLCI.

“Whether a minority or majority government is formed, we could see market recovery as some form of stability in the political landscape would be achieved.

“That being said, if a minority government is formed, despite the likely market recovery, some policy implementation risks would still remain that may deter the return of foreign investors, capping market upside,” Wong says.

On the other hand, he adds, if GE15 is able to restore political stability, the market would likely see solid recovery, with inflows of foreign interest, given the attractive market valuation and relatively healthy economic growth.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/10/15/how-will-ge15-affect-the-economy

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/10/15/how-will-ge15-affect-the-economy

Fund managing firm Tradeview Capital Sdn Bhd and Phillip Research Sdn Bhd both hold the view that should a majority government be formed by the winning coalition in GE15, investors could see a rally on the FBM KLCI.

“Whether a minority or majority government is formed, we could see market recovery as some form of stability in the political landscape would be achieved.

“That being said, if a minority government is formed, despite the likely market recovery, some policy implementation risks would still remain that may deter the return of foreign investors, capping market upside,” Wong says.

On the other hand, he adds, if GE15 is able to restore political stability, the market would likely see solid recovery, with inflows of foreign interest, given the attractive market valuation and relatively healthy economic growth.

Fund managing firm Tradeview Capital Sdn Bhd and Phillip Research Sdn Bhd both hold the view that should a majority government be formed by the winning coalition in GE15, investors could see a rally on the FBM KLCI.

“Whether a minority or majority government is formed, we could see market recovery as some form of stability in the political landscape would be achieved.

“That being said, if a minority government is formed, despite the likely market recovery, some policy implementation risks would still remain that may deter the return of foreign investors, capping market upside,” Wong says.

On the other hand, he adds, if GE15 is able to restore political stability, the market would likely see solid recovery, with inflows of foreign interest, given the attractive market valuation and relatively healthy economic growth.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2022/10/15/how-will-ge15-affect-the-economy

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/uks-truss-fires-finance-minister-kwarteng

Given the looming global downturn and political uncertainty on the local front, economists believe the stability of a new administration will augur well for the stock market.

Minority Shareholder Watch Group (MSWG) chief executive officer Devanesan Evanson said the stock markets prefer certainty and predictability.

Devanesan said this is because the markets tend to discount this uncertainty through stock prices.

https://www.nst.com.my/business/2022/10/840417/investors-likely-wait-and-see

https://www.nst.com.my/business/2022/10/840417/investors-likely-wait-and-see

Given the looming global downturn and political uncertainty on the local front, economists believe the stability of a new administration will augur well for the stock market.

Minority Shareholder Watch Group (MSWG) chief executive officer Devanesan Evanson said the stock markets prefer certainty and predictability.

Devanesan said this is because the markets tend to discount this uncertainty through stock prices.

https://www.nst.com.my/business/2022/10/840417/investors-likely-wait-and-see

https://www.nst.com.my/business/2022/10/840417/investors-likely-wait-and-see

Financial is sharply higher.....Bank of America up 4%.....Citi up 5% :)

Very interesting trading at US tonight

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2022/10/09/pm-has-audience-with-king-talk-of-parliament-dissolution-heats-up

The one woman man :p

We reckon it is an opportunity to buy undervalued stocks in cyclical sectors like banks, construction, oil and gas, plantations, property and transportation, and defensive plays in consumer, media, telco and utilities. Blue chips, especially, are mostly cheap despite their solid fundamentals and should bounce back strongly once the political uncertainties disappear.

Trading at a consensus calendar year 2023 (CY23) price-to-earnings ratio (PER) multiple of 12.3 times, the FBMKLCI is attractive versus comparable peers at 14 times. A possible rerating post 15th general election (GE15) should bring it closer to our year-end target of 1,590 based on CY23 PER of 14.4 times.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/budget-2023-review-comprehensive-budget-resilient-future

KUALA LUMPUR (Oct 9): Hong Leong Investment Bank Bhd (HLIB) Research maintains its “overweight” stance on the banking sector due to the absence of a recurring prosperity tax and any form of loan moratorium in Budget 2023 as speculated by some factions of the investment fraternity.

“By virtue of this, Budget 2023 is a win for banks. Hence, we continue to view the banking sector positively and opine that the risk-reward profile is skewed to the upside,” it said in its Market Outlook report.

According to the research house, the combination of robust profit growth and undemanding valuations will be the impetus driving performance.

For large-sized banks, such as Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank), the target price (TP) is RM9.70 for its strong dividend yield.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/no-prosperity-tax-no-loan-moratorium-spell-win-banks-%E2%80%94-hlib-research

Additional few sen dividend will be very good....

https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/highlight/2022/10/07/exclusion-of-prosperity-tax-good-for-capital-market-says-bursa-chairman/

PETALING JAYA: The decision by the government to exclude the prosperity tax under Budget 2023 is a positive move for the capital market, Bursa Malaysia Securities Bhd chairman Wahid Omar said.

“Otherwise it will potentially shave off the FBM KLCI’s 2023 EPS (earnings per share) forecast by 5% to 6%,” he said.

He added that without the tax, the consensus among analysts was that the EPS would grow at a rate of 11.5% in 2023, compared with a contraction of 1.1% this year.

No new prosperity tax for 2023.....VERY GOOD !

@choysun.....may be can la :p

Yes sifu ATK.......cheers :)

I think DJ will close up 1000+ :p

Elsewhere in Southeast Asia, Singapore has a “large representation” of companies — such as banks — that benefit from rising yields, said Raychaudhuri, adding that the country and India, Indonesia and Malaysia are “pockets of safety.”

Timothy Moe, chief Asia-Pacific equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, said there are three positive drivers for Southeast Asian markets.

Those include their delayed recovery from Covid, the emergence of a digital or “new” economy, and rising interest rates.

“Asean markets typically have a very high exposure to banks, and banks were not the place to be the last 10 years,” he told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Tuesday. “But they are now, with the interest rate cycle turning, and so that’s been a very significant tailwind for the Asean markets.”

Source : CNBC 4-10-22

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/foreign-shareholding-cimb-rose-269-august-highest-pandemic-onset

KUALA LUMPUR (Oct 4): Foreign shareholding in CIMB Group Holdings Bhd rose to 26.9% in August 2022, the highest on record since the Covid-19 pandemic's onset in April 2020, according to the banking group's latest update.

Elsewhere in Southeast Asia, Singapore has a “large representation” of companies — such as banks — that benefit from rising yields, said Raychaudhuri, adding that the country and India, Indonesia and Malaysia are “pockets of safety.”

Timothy Moe, chief Asia-Pacific equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, said there are three positive drivers for Southeast Asian markets.

Those include their delayed recovery from Covid, the emergence of a digital or “new” economy, and rising interest rates.

“Asean markets typically have a very high exposure to banks, and banks were not the place to be the last 10 years,” he told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Tuesday. “But they are now, with the interest rate cycle turning, and so that’s been a very significant tailwind for the Asean markets.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/04/asia-pacific-markets-indonesia-is-the-best-performer.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/04/asia-pacific-markets-indonesia-is-the-best-performer.html


Elsewhere in Southeast Asia, Singapore has a “large representation” of companies — such as banks — that benefit from rising yields, said Raychaudhuri, adding that the country and India, Indonesia and Malaysia are “pockets of safety.”

Timothy Moe, chief Asia-Pacific equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, said there are three positive drivers for Southeast Asian markets.

Those include their delayed recovery from Covid, the emergence of a digital or “new” economy, and rising interest rates.

“Asean markets typically have a very high exposure to banks, and banks were not the place to be the last 10 years,” he told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Tuesday. “But they are now, with the interest rate cycle turning, and so that’s been a very significant tailwind for the Asean markets.”

Sure will.......treasury drop kaw kaw

What recession....DJ is now up 600+ :p

Don't miss the boat ya :p

Most Banks are green :)

Wow......"feel good" gaining momentum :)

Wow.....KLCI turns green.....why ah?
....bcos of impending GE ah?
....."feel good" warming up ah? :p

Banking - Good Numbers All Around


Loans and deposits growth gained traction to 6.8% and 7.5% YoY respectively. Also, leading indicators remained robust and asset quality held steady. As for NIM, we expect it to broaden from OPR hikes but the magnitude may be capped by the downward normalization of CASA mix. Nonetheless, banks are still net beneficiaries of interest rate upcycle. Overall, we continue to view positively the banking sector and also, opine the risk-reward profile is skewed to the upside; the cocktail of robust profit growth and undemanding valuations will be impetus to drive performance. Retain OVERWEIGHT; BUY calls include: Maybank, RHB, BIMB, Affin, Alliance.

Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 3 Oct 2022

https://klse.i3investor.com/web/pricetarget/research/64880

August 2022 system loans grew by 6.8% YoY (+0.7% MoM), beating our expectations. Hence, we raise our CY22 industry growth target to 6.0-6.5%. While better business loans were expected, the continued support from household loans was unanticipated in a rising rate environment.

Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the banking sector. We are further encouraged by the strong loans growth performance, emboldening sector prospects. We continue to anticipate two more 25 bps OPR hikes in the subsequent BNM MPC meetings which could lift banking margins while allaying competitive pricing pressures. This would translate favourably on CY23 earnings, notwithstanding the lapse of CY22’s prosperity tax in addition to higher possibilities of writebacks. For the 4QCY22 season, we feature the following as our top picks :- (i) CIMB (OP; TP: RM6.35) for defensive NOII reporting as trading performances are supported by its regional entities. It also commands on of the highest CASA books amongst the large cap banks. Notably, we have awarded CIMB with a 4-star ESG rating for its sustainable financing efforts; (ii) MAYBANK (OP; TP: RM11.05) which remains our dividend favourite (7-8% yield) and provide shelter for investors preferring more secured returns. As the market share leader in loans and deposits, MAYBANK would also be widely exposed to the benefits of economic reopening.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/01/the-fed-is-breaking-things-heres-what-has-wall-street-on-edge-as-risks-rise-around-the-world.html

Ironically, it is the reforms that came out of the last global crisis that have made markets more fragile. Trading across asset classes is thinner and easier to disrupt after U.S. regulators forced banks to pull back from proprietary trading activities, a dynamic that JPMorgan Chase
CEO Jamie Dimon has repeatedly warned about.

Regulators did that because banks took on excessive risk before the 2008 crisis, assuming that ultimately they’d be bailed out. While the reforms pushed risk out of banks, which are far safer today, it has made central banks take on much more of the burden of keeping markets afloat.

With the possible exception of troubled European firms like Credit Suisse
, investors and analysts said there is confidence that most banks will be able to withstand market turmoil ahead.