OTB

tbooi1168 | Joined since 2011-05-02

Investing Experience Advanced
Risk Profile Low

Attended numerous technical charting courses in town. Currently, still work as a Remisier (> 23 Years experience) in Malaysia. Competed in 2015 stock pick competition, made 129% gain in 12 months. I was the champion of 2015 stock pick competition in I3investor.com.

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Stock

2020-07-11 22:51 | Report Abuse

Posted by yfhew1 > Jul 11, 2020 10:24 PM | Report Abuse

With such profit,

Q4 2020 = 388 - 428m
Q1 2021 = 748 - 828m
Q2 2021 = 588 - 688m
Q3 2021 = 488 - 588m

Can easily hit RM30, which is what the track Top Glove going right now.
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So far in this forum, your prediction is the most accurate.
I really admire your special skill.
I hope you are right because I also invested heavily in Supermx.
Thank you.

Stock

2020-07-10 22:45 | Report Abuse

Posted by 20202023 > Jul 10, 2020 7:25 PM | Report Abuse

Q4 EPS RM0.68 or PAT RM927.5 mil

Assuming ASP for OEM flat from Q4 2020 until Q3 2021, at $100 per 1,000 pieces & EXCLUDING OBM Price, Total EPS = RM2.72

PE 15 - 40.80
PE 20 - 54.40
PE 25 - 68.00
PE 30 - 81.60
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I hope your calculation is very accurate.
All of us will win big and laughing all the way to the bank.
Good luck.
Thank you.

Stock

2020-07-10 22:42 | Report Abuse

Posted by yfhew1 > Jul 10, 2020 6:24 PM | Report Abuse

I predict RM12 this Friday. But its RM13.6. Pls don't laugh at me

Posted by yfhew1 > Jul 10, 2020 6:26 PM | Report Abuse

I predict and calculate 388 - 428 million Quarterly result. RM18. Previously.
Because I like 8. Please don't laugh at me.
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Ans :
So far in this forum, your prediction is the most accurate.
I really admire your special skill.
I hope you are right because I also invested heavily in Supermx.
Thank you.

Stock

2020-07-10 14:16 | Report Abuse

Posted by Yahoo128 > Jul 10, 2020 12:40 PM | Report Abuse

@OTB , may I check with you for PE Ratio one use the qtr eps or cumulative eps? Tks Sifu OTB
If I use 70 Sen eps per qtr then with PE Ratio of 20 the price Projected will be RM14. This value is very low considering the share price now. Many tks ya Sifu.
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You cannot use 1 quarter eps to calculate PER.
You should project 4 quarters eps to calculate PER.
One year consists of 4 quarters.
I hope I understand your question.
Thank you.

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2020-07-10 12:19 |

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2020-07-09 16:00 | Report Abuse

Posted by freetospeak > Jul 9, 2020 3:00 PM | Report Abuse

OTB sifu , one word better than thousand gold ah...lol...Lucky OTB sifu recommend to his follower. If not also will not fly so high in the beginning. Thanks to OTB sifu.
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Dear freetospeak,
You did a good job in this Supermx forum too.
Keep up your good work !!
Thank you.

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2020-07-09 14:14 |

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2020-07-09 13:53 |

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2020-07-07 23:04 |

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2020-07-06 18:26 | Report Abuse

Posted by freetospeak > Jul 6, 2020 4:49 PM | Report Abuse

if 300 m profit...tp 12.80 is too low...TG 340 mill TP is 30.00 .
Supermax 350 m TP at least 18.00.
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I hope you are right, 350 million.
Target price at 18.00 may not be a dream, hopefully it is a reality.
Thank you.

Stock

2020-07-04 22:28 | Report Abuse

No worry, it is just sharing of opinion.
Very important everyone makes a lot of money on Supermx and Topglov.
Thank you.

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2020-07-04 20:44 | Report Abuse

I have more Supermx shares than Topglov in the ratio of 2 to 1.
I also hope that the EPS of Supermx will be better than Topglov.
I know in reality, it is not possible.
I prefer Supermx more than Topglov.
Thank you.

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2020-07-04 20:42 |

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2020-07-04 19:08 |

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2020-07-04 18:57 |

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2020-07-03 13:49 |

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2020-07-03 13:42 | Report Abuse

Wait for Q4 2020 results.
PAT in this quarter result is very important to me, I will know what is the PAT for FY 2021.

Once Q4 2020 results is out and it is very good, all analysts will use this PAT to project the target price for FY 2021.

The target price will be very high because of high growth in EPS.
Thank you.

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2020-07-03 13:32 | Report Abuse

Posted by DJoker89 > Jul 3, 2020 1:23 PM | Report Abuse

Cup with handle or not is just an indicator to chartis.

What more important is the BULL is here, as soon as it rage....nobody can stop. LOL
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Ans :
Double top - there is a tendency to drop below the pivot line or support line again.

Cup And Handle Chart - Usually very difficult to drop below the pivot line or support line again (There is no 100% sure).
In Cup And Handle Chart, there are 3 attempts to cross this resistance line. There are 2 failed attempts, the third time is only successful means the upward momentum is very strong.

In summary, a Cup And Handle Chart is more bullish than double top.
Thank you.

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2020-07-03 13:07 |

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2020-07-03 12:56 |

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2020-07-03 12:11 | Report Abuse

Posted by DJoker89 > Jul 3, 2020 12:08 PM | Report Abuse

OTB sifu...
Can TG break 18.00 today?
so niear yet so far.......
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I also hope not to break 17.88.
I also want a Cup And Handle Chart formation for Topglov.
Thank you.

Stock

2020-07-03 12:03 | Report Abuse

If Mr Market allows me to choose or decide, I prefer the share price of Supermx does not cross 9.30.
It is fine to touch 9.30 and quickly retrace down to lower price.

I prefer a Cup And Handle Chart pattern to be formed.
"Sky is the limit" only apply to a Cup And Handle Chart pattern.
It is a more bullish chart pattern.

Thank you.

Stock

2020-07-02 17:35 | Report Abuse

I prefer the share price of Supermx not to cross the major resistance at 9.30.
It is better to touch 9.30 and stay below 9.30 so that a Cup And Handle Chart pattern is formed. The same chart pattern happened to Topglov today.
A Cup And Handle Chart pattern is more bullish than double top.

I hope to see a Cup And Handle Chart pattern.
"Sky is the limit" will apply to technical chart of Supermx later.
Thank you.

Stock

2020-07-02 17:11 | Report Abuse

Posted by CharlesT > Jul 2, 2020 5:06 PM | Report Abuse

15 cents behind Kossan....I dont want to see that again fm tmr onwards

ah thai if u wanna push pls push properly

dont be the lowest among top 4...no more in future...we are superman
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The share price of Supermx will be higher than Kossan.
It is just a matter of time only.
EPS growth will tell the true story.
Thank you.

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2020-07-02 17:00 |

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2020-06-30 22:45 | Report Abuse

Dear yfhew1,
Thank you for your big help.
Dinner on me.
Thank you.

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2020-06-30 22:38 |

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2020-06-30 22:23 | Report Abuse

Posted by Philip ( buy what you understand) > Jun 30, 2020 10:16 PM | Report Abuse

OTB, you really think Supermax can be a 50 billion company valuation and be bigger than PCHEM and public Bank? How many years of covid-19 are you expecting for it to get 1.5 billion in earnings every year?
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Ans :
I do not need to think. I do not bother Supermx is bigger or smaller than Pchem or PBbank.
I have my strategy ready "how to deal with this Miss Universe stock".
All data is ready in my head, I need to know what is PAT for Q4 2020 only.
Presently, I am already sitting on the gold mine. Left hand is gold bar and right hand is also gold bar. The difference is only the weight.
Thank you.

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2020-06-30 22:11 |

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2020-06-30 16:26 | Report Abuse

Posted by yfhew1 > Jun 30, 2020 4:11 PM | Report Abuse

Can someone help me?

PAT 388million . PE 40. Price =?
PAT 428milion. PE 40. Price =?
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Answer :
PAT 388 million

FY 2020, PAT should be at least RM 514 million.
EPS = 514/1360 = 0.378
PER = 40, the target price = 15.12

PAT 428 milion

FY 2020, PAT should be at least RM 554 million.
EPS = 554/1360 = 0.407
PER = 40, the target price = 16.28

Thank you.

Stock

2020-06-30 16:06 | Report Abuse

Posted by yfhew1 > Jun 30, 2020 3:59 PM | Report Abuse

If cannot go to 20.20.

Plz call 755-25-25 look for me.

No refund. But you get a pizza. Just bill yfhew1


Posted by yfhew1 > Jun 29, 2020 12:18 PM | Report Abuse

Its 280million to 360million profit.
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I do not want anything, I want your above information is accurate.
Thank you.

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2020-06-30 12:22 |

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2020-06-29 15:53 |

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2020-06-29 15:48 | Report Abuse

Posted by Hooi369 > Jun 29, 2020 3:45 PM | Report Abuse

supermax brazil and USA plant super busy....
argentina also scare brazil now...
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I need help from you to advise me the followings.
Supermx has how many factory/plant in US, Brazil and Argentina ?

Thank you.

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2020-06-29 12:42 |

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2020-06-27 20:46 |

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2020-06-26 21:47 |

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2020-06-26 21:34 | Report Abuse

Dear freetospeak,
I hope your request to Supermx management to release Q4 2020 results in July 2020 will be materialized soon.
This "expedite" will help to stop the share price of Supermx to drop further.
Thank you.

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2020-06-19 10:23 | Report Abuse

Dear freetospeak,

I choose 210 million is good enough for me.
Good job.
Thank you.

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2020-06-16 11:42 | Report Abuse

Posted by CharlesT > Jun 16, 2020 10:45 AM | Report Abuse

seems like EMA 20 is strong support...all big 4 never fall below that level

Posted by CharlesT > Jun 16, 2020 10:46 AM | Report Abuse

c if stanley will ever give chance to test ema 20 for third time or not....
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CharlesT is very good in TA now. Very good comment.

If the share price goes down to test 20-day EMA again, it is better so that we know it is a double bottom.
A sign to show that the share price had hit bottom.
This action will flush out all weak holders.
Then the share price of Supermx can go up very fast in the near future.
My 2 cents comment based on TA view point.
I hope I am not pouring water on the fire.
Thank you.

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2020-06-11 13:23 |

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2020-06-11 13:16 |

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2020-06-11 13:13 |

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2020-06-10 22:38 |

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2020-06-10 22:24 |

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2020-06-10 22:19 |

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2020-06-10 22:14 |

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2020-06-10 22:09 | Report Abuse

Posted by elbrutus > Jun 10, 2020 9:59 PM | Report Abuse

OTB bro ...my thoughts d same as yours ...if CIMB projections for FY2020 is 1.37b PAT
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Posted by elbrutus > Jun 10, 2020 10:01 PM | Report Abuse

Q1 111m Q2...116m...BALANCE 1143m for remaining 2 Quarters

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2020-06-10 21:57 | Report Abuse

I expect PAT for next quarter result > 650 million.
Thank you.

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2020-06-10 21:55 | Report Abuse

Posted by Bigbull99 > Jun 10, 2020 9:53 PM | Report Abuse

OTB I also hope to see PAT > 250mil, although 230mil is good enough to sustain till the next QR of 310-350mil =)
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Ans :
I expect PAT for next quarter result > 650 million.
Thank you.