Profit taking only. I think not over yet. I still have last batch not sold yet. Performance depends very much on coming quarter results...
Below is latest CIMB report dated 2 June 2020
Supermax Corp Still yet to peak ■ Our channel checks with SUCB indicate that its order lead time has stretched to 12 months while it is pricing in higher ASPs due to current strong demand. ■ While SUCB aims to secure more direct orders (OBM), it has also begun to collect higher deposits (>40%) for the bulk of orders beyond CY20. ■ Reiterate Add, with a higher TP of RM9.80 (28x CY21 P/E). Positive surprise from longer order visibility and more ASPs hikes Supermax (SUCB) indicated that its order lead time has lengthened to Jun 2021 (endFY6/21), which is 12 months (vs. our previous assumption of 10 months). This is on the back of favourable supply-demand dynamics in the glove sector, owing to Covid-19. We also gather that SUCB is confident of raising its ASPs by 10% each month from Jun till Dec 2020, vs. our previous expectation of a 10% monthly increase from Jun to Sep 2020. Collecting deposits to ensure minimal cancellation of orders In order to ensure no cancellation of orders, SUCB is requesting that its customers pay deposits (30-50%) in advance to lock in their orders. This is particularly for orders from non-recurring customers and/or spot buyers. At this juncture, we estimate that up to 15- 20% of SUCB’s capacity mainly caters to spot (ad-hoc) orders (mainly from government and non-government organisations), which typically have higher selling prices (premium of 30-70%) vs. recurring orders, resulting in higher margins for SUCB. Focusing on its OBM business model Since the Covid-19 outbreak (Mar 20), SUCB has been selling more gloves under its original brand manufacturing (OBM) at 95% of its total sales volume vs. 70% pre-Covid19. This is via its own distribution centres (7 glove distribution centres globally – 55%) as well as via third-party distributors (40%). In our view, this manufacturing-cum-distribution model (focusing on selling OBM gloves) allows SUCB to garner higher margins and better pricing power as it is able to sell directly to end-customers. Expecting robust qoq and yoy results in 4QFY20 For the upcoming 4QFY6/20 results, we expect SUCB to record sequentially stronger earnings of RM130m-135m. We also believe that sequential results will remain strong up to 2QFY6/21. This is on the back of: i) higher glove sales, ii) increase in average selling prices (+25% qoq), and iii) higher economies of scale. Note that any upside beyond our ASP assumptions would provide positive surprises to its 4QFY20 results. Reiterate Add, TP raised to RM9.80 With a longer order book visibility and factoring in higher ASPs (current assumption of a 10% monthly increase in 1HFY21 from only 1QFY21 previously), our FY21-22F EPS is raised by 33.3-38.7%. Accordingly, our TP rises to RM9.80 (28x CY21 P/E). We continue to like SUCB for its attractive valuations (35.1% discount to the Malaysian glove sector average CY21F P/E of 35.1x) and OBM business model, which allows it to garner better margins vs. its peers given the current strong surge in glove demand.
@marvin95 perhaps bank want to reduce margin risk because it's their money. want more retailer to use their own money to buy, thus passing some of the downside risk back to retailers
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New IPO: Building management systems (BMS), solar thermal systems and energy-saving services provider, Solar District Cooling Bhd aims to list on the Ace Market!
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Josephinecsy
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Posted by Josephinecsy > 2020-06-02 10:21 | Report Abuse
indeed agreed with need patient today, don't be panic