I think they will park the construction work for the development project of the new major shareholders' listed company under Merge. With this, i believe there are hope the company will have more stable earnings, hence price appreciation.
This is a pure speculative stock. The company initially receive a takeover offer of 88 sens per share back in Nov 2018. Which is why the share price jumped from less than 30 sens in mid-September to around the 88 sens when the offer announcement was made.
End Dec, Kaf Investment acting as an advisor for the company, had advice shareholders to reject the offer because it deemed it as unfair and unreasonable. The advisor puts Merge value at around RM1.10 per share.
End Feb the share price suddenly jumped to around the advisor valuation of RM1.10. But then jumped again to yesterday peak of RM1.40. Those that bought above the RM1.10 level must believe that a new offer will be made at above Kaf Investment valuation. Hopefully they are right.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.1x PE based on FY18 profit of RM166mil. PB is low at only 0.7x BV.
FY19 should deliver another profit growth year to the company. Profit growth will again be driven by the performance of Perodua (via MBMR 22.6% holdings in Perodua) from the still strong sales of new Myvi, sales of SUV Aruz and the introduction of the newly revamp Alza sometime in the 2H19. Aruz which commands a higher margin compared to other models, will help improve the total profit margin of Perodua (which will flow to MBMR’s bottom line as well).
MBMR is expected to achieve a profit of RM200mil in 2019. At the current share price, the company is being valued at only 5.0x which is a lot lower than the industry average of 15x PE. As an example, UMW (another company with exposure to Perodua) is currently trading at a PE multiple of almost 20x.
New boards do have private profitable companies that could inject in. They are genuine businessmen and I believe they do have something in the pipeline. otherwise, there is no reason why they neeed to take over Merge. esp a losing money company
Ya, basically most speculators come in and go. Normally make 10-20% and leave happily. Then they find hard to enter again since pricing keep surging. I believe market actual float is 15% or less now. Balance are those who trusted new management and wanted to tie the faith with them. So, if the new management can't come out with new good and acceptable plan and business strategic that convince new investors. Then, no one willing to invest again.
Type of business and esp type of bosses is very important. If you Long for company own by good managed, fair bosses, reasonable good dividend growth and off course business hard to replace. Then, invest in that company for Long will be paid off. If Merge can't convince you since business venture not clear. Another company I like is Sunway and its WB.
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