Somebody has been selling it down everyday . The dividend was 7 sen but it has fallen 40 sen from ex date on 9th Oct, with 30 sen of the drop coming on the 9th itself. Not sure what the reasons are but the share price could be tracking Tin which has recently dropped from 34k to 31k . The 3Q 24 results are round the corner , probably around the 9th of Nov. 3Q 24 should be better than 3Q 23 ($9 mil) and 2Q 24 ($17 mil ).
what a surprise .. 2nd interim special dividend of 17 cents declared for the quarter .. taking 9 mths dividend payout to 24 cents thus far ... a dividend bonanza year indeed .. can expect another 7 cents final dividend payment next quarter :)
The company rarely did this in the past, apparently 24c dividend to be paid this year is to avoid 2% tax on dividend next year. Total dividend exceeded this year 9 months accumulated profit can also mean year 2025 profit is brought forward to this year as dividend.
i bet to differ that this special dividend payout is to bring forward the dividend from 2025, though i have no privy to the insider's news; if we dissect its YTD 2024 earnings result, the key drag on its earnings is obviously from its smelting division including a loss in Q3 which management attributed to foreign exchange losses & lower smelting performance, taking the shine away from its stellar tin mining division; before commissioning of its new smelting facility at Pulau Indah late last year, smelting division generated at healthy PBT of RM60-70 million a year via its obsolete plant in Butterworth; but since running both plants concurrently, smelting division had struggled to make profit over the last 3 quarters due to higher overheads & manpower to run both plants in parallel; i would expect the PBT of the smelting division to normalize back to RM60-70 million a year (if not better) once the old Butterworth plant is completely decommission before end of 2025; and assuming that tin price can hold at the current level, we can expect an additional operating cash generation of RM60-70 million next year to support its generous dividend payout in the future (i.e. management has reiterated few times that it can achieve cost savings of 30% once the old Butterworth plant is being decommissioned but stop short of providing the actual figures); and i wouldn't discount entirely that the dividend is a foregone case next year ya .. in fact, i'm seeing a strong run to its share price once the RM60-70 million smelting business margins return :)
If its going to be for development will they sell it. ? Or develop it...tin mine to gold mine... WHAT U PEOPLE THINK.. Rm2.5 per share for butterworth land??
MSC ($2.40) - Announces an interim dividend of 7 sen. Ex on 9.10.24. The interim dividend of 7.0 sen per share translates to a dividend payout of RM29.4 million. This is 84% of the company's 1st Half24 earnings !! This is really telling us something. Very very few companies would pay out almost all their earnings as dividends UNLESS they are confident that going forward the earnings are going to be strong. In a silent way, they have telegraphed that they are confident that 2H24 earnings are finally going to be significantly better that 1H24 which was only $35 mil.
This stock hardly moved. Unless certain positive news flow. With the special 17 sen dividend announcement still stick at this price range. Need somebody to play up
Green miner, smelting segment still underperform. Mining very good. 17cts special dividend is superb! Ringgit weakening compensates for the tin price drop in usd. Will smelting improve in this quarter?
MSC is not having 3Q24 results briefing. They decided to do 2 times a year from now onwards. So no update on why smelting side is still not firing. The mining side is doing good. We will just have to depend on their next update in mid Feb 25 when the results come out to see if the smelter side is pulling its own weight. But the heavy selling from the ex date of the 7 sen dividend on 9th Oct 24 , when stock fell from 2.70 to 2.30 in 3 days, should have alerted us that someone was taking the view that 3Q24 results will disappoint.
I suspect there was a big sell order ( Institution ?) that has taken 3 days to complete , pushing the share price down 10% !! The seller is a very smart seller. He does not put big sell orders on the queue. Instead, he patiently gives to the buyers who are queueing on the buy side. So you dont see any big quantity on the sell side, but all the bids are being hammered. Near the close , he will accelerate the selling, so as to push the price down aggressively. His average selling price , selling throughout the day will be higher than the closing price ( probably the low for the day). The Institution is happy because the broker got out at a higher average price than the closing price. Todays volume was 1.75 mil shares , might suggest the selling has ended, but we will really only know on Monday if the same pattern continues or not.
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Potential short squeeze