Looks like MSC stock price is following Tin's price very closely 😏. Malacca Securities report mentioned that we are in a commodity upcycle , that should be positive for MSC. Also the US$ is in a gradual spiral downwards with Powell signalling US rate cuts looming in the horizon , and since commodity prices move inversely to the US$ movements, tin is poised for better days ahead. Stay tuned for more exciting updates as we keep an eagle eye for fund flows out of the US mkts to the deeply undervalued Emerging Mkt space.
Affin Hwang came out with a note saying earnings will come in between 20-25 mil for 2Q24. They maintain their Sell recommendation with an unchanged target price of $2.30. They think the mining side will do well but the smelter side will not as their tolling operations will be impacted by the export ban/constraints of tin from Myanmar and Indonesia.
Con Call held this morning was generally positive with a stronger 2nd half ahead. Smelting ops back to normal after the rebricking exercise mid May to mid July , which shut down the furnace. Supply shortage of 3rd party ore for smelting also saw some easing. Smelting profits should rebound strongly in 2Half 2024. Tin prices sholud remain strong as demand outstrips supply globally.
Profit for 3Q2023 was only 12 mil. This is a low hanging fruit for MSC to gobble up !! 4Q2023 profit was even lower at 9 mil , so the next 6 months should see some sustained buying interest as these numbers will be easily overcome with better results hopefully at several multiples times the 3Q and 4Q 2023 numbers.
It was from mid May to I think mid July. They acquired 2 rotary furnaces to take over the smelting of intermediates when the main furnace was undergoing rebricking. The problem is that one of the 2 also broke down , hence the lower amount of smelted products. They have now acquired a 3rd Rotary furnace as a back up to the backup. Hopefully, in future the Rotary furnaces can seamlessly continue the smelting work when the main furnace is under maintenance. I think they are also trying to reduce the time taken to rebrick by sourcing for new materials. This should address the once a year rebricking issue.
Thanks greenminer. Look like the state of the art furnace not efficient. Down time 3 months, quite difficult to make good profit for smelting division.
Introducing MY's First IPO Fund for Sophisticated Investors!
MQ Chat
New Update. Discover investment communities that resonate with your ideas
MQ Trader
M & A Value Partners IPO Equity Fund has been launched - Targeted 13% Return p.a
Latest Videos
0:17
New IPO: Building management systems (BMS), solar thermal systems and energy-saving services provider, Solar District Cooling Bhd aims to list on the Ace Market!
MQ Trader 264 views | 1 d ago
0:17
New IPO: The onshore and offshore support services provider for the O&G industry, Steel Hawk Bhd aims to list on the Ace Market!
MQ Trader 11413 views | 9 d ago
0:17
New IPO: The largest mini-market player and a leading groceries retailer in Malaysia, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings Bhd aims to list on the Main Market!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
GreenMinerMSC
50 posts
Posted by GreenMinerMSC > 1 month ago | Report Abuse
Somebody makan 130k at 3.00 in one order !! Got committed bull entering the stock 😀