Fundamental Trader

andr | Joined since 2017-03-11

Investing Experience Advanced
Risk Profile Low

I specialized in fundamental stocks (+P/FCF) with low risk setups, follow me to get rich together. RSS feed at: http://fetchrss.com/rss/59a0d0ab8a93f8242c8b4567725731000.xml

Followers

8

Following

12

Blog Posts

0

Threads

432

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
432
Past 30 days
1
Past 7 days
0
Today
0

User Comments
Stock

1 week ago | Report Abuse

Real money is made by sitting on your hands here.

Stock

1 month ago | Report Abuse

YOU GOTTA check this one out.

Stock

1 month ago | Report Abuse

utility company should be good performer in coming months, i will reveal another good one if there is enough interest to know here.

Stock

1 month ago | Report Abuse

Wood & Wood Products is doing very well.

Stock

1 month ago | Report Abuse

Just look up this company's price per Free Cash Flow and I doubt u can find any cheaper stock.

News & Blogs

2 months ago | Report Abuse

@Sslee not a chemist, just explaining to many people here with engineering background.

@i3lurker thanks, always willing to learn new things or character. But which way is right one for you?

News & Blogs

2 months ago | Report Abuse

i like to borrow engineering concept of Parts Per Million (PPM) on Price Per Million (PPM) of FCF (TTM), e.g. EVERGRN's PPM = 0.375 / 56.38m = 0.7% and that's a huge cashflow relative to it's price.

Test your stocks against FCF(TTM), and if it's negative, throw it away no matter how cheap the PE is.

Now, try it on POHKONG also.

News & Blogs

2 months ago | Report Abuse

Basically, you should run filters such as growth evaluation, Graham's valuation equation, discount PE to sector, Buffet's financial safety (as mentioned), eliminate micro revenue and micro market cap companies, avoid upcoming surprises of results announcement, fundamental and technical risk management, etc.

That's a whole bunch of works to be done, and who says investment or trading is easy? A doctor or pilot takes 5 years to get a license, but an crafty investor/trader takes at least 10 years of mistakes and refinements to sharpen the skill.

anyway, so Price/FCF(TTM) is my final and ultimate test after the whole bunch of other things took place, i just make it simple for ya. As a guide, anything less than 2% of Price/FCF(TTM) considered a gem IMHO.

you feel me bro?

News & Blogs

2 months ago | Report Abuse

and what does professor xiaoeh say about the market?

News & Blogs

2022-11-03 20:37 | Report Abuse

This explains why most tech stocks should be avoided. Knowing this alone saves you a lot of money.

Sector PE'
Energy 3.2
Plantation 7.7
Industrial Products & Services 9.0
Financial Services 10.0
Construction 11.1
Transportation & Logistics 12.7
Utilities 12.8
Property 13.1
Health Care 13.6
Consumer Products & Services 15.9
Real Estate Investment Trusts 16.7
Technology 19.8
Telecommunications & Media 21.4

Further drill into Tech sector:
SubSector PE"
Software 14.3
Digital Services 15.4
Technology Equipment 20.7
Semiconductors 21.6

just request if u need other sectors or subsectors.

News & Blogs

2022-10-31 15:14 | Report Abuse

Sorry for replying late, cause this website's thread doesn't come with notification.

@BobbyAxelrod Just remember Buffet never sell during recession, and stock market is a leading indicator for recession, that makes u want to buy during recession. Many articles online already covered that. You can check out Pohkong and let me know what you think.

@Sslee My sole motivation is to share, not to prove anything or compete, this method works, my reward of portfolio gain is already enough, nothing i need to show the world but myself. Once you know your improvement metrics that could avoid pitfalls and filter all the junk (just like diet), your portfolio will grow (healthier).

8 reasons to buy a stock:

1. Strong financials with CR>1 and low debt D/E<1
2. Low positive P/FCF good cashflow
3. Best PE discount within it's sector's peers
4. Above industry's average ROE
5. Trading at great book value discount
6. Good QR performance with positive YOY & QoQ revenue & profit growth
7. Technically great Reward/Risk currently
8. Very low risk opportunity

If you see it, you see it. If you don't, you don't.

Stock

2022-10-08 05:42 | Report Abuse

Investors can avoid PE trap by looking at Hengyuan's past 4Q's total FCF which is negative with erratic performance, so go look at HARVEST instead.

Stock

2022-10-04 09:00 | Report Abuse

long term investors should check out HARBOUR, growth company at cheapest discount in bursa.

Stock

2022-09-28 14:39 | Report Abuse

mispricing opportunity.

Stock
Stock
Stock

2022-09-19 09:03 | Report Abuse

PE trap can be avoided by checking P/FCF, if negative, avoid.

News & Blogs

2022-09-15 10:07 | Report Abuse

Thank you HARISON.

News & Blogs

2022-08-26 18:32 | Report Abuse

Harison results continues to impress.

News & Blogs

2022-08-24 15:19 | Report Abuse

holdings incl latest addition:

Automotive
Food & Beverages
Packaging Materials
Pharmaceuticals
Plantation
Semiconductors
Technology Equipment
Transportation & Logistics Services

Stock

2022-08-23 09:20 | Report Abuse

PPHB seems more interesting.

Stock

2022-08-23 09:18 | Report Abuse

SAILING towards 1.25

News & Blogs

2022-08-11 09:20 | Report Abuse

more bulls are flushing in.

News & Blogs

2022-08-01 16:26 | Report Abuse

MHC cashflow is super solid.

News & Blogs

2022-07-28 09:11 | Report Abuse

Bulls are back since 20 July 2022.

News & Blogs

2022-07-27 10:04 | Report Abuse

Encouraging to see portfolio all green today, keep holding good stocks.

News & Blogs

2022-07-05 08:47 | Report Abuse

Market forming a possible double bottom, keep holding good stocks.

News & Blogs

2022-06-15 14:55 | Report Abuse

KOTRA no change.
BAUTO no change.
HARISON no change.

basically this Q: KFIMA+SWKPLNT+FIMACOR+MASTER+HARISON+KOTRA+TASCO+BAUTO provides good diversifications.

for those who like to time the market, now is a good time to get ready for bulls to return.

News & Blogs

2022-05-25 09:14 | Report Abuse

The market likes to test your patience, grind your faith, and hunt stops before it takes off.

News & Blogs

2022-05-11 09:49 | Report Abuse

Need to remind readers that the purpose of this blog is to punish low ROE and FCF stocks in malaysia, especially those that cannot even hold their Debt/Equity<1 and Current Ratio>1. Investors need to avoid buying such low quality stocks.

News & Blogs

2022-05-11 09:27 | Report Abuse

@xskyriver If i haven't bought it yet, i would rather avoid holding such M&A to avoid risk exposure.

@cheahsk I don't look at low ROE stocks.

News & Blogs

2022-05-11 09:24 | Report Abuse

Take profit Harison to switch to Kotra.

News & Blogs

2022-05-10 10:15 | Report Abuse

Is today the recovery?

News & Blogs

2022-05-05 10:41 | Report Abuse

KOTRA

News & Blogs

2022-04-25 09:53 | Report Abuse

Terry Smith on Warren Buffett and how to find good companies

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0tMwLUMz4F0

News & Blogs

2022-04-12 17:46 | Report Abuse

@3i

you are right about glove if we backtest on quarterly results. Thank you for sharing from experience.

May i ask when & how did you exited glove? technical divergence? insider info?

Would you and if yes, how would you apply this to exiting plantation stocks in future?

News & Blogs

2022-04-12 16:42 | Report Abuse

The whole portfolio following this system already up more than 5% conservatively since last quarter season assuming you take profit now, I'm confident it will perform >20% per annum, especially you pick only rising FCF QoQ, which is something crucial if you want perfection, i mention this only now for those who are still following.

News & Blogs

2022-04-12 11:34 | Report Abuse

7 biggest mistakes people make using this method:

1. want quick profit with small account hence overtrading
2. monitor price too much, want actions, hands itchy, take early profit and kept changing strategy.
3. cut loss based on previously learnt technical analysis methods
4. not adding after price retraced 10% or 20% (depending on volatility)
5. did not stay through the full run up, aka take early profits
6. to be influenced by rumors or macroeconomy
7. emotional, or care too much about analysts reports or market sentiments

That's why i said doing nothing is the most difficult part after learning this method.

News & Blogs

2022-04-11 10:32 | Report Abuse

Semiconductor buyer watch SOX from NASDAQ closely as it's entering bounce zone right now.

Stock

2022-04-08 11:50 | Report Abuse

VIS quick fundamental review:

Debt/Equity = 0.01 [YES]
Current Ratio = 4.14 [YES]
ROE = 16.44 [YES]
Growth [YES]
Number of negative quarter in last 4Q: 0 [YES]
MC/FCF: 143/13=11 [YES]
Rising FCF [YES]
Dividend Yield = 1.82 [YES]

Verdict: ALL YES!

Read the method in Blog here: https://klse.i3investor.com/web/blog/recent/fundamental_trading
Read all the comments: https://klse.i3investor.com/web/forum/forum-thread/600694135?p=1

News & Blogs

2022-04-08 11:28 | Report Abuse

Peter Lynch: 10 Mistakes Every Investor Makes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-2uuIz_sAQ

News & Blogs

2022-04-08 11:22 | Report Abuse

Warren Buffett: 10 Mistakes Every Investor Makes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JultAiOdhvk

News & Blogs

2022-04-08 11:12 | Report Abuse

"It is better they do not understand it"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nihxj5KCCKQ

News & Blogs

2022-04-08 11:00 | Report Abuse

Assignment

Compare: VIS vs INARI vs PCHEM

News & Blogs

2022-04-08 09:38 | Report Abuse

RE: Risk & The Majority

One men's meat is another men's poison, we must acknowledge the diversity of risk appetite in the animal kingdom,

But, Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect). ― Mark Twain

The majority don't understand risk, let alone learning how to avoid, minimize or control it. In fact, the majority mind is the one that tells you his grandpa has been smoking since young and still alive, that's why smoking is safe. They always beat you with their experience.

The majority don't study numbers or statistics, they don't ask what is ARR, RRR, what is Graphene Hydroxide? They are not interested in studying long term risk, margin of safety or even a Debt-to-Equity. They are easily lured by the greed, spooked by fear, runs towards quick solutions told to them, only to find themselves spinning the endless consumption wheel designed by the master.

The majority just wants to believe, not learn. Learners don't believe. They even preach "Trust The Science", which is a slogan designed to fool them. The majority have plenty of excuses why they should not learn or already know all the answer. They often reply questions with air of superiority just to refill their leaked empty vessel of ego, you can't missed who they are because their brain is programmed to talk faster than thinking.

The majority always think they are right, they don't want the truth, they just want a simple right/wrong answer, tell them grey answer it hurts their binary brain, hence for century the minority minds always agree to disagree with the majority minds.

The majority has more mouths (or time or votes), the minority know for a fact that they cannot outspoken the majority, they will not even attempt to. Tell majority that they are right, they will be happy and not bothering you.

I'm not only interested in screening stocks, I'm the master of screening people.

News & Blogs

2022-04-06 19:39 | Report Abuse

Terry Smith: Free Cash-Flow Yield Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hAX8r5zpdzE

Bill Ackman: Free Cashflow is All You Should Care About
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZHQhXedaPl4

News & Blogs

2022-04-06 19:19 | Report Abuse

@xskyriver

OK, I will update quarterly especially for those who (clicked like) appreciated this learning opportunity.

News & Blogs

2022-04-06 18:06 | Report Abuse

"Warren Buffett’s net worth is $84.5 billion. Of that, $84.2 billion was accumulated after his 50th birthday."

News & Blogs

2022-04-06 10:16 | Report Abuse

To solve problems in life, first need to get the right order by understanding the correct type of Cause and Effect:

www.tiktok.com/@everdaythinkinglesson/video/7065188477284928795

News & Blogs

2022-04-04 19:53 | Report Abuse

@xskyriver you are welcome, let's say no to mediocre investment decisions.

Thanks for hitting the likes button.