The past 3 days chart showing an evening star. Wed : open = 0.755, close = 0.825 => up 0.07 (close - open create long green bar, retailers start chase high with high volume). Thur : open = 0.84, close = 0.835 => down 0.005 (a narrow red body, price still higher then Wed close, retailer expect a higher high may happen and continue chase high with high volume). Fri : open = 0.825, close = 0.795 => down 0.03 (close - open create long red bar, retailer being trapped in, low volume compared to previous 2 days, most retailers holding stock expect rebound).
An evening star indicate a downtrend may happen from Monday onward. Those who chase high last week by Wed & Thur (overbought) and not yet sell until next Monday will face a downtrend and will start panic selling from Monday onward.
As expected, after an evening star formed by last week, today will be a free fall with no support. The operator created a fake uptrend last week for retailers to chase high. For those already sold last week, no rush to buy back. For those not yet sell, sell first and you can buy back at lower price.
After hitting lowest this week 0.75 by Tuesday, it formed a support and it gradually trend up the support.
Tue lowest : 0.75 Wed lowest : 0.755 Thu lowest : 0.76 Fri (today) lowest : 0.765 next support should be 0.77 = SMA 12 & SMA 30.
The low per day trending higher high in 4 days consistently, the support being solid formed at the level.
The first resistant is 0.82 which = SMA 50. If Monday able to breakthrough 0.82 and close above 0.82, then a new uptrend is confirmed, else may go sideway between 0.77 ~ 0.82 for consolidation. The second resistant will be 0.865.
This morning had retested the support of 0.77 = SMA 30 then rebound. The current resistant shall be 0.815 = SMA 50. Shall today closing is able to close at 0.815 or above and stabilize for this week, it will be a significant reversal of trend.
The major downtrend started Dec 13th when SMA 50 at the time at 0.945 broken and all the way down to 0.695 by Feb 3rd (in between all the rebound are temporary).
0.815 = current SMA 50 will be crossover point for reversal to a long term uptrend if able to breakthrough and sustain.
It depends on whether 0.815 can breakthrough and sustain for this week, then it is a real uptrend. All indications are currently positive, it will be a normal consolidation (back & forth) between 0.77 ~0.815 until selling pressure depleted, then a long term uptrend start from 0.815 will be possible.
It is left hand sell to right hand to flush out weak holders and collecting stocks at low price.
Currently it is at a junction of cross-over (the downtrend from Dec 13th going to end this month and a new uptrend gradually forming this month, the current cross over point is 0.81 ~0.82).
The operator is pushing the price up & down to let retailers chase high and panic sell within a day 2 times to flush out weak holders, unload stocks above 0.8 and collecting stocks below 0.8.
For those already sold, the current buy back support level is 0.77/0.78.
For those intend to sell, the current resistant is 0.81/0.82.
In between there will be huge volume park at buy or sell Q, take the opportunity to buy back at low price 0.77/0.78 and sell above 0.8, ride with the trend instead of chase high above 0.8 & panic sell below 0.8.
Had been under estimate the volume of contra players need to be forced sell today. Need to patiently wait for the contra players cleared out for a rebound this week.
maxprofit2020, thanks for your frank and straight forward advice...from the politics outlook here, I think it will slowly cool down till May...keeping fingers crossed!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
maxprofit2020
1,161 posts
Posted by maxprofit2020 > 2020-02-08 19:05 | Report Abuse
The past 3 days chart showing an evening star.
Wed : open = 0.755, close = 0.825 => up 0.07 (close - open create long green bar, retailers start chase high with high volume).
Thur : open = 0.84, close = 0.835 => down 0.005 (a narrow red body, price still higher then Wed close, retailer expect a higher high may happen and continue chase high with high volume).
Fri : open = 0.825, close = 0.795 => down 0.03 (close - open create long red bar, retailer being trapped in, low volume compared to previous 2 days, most retailers holding stock expect rebound).
An evening star indicate a downtrend may happen from Monday onward. Those who chase high last week by Wed & Thur (overbought) and not yet sell until next Monday will face a downtrend and will start panic selling from Monday onward.