The stock has been consolidating for a month after hitting the RM0.405 high in early September. Last Friday’s long white candle pushed prices up to close above the 20-day EMA again, supported by a higher trading volume. The bullish gap up and coupled with the higher lows formation from the RM0.26 low, suggest that prices may continue its medium-to-longer term uptrend. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed easing pressure while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has strengthened further, keeping the positive momentum intact. We think that aggressive traders may want to go long now with a stop-loss set at RM0.34 (a tick below the 50-day EMA). This breakout may lift prices towards RM0.405 and our Fibonacci target RM0.42 (1.236)
Mega infra projects: opportunities in LRT3 and Pan Borneo Sabah Highway. The project value for LRT3 has been upsized by RM5b (reinstatement of five stations) while the award of Pan Borneo Sabah Highway (PBSH) has been indicated to be in November. The beneficiaries are MRCB for the former project, and potentially Gabungan AQRS for the latter project. The expected rollout of new mega projects in 2024 (MRT3, PBSH) also implies improving demand for the building material (particularly cement) sector.
Market cap 181M. This is one of the easiest counters in construction theme to hold and make a larger % than normal. But it will always be difficult buying/holding through the period of consolidation. It will touch 38-39 again. It may repeat and come down again. The question is will you be selling all at 38-39, and then when consolidation is finally over, miss out on the much bigger move that shall come
If I am not wrong...current Agong is AQRS's CEO's partner in Tanah Makmur. But that's probably irrelevant. For almost the full term, other than KotaSAS admin centre, we don't see AQRS getting any favours
In this particular case, it probably means...nothing. It shows a lack in trading interest, sellers not willing to sell buyers not willing to buy (got scared after being flushed so many times). It looks like we have a smallish operator here. Squeezing every penny before they goreng
It is nonetheless progressing beautifully, even if it only holds here for the next 2 months. Then the trading range would have firmly changed and this 32-33c range is the new bottom w strong support. I think it takes bad news - counter specific or sector wise to bring it down to sub-30 again. And I think the downside risk is low very low. Numerous catalyst for AQRS, if we hit just half of those objectives 40c should be the new range.
Market leaders being bombed, sector showing deep red. On a 2 months basis AQRS is outperforming the likes of UEMS Ekovest WCT by about 7-8%...KSL is making good money and down 6%
eddy you're too optimistic, even though I am AQRS supporter 😂 I dont believe they intentionally delay to collect shares...the reason they delay work is only cashflow. For the Peak they have decided that it's cheaper to pay LAD than to complete it. For E Puchong they have EOT and they are prioritising Govt jobs before going back to complete E Puchong
AQRS is a bumi contractor, their game is really not in private development projects - it's not a bad move, they get good deals and they treat it like a turnkey project with higher margin. This is for them to tide over the difficult times only. Their key rerating catalyst must come from big infra
Anwar is shouting at Sabah to expedite Pan Borneo works. To what extent they can implement remains to be seen. This is one of the most visible catalyst to rerate. AQRS-Suria Cap JV still on? Unknown. JV better, Suria is local, Sabah is very protective of locals. Anwar wants transparent tender - this is definitely good for AQRS. There are not that many contractors who has the big infra track record. AQRS's chances ok. AQRS's pre-cast fab plant JV w Sabah Econ Board. IF these 2 parts don't give AQRS...well it remains a fair chance they don't get it - last round they got nothing. Hopefully Anwar effect means Sabah can prioritise transparency and fair tender over cronyism
Another is Temasek station reinstatement. This was AQRS's job which was slashed. It's odd not to give it back to AQRS. But if AQRS doesn't get it, it really shows that AQRS is quite weak already
Market often reacts before announcement. Recent clear examples, YTL, even UEMS, even Ekovest. AQRS however, really shows no insider movements i.e. it shows no indication AQRS will be getting anything soon at all.
However, market cap is so small, small volume can spike the share price. Really hard to tell, and really a small cap counter. Who was buying it so heavily from 37-40? I was able to constantly sell at 38-39 for days at that time. Later on I would easily buy back at 36 and resell at 38. What's the operator doing? No idea. After the crash, there was a day they keep taking up everything at 35, before pushing it down to 32.5. Becauuse it's small cap the margin is there, what's their game plan?
Can only say, thankfully most of us took the money and ran. Now we can buy again. Given its long history of disappointing us, I am not taking 32.5 cents just yet, give another 10-20% buffer (or miss it...)
I have given up on this counter already - liquidated averaging 37 and kept just 5% of my original holdings. That a retailer like me support so long and finally exit, is it an indicator turnaround is around the corner? 🤣
At one point of time, I really had a large block of AQRS. I had so much all my brokers were calling me to slash limit. Why the large block, because it dipped below 30 cents
Surge day closed at 0.435. Today's close suggests still trending, wait and see. Of coz, wait and then it falls it'll be hard to run without taking a hit
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UncleFollower
1,513 posts
Posted by UncleFollower > 2023-10-09 09:32 | Report Abuse
CIMB today
The stock has been consolidating for a month after hitting the RM0.405 high in
early September. Last Friday’s long white candle pushed prices up to close
above the 20-day EMA again, supported by a higher trading volume. The bullish
gap up and coupled with the higher lows formation from the RM0.26 low, suggest
that prices may continue its medium-to-longer term uptrend.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed easing
pressure while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has strengthened further,
keeping the positive momentum intact.
We think that aggressive traders may want to go long now with a stop-loss set
at RM0.34 (a tick below the 50-day EMA). This breakout may lift prices towards
RM0.405 and our Fibonacci target RM0.42 (1.236)