Sunway REIT - Slight Incremental From Kluang Mall Acquisition

Date: 
2024-08-09
Firm: 
AmInvest
Stock: 
Price Target: 
1.87
Price Call: 
BUY
Last Price: 
1.62
Upside/Downside: 
+0.25 (15.43%)
  • Sunway REIT (SREIT) has entered into a conditional sale and purchase agreement to acquire Kluang Mall in Johor for RM158mil cash from Tenaga Nusantara, with completion expected by 4Q2024.
  • This is a 4-storey shopping complex with a net lettable area of 360k sq ft and 920 car park bays which caters to a population of 320k residents in Kluang town with a potential 1mil resident catchment from Batu Pahat, Ayer Hitam, Kulai and Mersing in central Johor.
  • The asset is 99% occupied with over 130 tenants, anchored by Pacific Hypermarket & Department Store. This will be slightly earnings accretive as the asset is expected to generate an indicative net property income yield of 6.8% based on the purchase price vs. the REIT portfolio’s 5.7% in FY23. However, given that the asset size will only add a slight 1.6% of to the REIT’s existing asset portfolio, we do not expect a significant accretion to distribution yields.
  • The purchase is expected slightly increase the REIT’s FY24F debt-to-asset ratio to 40% from 38.1%, which remains comfortable compared to the SC’s ceiling of 50%.
  • We maintain BUY on SREIT with an unchanged fair value (FV) of RM1.87/unit based on our dividend discount model, which incorporates a 4-star ESG rating . The FV implies a FY25F distribution yield of 6%, at parity to its 5-year median.
  • SREIT currently trades at a compelling FY25F PE of 15x vs. its 4-year average PE of 20x. Meanwhile, FY25F distribution yield of 6.6% is attractive vs. current 10-year MGS yield of 3.8%. SREIT’s distribution yield spread of 2.8% against 10-year MGS vs. a pre- pandemic (2017-2019) median of 1% should appeal to yield-seeking investors.

Source: AmInvest Research - 9 Aug 2024

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