Intelligent Investing

Selldown Despite Good Profit

Ricky Yeo
Publish date: Sun, 04 Jun 2017, 07:17 AM

The question upon every quarterly result season always revolve around why companies get sell down despite registering good profit growth. The reasons can be plenty but to name a few:

1. Randomness - Daily movement of share price carries more noise than signal so the movement could be totally random and possibly has nothing to do with the results at all.

2. Optionality – Investors are constantly comparing investments with one another. The selldown could mean investors found another investment that offers a better opportunity than ones they currently hold.

3. Take profit – Similar to 2nd point, depending on individual decision-making process, some decide it is best to take profit upon quarterly release.

4. Feedback loop – Some decide to sell by following the market which causes a selldown that triggers even more selldown due to cut loss rules.

5. Illiquidity – Low volume on buy queue can create a big selldown effect when sell side is price insensitive.

6. Market expectation – Selldown happens when profit growth fails to exceed the high market expectation. Same as when a narrow than expected losses on a poor performing stock can create a sudden surge in price.

7. Fundamentals – Stock can register good growth yet disappoint the market when their return fails to cover the cost of capital, which destroy shareholder value.

It is impossible to pinpoint the exact reason for the selldown and most of the time, it can be many. But what’s important is never let the market movement affect you decision making process. Short term share price movement tells you nothing about the business. And you don’t need to answer for the price others are selling. The market is there to serve you not instruct you. So exercise your independent thinking and stick to what you know.

If you find this helpful, share it & subscribe to be a better investor.

Discussions
7 people like this. Showing 6 of 6 comments

soojinhou

Well said.

2017-06-04 08:01

gohkimhock

It is the question whether the financial results announced beat the market expectation or not.

2017-06-04 10:54

probability

i always felt the main reason is because insider knew well ahead of the results...and bought way way cheaper..especially if it cant go up despite good buying volume.

why miss an almost certain profit though small % by going big.

2017-06-04 11:33

VenFx

长賺长握
Hold on , as long result growth.

2017-06-04 11:39

Hy Win

This is what i need to learn start now on.

2017-06-04 14:48

paperplane2016

It proof that even with sell down. Good company comes back!

2017-06-05 20:26

Post a Comment