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JAKS is primed for charting new heights, supported by the diversification into the long-term recurring income from the power generation concession in Vietnam, coupled with the on-going efforts to improve tenancy ratio under the property development segment.
Whilst the concession segment will generate earnings sustainability, current construction orderbook of RM281.3m is able to provide earnings visibility till 2022.
We assigned a P/E multiple of 9.0x to all, but the concession segment that is valued on a discounted cash flow approach, arriving at a fair value of RM0.72.
Investment Highlights
Diversification into long-term sustainable income. JAKS has successfully repositioned itself as one of the major players in the power plant industry following the commencement of 25-year Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) 2x600MW coal-fired power plant project in Hai Duong, northern Vietnam. We reckon that the mid-teens IRR and positive cash flow will be a key driver to the turnaround prospects for JAKS.
Venturing into long term renewable energy. Being one of the 30 shortlisted bidders of the LSS4, JAKS is currently undertaking a private placement to fund the 50MW project. Construction of the plant is expected to commence in 1Q22 and be completed in 1Q23.
Backed by steady orderbook. We see the construction sector to be supported by existing contracts with outstanding value of approximately RM283.1m. The aforementioned figure represents 1.1x of orderbook-to-cover ratio against FY20 construction revenue of RM263.2m that may provide earnings visibility till 2022.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....