Malayan Banking Bhd’s (Maybank) Indonesian subsidiary, Maybank Indonesia recorded a lower net profit of Rp450bil in 3QFY17 (-11.4%QoQ). This led to a 9MFY17 net profit of Rp1.4tril which grew 12.0%YoY. The improvement in cumulative earnings was supported by higher net interest income (+4.3%YoY), rise in non-interest income (+7.9%YoY), lower provisions (-15.1%YoY), partially offset by an increase in operating expenses of 8.4%YoY.
9MFY17 NIM saw an increase of 9bps YoY to 5.18% (9MFY16 NIM: 5.09%) due to disciplined loan pricing and active management of funding cost. Maybank Indonesia's gross loans picked up paced and grew 1.5%QoQ and 4.6%YoY in 3QFY17. On a year-onyear basis, the improvement in loan growth was contributed by a stronger growth in Global Banking loans of 29.0%YoY and Non-Retail Community Financial Services (CFS) Banking Loans, comprised of Micro, Small & Medium Enterprises (SME) and Business Banking credits, which grew 3.4%YoY. Meanwhile, Retail loan growth remained subdued at - 6.0%YoY with stiff competition on loan pricing and slower pace of consumer spending in Indonesia. Sharia banking loans continued to grow strongly by 50.5%YoY.
Maybank Indonesia’s non-interest income for 9MFY17 rose 7.9%YoY, largely due to higher gains from sale of trading securities and financial investments (+306.6%YoY).
We estimate Maybank Indonesia's earnings to contribute circa 9.1% of the Group's PBT in 9MFY17 based on our FY17F earnings forecast for Maybank Group.
Gross NPL ratio of Maybank Indonesia trended higher to 3.87% in 3QFY17 vs. 3.56% in 2QFY17. Meanwhile, net NPL ratio remained stable at 2.39% in 3QFY17 (2QFY17: 2.40%). On QoQ basis, absolute NPLs rose by 10.9% in 3QFY17, contributed by mainly by rise in loans to mining and manufacturing sectors which were classified as non-performing. On the comfort note, provisions declined by 9.7%QoQ in 3QFY17 and by -15.1%YoY for 9MFY17. 9MFY17 credit cost stood at 1.46% vs. 1.81% for 9MFY16.
Maybank Indonesia remained conservative over the management of its asset quality as it highlighted that economic conditions in Indonesia continued to be challenging.
CASA ratio was steady at 38.0% as at end of 9MFY17. Maybank Indonesia continued to focus on cash management and digitations of its banking services, which will be beneficial to raise its CASA and further improve its liquidity.
We maintain our HOLD recommendation on Maybank with an unchanged fairvalue of RM9.10/share based on a FY18 ROE of 10.7%, leading to a P/BV of 1.3x.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....