Westports posted weaker 1Q18 earnings of 12.1% yoy due to lower transhipment volume of 19% yoy. We had anticipated the lower transhipment volume for the quarter as a result of residual impact from shipping industry realignment since 1st April 2017.
For the past two consecutive quarters, volume transhipment volume has recovered from its lowest point in 3Q17 – registering 2% qoq growth for each period (Chart 1). We expect this organic growth momentum will remain at current rate at low single digit as guided by management in early this year.
We expect margin improvement arising from a better volume mix due to gateway volume growth combined with low recovery rate for its transhipment volume. We forecast margin will further expand upon the enforcement of tariff revision for its gateway volume in September 2018 despite of sticky tariff for its transhipment volume. The better volume mix was seen after 1st April 2017 i.e. the gateway volume portion increasing to 34.4% in the 2nd six months versus 32.7% in the 1st six months.
We maintain our BUY call with a TP of RM4.00 with based on DDM valuation methodology (Ke: 8.8%, terminal growth rate: 5.5%). We suggest to accumulate on dips given that the current price level offers a decent dividend yield of 4.1% based on 75% dividend payout ratio.
Source: BIMB Securities Research - 26 Apr 2018
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WPRTSCreated by kltrader | Nov 12, 2024
Created by kltrader | Nov 11, 2024
Created by kltrader | Nov 11, 2024
Created by kltrader | Nov 11, 2024