Bursa Malaysia Stock Watch

'Malaysia equities poised for bull run'

kltrader
Publish date: Tue, 09 Nov 2010, 05:12 PM
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Malaysia's equities market is on the verge of a bull-run similar to the one seen in the early 1990s and the indications are that it is sustainable, the chief investment officer of HwangDBS Investment Management said.

'Conditions for 2011 are ripe and any pull-back now is an opportunity for investors,' said David Ng, who manages about RM8.9 billion for the fund house.

Malaysia, he said, is 'unexpectedly exciting' so long as the government can execute the projects announced in its US$444 billion economic transformation programme last month.

However, Ng cautioned that it would not be a repeat of 2009-2010 where over 90 per cent of stocks rose following the crisis.

'2011 will be about stock-picking,' he said.

The benchmark FBM KLCI has risen by almost 20 percent since the start of the year, setting a 34-month record on yesterday.

The FBM KLCI has risen more than its Singaporean counterpart
, but has not matched the meteoric rises in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines, which have surged over 40 per cent each.

Analysts say part of the reason for the KLCI's climb is the pre-election enthusiasm, but Ng said there were fundamentals supporting the rise. Malaysia is expected to hold general elections next year although they aren't due until 2013.

Present conditions were similar to those in the 1992-1994 bull run, Ng said, and the low interest rate environment in developed economies could further fuel the growth spurt here.

Analysts expect further massive inflows of capital into Asia, driven by the second round of U.S. quantitative easing and warn that this may spark inflationary pressures and asset bubbles.

'Areas where we are positioned are the oil and gas sector and banking in Malaysia,' Ng said. 'Regionally, we like technology and tourism in Singapore.'

The performance of these sectors will continue to be fueled by demand from big emerging economies such as China, India and Indonesia, and are insulated from a slowdown in developed markets, Ng said.

He said he preferred high-yielding dividend stocks as those companies tended to have better fundamentals.

The inflow of funds has been well-documented by international observers, and has led the World Bank to issue a warning over the possibility of asset bubbles. Ng said bubbles posed a real risk but there have yet to form.

HwangDBS Investment Management has averaged a 15 per cent return per annum on its assets under management since 2000, Ng said. - Reuters
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