Investor on the Street

SUPERMAX: Poor price performance, Rich in cash

Effulgence
Publish date: Sat, 18 Jun 2022, 06:13 PM

SUPERMAX is a Main Market listed company that makes & sells gloves. 

It has Net Cash of RM 2.762 bil. Its market capitalisation is RM 2.421 bil. 

It fulfils some of my favourite criteria: Net Cash, Dividend paying, Stable business & long profitability record, Selling below net assets.


Is SUPERMAX selling at cheap price now?


1. Using traditional valuation metrics, SUPERMAX is cheap. 

Low PE, below Net Cash, even price to revenue is lower.


2. But low PE also indicates earnings has peaked for cyclical stocks. 

Everyone knows that gloves' ASP has fallen from its all-time high.


3.  Share price has not fallen to 2017 levels yet.

SUPERMAX share price is still higher than 2017. But other glove shares like TOPGLOV and HARTA have plunged to 2017 price range. 


4. Revenue & profit is still on downtrend.

Hard to tell if SUPERMAX's business would show signs of improvement in near future, since it's unknown how long will glove oversupply issues continue. 


SUPERMAX holds a proud record of never suffering a loss in any quarter since 2012. (Data from this website) 

I have very few shares in SUPERMAX. Will consider buying when it's RM 0.45, equivalent to 2017 price. 

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Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 3 of 3 comments

arv18

Problem is it has committed itself to building a loss-making factory in USA (the country blocking its goods) with half that cash, in the midst of a glove glut and sky-high construction and natural gas prices.

2022-06-18 20:52

kennyongg

Hi sir, not related to Supermx, but how do you post a blog ya? My blog seems to get deleted immediately after posting, need some help!

2022-06-19 16:41

Raymond Tiruchelvam

arv18... capex for expansion plans are for the future, not for now, t is to anticipate 5 years from now demand and beyond, besides supermax has cash, rather than put in FD better to expand facilities.... as for the article, yes very interesting to see valuation below cash holding, but as you know share price is always forward looking towards earnings.... but since we are in downturn, the forward looking stance is rather short term.... while long term future is bright, the question than remains at what price is a good time to move in ..... yup yup happy hunting

2022-06-20 22:27

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