We are reiterating our view on Mah Sing after meeting the management for updates on its township in Bangi, Southville City @ KL South.
The 428 acres of freehold land will be well -developed with plans to preserve its greeneries as only half of the total acreage will be developed into a mixed development, along with township amenities such as schools, clubhouses and urban parks. The GDV for the entire development is estimated at RM8.3bn.
Currently there are two main roads access into Southville City, which are Jalan Kajang Dengkil and the Direct Interchange form North-South Highway that will be undertaken by the group.
The group shared that the interchange would include a toll plaza (rates unknown for now), a maiden project being carried out by a property developer. It would be a 14 lanes toll (8 lanes in and 6 lanes out).
The entire development is expected to complete only in 2022-2025 given the large land space, separated into a total of 7 launches.
Residential developments will be launched in 3 phases (High-rise executive suites, 2.5-3-storey link houses and landed riverfront exclusive homes). Other launches would inc lude commercial plaza, boutique office towers, commercial hub and wellness city.
Mah Sing have recently launched the 7 th tower (D1) early of the month with pricing from RM486,000 onwards. Do note that the pricing for its maiden launch of Savanna was as lo w as RM348,000. To date, we gather that the total take-up rate reached 82% or 2,235 units for all 7 towers launched.
For Avens Residences (2.5-3-storey link houses), selling prices have appreciated to at least RM900,000 and RM1m for 2.5-storey and 3-storey link houses, respectively. Total take-up rate is 69% or 135 units. We understand that the group have only launched a portion of Avens 3-storey link houses.
Overall, Mah Sing targets to achieve sales of RM920m (FY14: RM803m) for Southville City alone out o f total RM3.43bn target in FY15, making the development the major contributor to the group for the year.
Risks
Slower than expected sales
Execution risks for projects
I nability to replenish landbank.
Forecasts
Maintained.
Rating
BUY
MSGB currently trades at 8.6x FY15E P/E vs. its historical 5-year P/E average of 11.1x
Valuation
TP maintained at RM2.42 (maintain 25% discount to RNAV), which values MSGB at 8.9x FY15E P/E, vs. its historic al 5-year P/E average of 11.1x . Maintain BUY.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....