HLBank Research Highlights

Traders Brief - Upside bias to retest 200-d SMA near 1686 levels

HLInvest
Publish date: Thu, 18 Feb 2016, 12:16 PM
HLInvest
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This blog publishes research reports from Hong Leong Investment Bank

BursaMalaysiarecap

KLCI ended flat with a 0.7-pt decline

  • In the wake of persistent concerns over slowing global economicgrowth and ongoing financial routs, most of the Asian marketsended lower after surrendering early gains, weighed down byenergy shares amid falling oil prices as investors awai ted theoutcome from another crucial meeting between two keyproducers Iraq and Iran in Tehran and disappointed with apledge earlier by the world’s two larges t oil producers , Russiaand Saudi Arabia to freeze output (but not cut production).
  • Tracking regional markets, KLCI fell 0.7-pt after jumping 21.3 ptsin the last two days, led by lower crude oil prices and a sharp1.65% fall in Ringgit (vs US$).

Wall St recap

Dow surged 257 pts to log 794 pts in three consecutivesessions

  • The Dow rallied 257 pts or 1.6%, extending its gains for a 3rdstraight session, helped by strong industrial production forJanuary and 5.4% rally in WTI price at US$$30.6/barrel aftercomments from the Iran oil minister raised hopes for thepossibility of cooperation on an agreement to freeze production.Sentiment was also boosted by expectations that the Fed isgoing to be more supportive and cognizant of emerging marketslowdown, following the Jan FOMC meeting minutes showedpolicymakers worried that tighter global financial conditionscould hit the U.S. economy and considered changing theirplanned path of interest rate hikes in 2016.
 

KLCI outlook

Upside bias to retest 200-d SMA near 1686 levels

  • Today, Bursa Malaysia is expected to resume its rebound afterended flat yesterday, taking cues from overnight rallies in USand European markets coupled with soaring oil prices. Keyupside targets are 1674 (23.6% FR), 1686 (200-d SMA) and1700 (downtrend line) levels. However, we believe the index willtake a breather near 1700 psychological levels after YTD low of1600 on 21 Jan, given the choppy trading environment amidexternal market uncertainties.
  • Near term supports are 1650 (50-d SMA), 1642 (38.2% FR) and1622 (15 Dec low). Technically, KLCI is still likely to trap in atriangle consolidation unless staging a decisive rebound abovethe 200-d SMA resistance levels.
  • Closed position (FIG3) : We took profit on PLABS (with a 9.8%gain in three days) at RM0.28 (R2) yesterday.
  • Stock on radar (FIG3): We like 3A as its growth in the mid tolong term will be underpinned by (i) steady underlying demandgrowth in the F&B industry amid strong recession-proofproducts; (ii) growing export markets and product range; (iii)strong tie-up with Wilmar in China and (iv) higher economies ofscale and production efficiency.
  • We see share prices to break immediate resistance of RM1.09to reach short to medium term upside targets of RM1.13-1.23levels. Cut loss at RM0.97.

Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 18 Feb 2016

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