Into the red – HCK posted 2Q18 net loss of RM1.8m against a net profit of RM564k in 2Q17 following lower revenue and higher marketing costs to promote the edusphere@Cyberjaya serviced apartments.
Lower revenue - Quarterly revenue dropped 45% YoY to RM4.2m after completion and delivery of property development projects.
Lower QoQ – HCK posted a net loss of RM1.8m against a net profit of RM224k in 1Q18 as quarterly revenue plunged 55% QoQ.
Reduced property income – Revenue from Property division decreased 48% YoY and 58% QoQ to RM3.7m. As such, the property division posted an operating loss of RM522k.
F&B posted maiden profit – Sales from its Jamaica Blue coffee chain dropped 7% YoY and 23% QoQ to RM461k but it managed to post its maiden operating profit of RM178k.
Challenges ahead - We expect income from HCK’s property division to remain flat in view of current lackluster sentiment among homebuyers. However, the F&B business is expected to improve with 5 outlets and better consumer sentiment.
In 2019, bumper earnings are expected to be booked with lump sum recognition of sales from The Duo serviced suites (GDV of RM285m) upon delivery of the units.
Valuation & Recommendation
Below expectation – 1H18 revenue accounts for only 15% of our full year forecast of RM90.3m while 6 months’ net loss of RM1.6m is far from our FY18 estimate of RM3.5m.
Reducing earnings forecast – As such, we are lowering our EPS estimates for FY18 and FY19 by 77% and 19% as well as revenue forecasts by 77% and 18% respectively due to lower than-expected recognition from the edusphere@Cyberjaya project.
Downgrade to SELL from HOLD call with a lower target price of RM1.06 (previously RM1.24) based on a higher discount of 40% (from 30%) on its realizable net asset value (RNAV)/share of RM1.78 in view of the stock’s low earnings visibility and trading liquidity.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....