JF Apex Research Highlights

HCK Capital Group Bhd - Into the Red

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Publish date: Thu, 30 Aug 2018, 09:26 AM
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This blog publishes research reports from JF Apex research.

Quarterly Results

  • Into the red – HCK posted 2Q18 net loss of RM1.8m against a net profit of RM564k in 2Q17 following lower revenue and higher marketing costs to promote the edusphere@Cyberjaya serviced apartments.
  • Lower revenue - Quarterly revenue dropped 45% YoY to RM4.2m after completion and delivery of property development projects.
  • Lower QoQ – HCK posted a net loss of RM1.8m against a net profit of RM224k in 1Q18 as quarterly revenue plunged 55% QoQ.
  • Reduced property income – Revenue from Property division decreased 48% YoY and 58% QoQ to RM3.7m. As such, the property division posted an operating loss of RM522k.
  • F&B posted maiden profit – Sales from its Jamaica Blue coffee chain dropped 7% YoY and 23% QoQ to RM461k but it managed to post its maiden operating profit of RM178k.
  • Challenges ahead - We expect income from HCK’s property division to remain flat in view of current lackluster sentiment among homebuyers. However, the F&B business is expected to improve with 5 outlets and better consumer sentiment.
  • In 2019, bumper earnings are expected to be booked with lump sum recognition of sales from The Duo serviced suites (GDV of RM285m) upon delivery of the units.

Valuation & Recommendation

  • Below expectation – 1H18 revenue accounts for only 15% of our full year forecast of RM90.3m while 6 months’ net loss of RM1.6m is far from our FY18 estimate of RM3.5m.
  • Reducing earnings forecast – As such, we are lowering our EPS estimates for FY18 and FY19 by 77% and 19% as well as revenue forecasts by 77% and 18% respectively due to lower than-expected recognition from the edusphere@Cyberjaya project.
  • Downgrade to SELL from HOLD call with a lower target price of RM1.06 (previously RM1.24) based on a higher discount of 40% (from 30%) on its realizable net asset value (RNAV)/share of RM1.78 in view of the stock’s low earnings visibility and trading liquidity.

Source: JF Apex Securities Research - 30 Aug 2018

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