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Genting Malaysia - 2Q12 in line, all round improvement

kiasutrader
Publish date: Thu, 30 Aug 2012, 10:04 AM

Period    2Q12

Actual vs.  Expectations
 The 2Q12 core profit of RM497.8m came in within expectations.

 This brought 1H12 core profit to RM815.8m, which accounted for 53% of our FY12 full-year estimate and 51% of the market consensus. 

Dividends   A 3.8 sen GDPS was declared in 2Q12, the same as that of last year. 

Key Results Highlights
 The 2Q12 headline net profit leapt 83% QoQ to RM495.8m, on a broad base improvement in its casino operations, with revenue rising 11%. YoY, net profit expanded 58% while revenue gained 38%.

 The home turf casino operations reported an adjusted EBTDA which grew 21% QoQ in 2Q12 on a 7% hike in revenue. This was due to a higher hold percentage despite a lower business volume in the VIP market. YoY, its Malaysian casino posted an adjusted EBTDA that rose 8% while revenue increased 5%. 

 UK casinos reported strong numbers, especially the London casinos. The 2Q12 adjusted EBITDA jumped to RM130.1m from RM34.5m in 1Q12 on higher business volume as revenue rose 38%. YoY, it turned profitable from the negative adjusted EBITDA of RM7.8m in 2Q11 while revenue surged 153% YoY.  

 USA operations achieved good results as its adjusted EBITDA soared to RM60.7m in 2Q12 from RM1.7m in 1Q12 despite revenue dropping slightly by 1%. YoY, the adjusted EBITDA doubled from 2Q11 although its revenue dipped 40% as 2Q11 results included a RM363.1m construction revenue. 

Outlook   FY12 will be a stronger year than FY11 as RWG's earnings continue to be resilient with a recovery of its UK operations on hand as well as it getting a full year earnings contribution from RWNYC. 

Change to Forecasts
 No changes to our FY12-FY14 estimates  

Rating  MAINTAIN OUTPERFORM

Valuation    We reiterate our price target of RM4.18/SOP share.  

Risks   Unfavourable luck factor.

Source: Kenanga 
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