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Maemode: accurate predictions by Ze Moola, but why did nobody notice? (4) - M.A. Wind

Tan KW
Publish date: Mon, 23 Jun 2014, 08:57 PM
Tan KW
0 435,804
Good.

 

Monday, 23 June 2014 

 
I wrote before about Maemode (Malaysian AE Models Holdings Berhad), here, here and here.

I am afraid that my fears regarding Maemode being delisted appear to be come true, according to this announcement:


the securities of the Company will be de-listed on 2 July 2014 unless an appeal against the de-listing is submitted to Bursa Securities on or before 27 June 2014 ("the Appeal Timeframe")


The shares have been suspended for a long time, so it doesn't look like a big deal. But the issue that I have with this is that Maemode's minority shareholders and interested observers might never know what exactly has happened.

The following are the financial results between 2002 and 2012, the company appeared to be nicely profitable, and although margins were not that great, Maemode looked like a pretty decent company. Its accounts were audited and approved by Ernst & Young, one of the top accounting companies.

 
(all amounts in million RM)

However, when one digs deeper (and blogger "Where is Ze Moola" did exactly that), a troubling trend appears:


The build up of debt is very troublesome. And why have the receivables grown much faster than the sales? From about 45% in 2002/04 to 77% in 2010/12. If the receivables are "able to receive" in a timely matter, then the loans can be repaid, but what if that is not the case?

In an interesting twist, well-known businessman Tey Por Yee became a large shareholder. With hindsight, that might not have been the best timed investment, to put it mildly.

The 2013 results were not so good until the third quarter (a small loss), and financial troubles started to appear when a subsidiary defaulted on a loan.

But the real shocker came when the fourth quarter results were announced:


In one foul swoop, the company went from a large accumulated profit to an accumulated loss of 69 million.

The explanation offered was (in my opinion) completely insufficient:


The company would not issue its 2013 audited accounts, its year report, nor any other quarterly reports anymore. In other words, we are completely left in the dark what actually has happened.

Unfortunately, the authorities (BM & SC) also did not order an investigative audit, something that I think was very much needed.

The "commentary of prospect" in the last quarterly report looked rather "comical" (writing about the Malaysian and Chinese economy when the company is going under):


Will we ever know what really happened with Maemode and will the authorities take appropriate action?

I sincerely hope so,  time will tell. 

http://cgmalaysia.blogspot.com/2014/06/maemode-accurate-predictions-by-ze.html

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1 person likes this. Showing 4 of 5 comments

sense maker

Thanks for the article. Always buy net cash companies with AR turnover of not more than 45 days.

2014-06-23 21:21

kcchongnz

This type of article on Maemode or others attracts no interest here, and not in Bursa too. This type of thing comes with negative energy, no good . So they always say.

But this type of article in fact should be read by everyone aspired to be successful in investing, especially those newbies and those who do not know much about investing. Sorry and sad to say most punters in Bursa are.

Forget about reading from investment analysis how good a stock is for the time being. Forget about all those articles here shouting which stock to buy (including mine). Concentrate on reading these type of articles from M. A. Wind, from Ze Moolah etc. Learn a bit about financial statement analysis and interpretations. You will avoid most of these type of pitfalls, like Maemode, Transmile, and many existing hot stocks now. Seriously.

What can you see the "normal" thingy here?
1) Very high growth is number one, in revenue as well as earnings too.
2) Extreme low margin at 3%
3) Growing debts
4) Growing receivables
5) No cash flows, not even in cash flow from operations, don't talk about free cash flow, which is not highlight here.
6) Extreme low return of equity, and return of invested capitals.
7) Etc

The red flags were everywhere. Why few people see them? Most can't even read simple financial statements, and don't even care about financial statements. Stock "investing" is just a piece of paper with $ sign, up or down.

Avoiding investment pitfalls is prerequisite for any success in Bursa.

Sorry ah, a bit "looso".

2014-06-24 04:59

AyamTua

ok bro noted :-)

2014-06-24 05:02

regnig

Good one, thanks Chong!

2014-06-24 10:09

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