KL Trader Investment Research Articles

Sector Update - Auto: A Good Start To 2H12

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Publish date: Fri, 17 Aug 2012, 11:12 AM
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MBM Resources: Fair value RM4.10 Market Perform (Maintained)
Tan Chong: Fair value RM4.50 Market Perform (Maintained)
UMW: Fair value RM10.90 Outperform (Maintained)
APM: Fair value RM4.90 Market Perform (Maintained)
DRB-HICOM: Fair value RM3.35 Outperform (Maintained)

  • Malaysian Automotive Association (MAA) reported total industry volumes (TIV) data for Jul that was incomplete as Proton did not submit their Jul sales figures.
  • Excluding Proton, Jul TIV amounted to 46,637 units. Assuming that Proton sales in Jul were smiliar to that achieved in Jun, then the proforma Jul TIV would have scaled a new monthly record of 60,132 units, up 6.2% mom and 19.7% yoy.
  • The positive start to 2H12 is within our expectations, helped by the normalisation of component supplies, attractive new model launches, the market’s adaptation to the revised lending guidelines and positive consumer sentiment.
  • Perodua also had a solid month with Jul sales reaching 17,009 units (+3.5% mom, +3.9% yoy). We believe forecast Perodua sales of 188,000 units for 2012 is achievable.
  • Sales going forward will be lifted by the normalisation of component supplies and continued new model launches. The new Honda Civic introduced last month has reportedly received bookings of over 3,000 units. Although some seasonal weakness is expected in Aug, our 2012 TIV forecast of 612,000 units remains intact.
  • Maintain Neutral call. Our top picks are DRB-HICOM and UMW.

Source: RHB Research - 17 August 2012

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1 person likes this. Showing 1 of 1 comments

herbert456

It is hard not to have some investment exposure in the AUTO sector. Recently, I had my usual car service and maintenance check. Compared to a year ago, the cost had tripled to what I used to pay. Inflation had not seen double digits as yet, but this multiplier had dented my wallet deeply. But, no complaints from consumers. Why?? Well, for simple reasons, we just can't be bothered and so long the car is kept running smoothly, no complaints on the costs.

So, I reckon the players above are making huge profits out of consumers. Thus, I also want a piece of the cake (the profits that they make). If we have a choice, which of the 5 counters above would u choose??

(1) Based on VOLUME?? ---- DRBHICOM
(2) Based on Price affordability?? ----- DRBHICOM
(3) Based on Target Price differential?? ----- DRBHICOM
(4) Based on Political backing?? ---- SURELY DRBHICOM

2012-08-21 08:12

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