My market view

PPHB (8273) – Another pick by KYY

milosh
Publish date: Mon, 07 Jun 2021, 06:33 PM
milosh
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Killing my extra free time by sharing ideas.

For more check out my blog: http://miloshtrading.blogspot.com

<i>These articles are not trading recommendations, just expression of my personal views, please do your own "homework" when deciding to invest! I am not licensed advisor by SC and I am not recommending any action to buy, hold or sell. All articles here are based on publicly available data from Bursa Malaysia. I do NOT profit from it in any possible way.</i>

PPHB (8273) – Public Packages Holding Bhd is yet another latest “tip” by Mr. Koon Yew Yin.

 

UPDATE 8. June 2021 9:20: price took off to 0.86 where is *some* resistance for now.

 

 

Technically it looks as a good entry – if there will be any good news – and selection by KYY is almost always a strong factor to push (temporarily) prices very fast, very high.

 

Reasoning behind selection, in basics, can be read directly from his post HERE.

 

Have a look at a few basic and my favorite ratios first:

 

 

 

Wow it looks really strong, but I need to remind you, these are just basic ratios and they mean exactly what they are – just numbers created from different numbers, but yes, its not everyday find, very promising!

 

How numbers which matter more to the most people?

 

 

 

The latest QR EPS is bit down compare to previous 2 QRs, which were excellent.

 

The last price is 0.825 sen on 7. June 2021

 

How to value the share? Mr. KYY himself likes to use  the latest QR x 4 x 10 to get his target price which is:

2.13 x 4 x 10 = 85 sen (P/E of 10, expecting future EPS to stay the same)

But Mr. KYY expecting profits will increase in this case, and probably/perhaps he counts more on previous 2 QRs. If we consider these numbers, his target price can be much higher (RM2 or more?). 

Hopefully he will come up with more articles with more details.

 

I personally prefer to use trailing EPS and P/E:

1.67 + 5.42 + 5.9 + 2.13 = 15.12 sen and target P/E for this kind of company give just 6

Target price: 91 sen

 

Consider high NAPS when pricing too.

 

My strategy also depends on if the company can actually increasing profit and other ratios going forward, here the last QR both revenue, net profit, ROE etc. is bit down.  Try to see why.

 

From the fast going thru of the last QR financial results, I don't see anything much alarming. 

Decreased profit explained: "The net profit during the quarter was dropped due to one-off fair value adjustment on investment property was recognized by joint venture company in last year." For more details continue reading:

 

For 4Q20. which post high EPS there is an increase in "share of results of joint ventures" of 6,666, which is a significant factor there for increase in profits - its simply explained there as Investment activities income. 

 

They have (a very) high level of cash too. Read the full report for more details. I personally wanted to understand why these QRs before had so high profits and it looks like the extra "push" in EPS was from "investing income" - if this and how will continue in the future I don't really know, I will need to have a closer look first and will update you if I manage to find out more.

 

Mr KYY expecting the business to do just well in coming QRs. Lets check his post and you decide ...

 

More posts on my BLOG.

 

Disclosure: Im not holding PPHB

Disclaimer: Im not a professional financial advisor or a financial analyst or an economist or an accounter.
This is not a trading recommendation / advise, just my personal view

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Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 14 of 14 comments

greedy44

No one trust him anymore...lol

2021-06-07 19:56

greedy44

i3 readers knew him too well because they lost a lot of money because of his recommendations.

2021-06-07 19:57

milosh

thats why dont simply follow what someone says, do own research is very important. but from what I see he gives a good tips sometimes
TOMEI for example looks really interesting, I like this one

2021-06-07 20:03

sniper123

when uncle KYY recommend tomei the spot price of bullion was @ 1917. today the price of bullion on the spot market drop already to 1890 and still downtrend. Buyers BEWARE!!!

2021-06-07 21:36

Albukhary

Although I not like Uncle KYY, but I like PPHB. This is really one of the undervalue GEMS in Bursa.

2021-06-07 21:42

milosh

c'mon sniper its not a big difference for long term investors, here you can see why I think KYY is right about TOMEI: https://miloshtrading.blogspot.com/2021/06/tomei-last-5qr-comparison.html
but if you don't like TOMEI, simply don't buy it, and case closed for you

2021-06-07 21:45

sniper123

milosh you mantion long term, how long is long??? 6mths or 6 yrs??? lets wait n c. Btw this is a public forum where avrubody is free to express their opinion so there's no need to open or closed case. this is not a court proceeding lah

2021-06-08 21:33

milosh

ya sniper i mean close case dont need to worry about it if you dont buy, but for me any opinion is more than welcome. Long term in my terminology is as long as company is doing well and keeps on track.

2021-06-08 21:38

milosh

so far no gamblers here, its a good sign, now still at the resistance 0.86 and starting to look good on chart

2021-06-09 09:32

cheeseburger

last time KYY recommended KPS, go see where the stock is now before you listen to him again on this PPHB.

2021-06-09 11:03

The_JQuestion

hehehe this industry is So so KYY just pick any industry he want and profit la whr got industry not good LOL >>> he just suka hati and trap ppl this BS his own company not even moving

2021-06-09 11:11

milosh

thats why i wrote this post to show fundamentals, strong financials cannot be result of KYY selected this stock, its from actual operational activities of the company

2021-06-09 12:32

sniper123

Milosh
teschnically pphb is a downtrend stock. lower lows n lower highs. Besides its sp also below 70sma. If you follow OTB sifu who is neither a gambling nor contra kaki and follows both FA and TA methodology; and has been an overall champ in I3 contest successively for umpteen years you will know what to do. Anyway good luck and all the best.

2021-06-09 16:43

milosh

thanks sniper, I prefer follow my own valuations, but I always welcome to read analysis of other people too

2021-06-09 16:48

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