MQTrader Stock Discussion

MQ Trader Analysis - DIALOG (7277) - The Oil Tanker

MQTrader Jesse
Publish date: Mon, 26 Aug 2019, 06:12 PM

DIALOG (7277)

Dialog Group Bhd provides technical services to the upstream, midstream, and downstream sectors in the oil, gas, and petrochemical industry. Its comprehensive range of services includes logistics, engineering and construction, fabrication, and maintenance. Products range from pumps, pipe support, and diagnostic services for upstream operations to multi-purpose dispensers and petrol retail and convenience stores.

Fundamental Analysis

Figure 1: Quarter revenue of DIALOG

Figure 2: Quarter profit for DIALOG

Figure 3: Quarter profit margin of DIALOG

According to the fundamental analysis above, DIALOG’s quarter revenue drops continuously since year 2018. However, its profit is growing tremendously and it is in opposite direction of its revenue. This shows that DIALOG’s financial position is improving in the long run, as DIALOG’s profit margin is increasing exponentially over the time.

MQ Fundamental Rating

Remarks: The data above was recorded on 23 Aug 2019

Based on MQ Trader’s criteria, stocks with MQ Fundamental Rating more than 2.5/5.0 are considered as stocks with good fundamentals. DIALOG passes 5 out of 8 fundamental tests and it scores 3.1/5.0 for its MQ Fundamental Rating. Hence, it is categorized as a fundamentally good stock which can be invested for long term.

3-years Technical Chart

The share price of DIALOG is rising in the long run as shown in its 3-years technical chart, as the current share price is moving above SMA 200 (long term) and EMA 50 (Mid term). This proves that the value of the shares is appreciating over the years.

Technical Analysis

MQ Technical Rating

Remarks: The data above was recorded on 23 Aug 2019

DIALOG is undergoing bullish trend at the moment, as its MQ Technical Rating is higher than 3.0/5.0 which is the benchmark set by MQ Trader to be considered as a bullish stock. The main reason is contributed by the excellent financial result of the last quarter as well as the acquisition up to 75% of Halliburton Bayan Petroleum Sdn Bhd’s shares by DIALOG. This acquisition will lead to higher earnings of DIALOG due to the consolidation of HBP’s earnings.

Daily Technical Chart

Hourly Technical Chart

Majority of MQ Trader trading strategies captured buy signals with strong buy momentum recently. This reflects the positive impact brought by its strong profit margin with exponential growth for several years.

MQ Live Backtesting

To confirm the signal quality, MQ Backtesting is used to determine the success rate of the signal. Based on the MQ Backtesting result, all the latest buy signals released in March 2019 are validated to have below average rating. In short, the probability of sharp increase of share price to happen within 10 trading days is not high.

MQ Trader’s View

Based on the analysis above, DIALOG’s share price is expected to continue the positive momentum until the next quarter due to its bright prospect as a result of its solid track record of earnings and the ongoing project, Pengerang phase 3.

DIALOG has a diversified business model across the upstream, midstream and downstream sectors in oil, gas and petrochemical industry. Besides, this group’s core business is mainly focusing on projects with recurring income especially in its logistics business including storage tank terminals. Hence, the effect of oil price volatility and currency movement has less impact on DIALOG’s earning.

Here are some risks that we have to take note:

  1. Delay in the development of Pengerang phase 3
  2. Lower utlisation of tank terminal

Conclusion

In our opinion, we will start to look for the right spot to enter our position by using MQ Trader trading strategies (i.e. EMA 5 Crossover) for long term investment. At the same time, we will monitor our position closely until there is any news that can affect its share price announced. For short term wise, we can grab opportunities when there is buy signal with strong MQ backtesting rating detected.

MQ Trader Analysis Tool

To view DIALOG’s fundamental analysis on MQ Trader: https://klse.i3investor.com/mqtrader/sf/analysis/fa/7277

To view DIALOG's technical analysis on MQ Trader: https://klse.i3investor.com/mqtrader/sf/analysis/stkta/7277

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Disclaimer

This article does not represent a BUY or SELL recommendation on the stock covered. Traders and Investors are encouraged to do their own analysis on stocks instead of blindly following any Trading calls raised by various parties in the Internet. We may or may not hold position in the stock covered, or initiate new position in the stock within the next 7 days.

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