The Federal Reserve said yesterday that it will shuffle $400 billion of its portfolio to try to drive down long-term interest rates and get the economy going. Is it going to work? I seriously doubt it!
The current economic situation is lack of confidence in the economy, in the government, and in the Euro debt crisis. Yields on U.S. government debt were already among the lowest on record, and investors drove them down further after the Fed announcement. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, an indicator for mortgages and other long-term loans, closed at 1.86 percent, down from 1.93 percent the day before and the lowest since at least 1962. The US interest rate is already low, by lowering further won't make much difference.
If you look at Japan as an example, you will know this is not going to work for the American.
Focus on the revenueThere are actually two sides of the equation here that most economists do not see, the revenue side and the spending side that can drive the economy. However, because people are too used to the Keynesian and Monetary theories that focus on the spending side, they have neglected the most important source that can boost the economy - the revenue!
And how to get more revenue for the government? Taxation!
The US has the most millionnaires and billionnaires in the world, and the US has the most number of technology companies in the world that are rich source of tax revenue for the government. Even if the US government does not want to tax the companies, how about selling government bonds to these cash rich companies?
The following is the top 10 cash rich companies in US:
1. AppleMarket Capitalization: $330 billion
Cash Hoard: $76.2 billion
Source.
2. MicrosoftMarket Capitalization: $201 billion
Cash Hoard: $63.7 billion
Source.
3. CiscoMarket Capitalization: $83 billion
Cash Hoard: $38.92 billion
Source.
4. GoogleMarket Capitalization: $158 billion
Cash Hoard: $35 billion
Source.
5. OracleMarket Capitalization: $125 billion
Cash Hoard: $28.82 billion
Source.
6. SiemensMarket Capitalization: $85 billion
Cash Hoard: $13.42 billion
Source.
7. IBMMarket Capitalization: $188 billion
Cash Hoard: $11.76 billion
Source.
8. SamsungMarket Capitalization: $92 billion
Cash Hoard: $9.04 billion [slightly dated]
Source.
9. IntelMarket Capitalization: $102 billion
Cash Hoard: $7.73 billion
Source.
10. AmazonMarket Capitalization: $81 billion
Cash Hoard: $6.3 billion
Source.
If we total all those figures up, and this is what they sum to:
Total Market Capitalization: $1.445 Trillion
Total Cash Hoard: $290.89 Billion
So if I'm in the Obama administration, I'll suggest him to get more money from its own people!
Happy investing,
Pauline Yong