Pestech has won a second Cambodian contract (worth USD86.1m) for a 198km transmission line that connects West Phnom Penh and Sihanoukville, as well as a job to extend the Stung Hav substation. We believe that Pestech is building its reputation in Cambodia after delivering its first project eight months early. This new contract boosts its total orderbook to MYR708m. We raise our FY14 revenue and earnings forecast by 1% and 7% respectively after imputing profit recognition from the new contract. We continue to like the company for: i) its healthy MYR708m orderbook (as at 10 March), ii) growing demand for energy worldwide, and iii) its expansion into switchgear manufacturing. As such, we upgrade our FV to MYR4.05 from MYR3.80, pegging its FY14 EPS to an unchanged target P/E of 12x. Although we are upbeat on the announcement, we are maintaining our NEUTRAL call on Pestech due to limited price upside.
Secures USD86.1m Cambodia contract. Pestech has announced on Bursa Malaysia yesterday that it has won an USD86.1m contract from a Cambodian company, Alex Corporation Co Ltd (ACCL), which involves works to design and build a 230 kilovolt (kV) West Phnom Penh–Sihanoukville transmission line and a 230/115/22kV substation project. Pestech will upgrade the existing Stung Hav substation by equipping two units of 230kV outgoing transmission line bays. The transmission line has a total length of approximately 198km that would connect the substation to West Phnom Penh. Works are expected to commence within three months from 10 March 2014, and it will take 32 months to complete the project. With the inclusion of this contract, the company’s orderbook increases significantly to approximately MYR708m.
Brief background of ACCL. According to news from The Phnom Penh Post on 28 Oct 2013, ACCL is a private company that has entered into a public-private partnership with the Cambodian government to develop power lines from plants in the Preah Sihanouk province to Phnom Penh. ACCL will invest USD119.1m in a build-operate-transfer agreement to construct and run the infrastructure before handing it over to the government at the end of a 25-year lease.
Growing reputation in Cambodia. The USD86.1m contract is Pestech’s second project in Cambodia. Its first project involves the development of a 230kV Phnom Penh–Kampong Cham transmission line that was completed in June 2013. Pestech managed to deliver the project eight months ahead of schedule. We believe that, via its first project, it managed to gain trust from Electricite du Cambodge (EDC), a 100% stateowned company responsible for the generation, transmission and distribution of power supply throughout Cambodia. Maintain NEUTRAL, with a MYR4.05 FV. We remain optimistic on the company’s outlook, underpinned by: i) its strong MYR708m orderbook as at 10 March 2014, ii) growing energy demand worldwide that would further provide opportunities to the energy transmission system industry, and iii) the company’s diversification into switchgear manufacturing. We have tweaked our FY14 forecasts higher, with revenue and net profit forecasts up by 1% and 7% respectively after imputing the contribution from this newly-awarded contract. We have derived a higher FV of MYR4.05 (from MYR3.80), pegged to an unchanged target P/E of 12x, which is still below its highest P/E of 14.5x since listing. Although we are upbeat on the announcement, we are maintaining our NEUTRAL call on Pestech due to limited price upside. Pestech’s valuation is justified by the expectations over its ability to secure bigger orders in the next two years. Its orderbook is currently at a record high of MYR708m.
Source: Kenanga
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Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016