We remain OVERWEIGHT on the construction sector. This follows our channel checks that substantiate, to a certain extent, a news report stating that Line 2 of the Klang Valley MRT project has been approved by the Government. The construction sector’s strong prospects are backed largely by the MYR73bn MRT project. Our Top Picks for the sector are Gamuda, Protasco and Hock Seng Lee.
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Cabinet’s go-ahead for Line 2? We carried out some channel checks following a news report in The Star yesterday quoting MRT Co CEO Datuk Wira Azhar Abdul Hamid as saying that the Government had approved Line 2 of the 3-line Klang Valley MRT project. The 56km Line 2, also known as the Sg Buloh-Serdang-Putrajaya Line, is estimated to cost MYR25bn (Line 1: MYR23bn). Its implementation will ensure continuity in MRT construction activities, with civil works for Line 1 tailing off by mid-2015. A source of ours who is in the know told us that the Cabinet has indeed approved Line 2 and the appointment of the MMC-Gamuda joint venture (JV) as the project delivery partner (PDP) – as in the case of Line 1 – although the Government, as well as MRT Co, have yet to issue any official statements on this. While Cabinet approval for Line 2 was earlier expected to come by 1Q14, we believe the market will still react positively should it finally happen. This will put to rest concerns over further delays in getting Cabinet approval for Line 2 – something that has been delayed by about nine months now.
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Maintain OVERWEIGHT. The prospects of the construction sector remain strong as it rides on what we believe is an extended upcycle that is backed largely by the MYR73bn Klang Valley MRT project. With the MYR23bn Line 1 currently under construction, and Lines 2 and 3 worth MYR25bn each under planning, this mammoth mega project will keep the players busy until 2021. We advocate a two-pronged stock-picking strategy. Firstly, go for the high-beta highly liquid big-cap Gamuda (GAM
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MK, BUY, FV: MYR5.45), which will take the lead in reacting to new price catalysts like the Cabinet approval for Line 2. Secondly, look at small-cap stocks like: i) Protasco (PRTA MK, BUY, FV: MYR1.80) that is benefitting from other key areas of public infrastructure spending, particularly in public road maintenance and public housing, and ii) Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK, BUY, FV: MYR2.06), which is a good proxy to massive infrastructure spending in Sarawak backed by the Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy (SCORE), urbanisation and rural development.
Source: RHB